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Hydrological Science...arrow_drop_down
Hydrological Sciences Journal
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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Future multivariate weather generation by combining Bartlett-Lewis and vine copula models

Authors: Jorn Van de Velde; Matthias Demuzere; Bernard De Baets; Niko Verhoest;

Future multivariate weather generation by combining Bartlett-Lewis and vine copula models

Abstract

The assessment of future extremes is hindered by the lack of long time series. Weather generators can alleviate this problem, but easily become complex. In this study, a weather generator combining Bartlett-Lewis models and vine copulas is presented. This combination allows for the generation of time series with statistics similar to those of the input. This model chain has never been assessed on the basis of future simulations. However, it could have value for extending climate simulations. The model chain was applied to historical observations and one climate model time series. The statistical moments and the correlation on the basis of the future simulations were comparable to those on basis of the historical observations. The results for the extremes were ambiguous, but still provided valuable information. The adequate performance for the statistical moments and the correlation indicates that the weather generator might be useful for the characterization of future extremes.

Country
Belgium
Related Organizations
Keywords

FLOODS, copulas, BIAS CORRECTION, TIME-SERIES, POINT PROCESS MODELS, RANDOM-VARIABLES, CONSTRUCTIONS, CLIMATE, climate change, DEPENDENCE, Earth and Environmental Sciences, PRECIPITATION, weather generation, RAINFALL, Bartlett-Lewis models

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    3
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average