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Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
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Potential impacts of climate change on habitat suitability of Fagus sylvatica L. forests in spain

Authors: Sara del Río; Ramón Álvarez-Esteban; Eusebio Cano; Carlos Pinto-Gomes; Ángel Penas;

Potential impacts of climate change on habitat suitability of Fagus sylvatica L. forests in spain

Abstract

9 páginas, 4 figuras, 2 tablas. Fagus sylvatica forests are considered to be of Community interest according to Directive 92/43/EEC. Climate change predictions for Spain point to a warming scenario, coupled with decreasing rainfall, which may have an impact on their future distribution particularly at the extremes of its distribution area. Species distribution models incorporating bioclimatic, topographic and phytogeographic variables were used as predictors to assess their habitat suitability under current conditions and a climate change projection. Ten single models were generated and an ensemble-forecasting model was subsequently built by computing a consensus of single-model projections. The results revealed that ombrothermic indices are the main factors controlling the distribution of Spanish beech forests. They are highly vulnerable to climate change and could suffer a decline in their habitat suitability if climate trends observed are maintained in the future. The least favoured areas for them will be located close to the limit between the Temperate and Mediterranean climates, where they could suffer a loss of habitat suitability. Conversely, suitable new areas could be found mainly in western areas of the Cantabrian Range and in the Central Pyrenees. We acknowledge the contribution of Prudence Brooke-Turner (M.A. Cantab./ University of Cambridge) for her help with revising the English text. We also thank anonymous reviewers for their useful comments. Peer reviewed

Country
Spain
Keywords

Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts, Fagus sylvatica, Bioclimatology, //metadata.un.org/sdg/13 [http], Spain, Habitat suitability, Climate change, MaxEnt, Phytogeography

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download
citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
downloads
OpenAIRE UsageCountsDownloads provided by UsageCounts
30
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Top 10%
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51
84
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bronze