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The Assessment of Impacts and Risks of Climate Change on Agriculture (AIRCCA) model: a tool for the rapid global risk assessment for crop yields at a spatially explicit scale

A main channel through which climate change is expected to affect the economy is the agricultural sector. Large spatial variability in these impacts and high levels of uncertainty in climate change projections create methodological challenges for assessing the consequences this sector could face. Crop emulators based on econometric fixed-effects models that can closely reproduce biophysical models are estimated. With these reduced form crop emulators, we develop AIRCCA, a user-friendly software for the assessment of impacts and risks of climate change on agriculture, that allows stakeholders to make a rapid global assessment of the effects of climate change on maize, wheat and rice yields. AIRCCA produces spatially explicit probabilistic impact scenarios and user-defined risk metrics for the main four Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) emissions scenarios.
- Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Netherlands
- Free University of Amsterdam Pure VU Amsterdam Netherlands
- Vrije Universiteit Brussel Belgium
- National Autonomous University of Mexico Mexico
- University Museum Utrecht Netherlands
Planning and Development, panel model, Geography, Economics, Geography, Planning and Development, Statistics, Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all), B Journal, Econometrics and Finance(all), climate change, Taverne, integrated assessment model, SDG 13 - Climate Action, Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous), Probability and Uncertainty, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, agriculture
Planning and Development, panel model, Geography, Economics, Geography, Planning and Development, Statistics, Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all), B Journal, Econometrics and Finance(all), climate change, Taverne, integrated assessment model, SDG 13 - Climate Action, Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous), Probability and Uncertainty, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, agriculture
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).7 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
