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Lack of vegetation exacerbates exposure to dangerous heat in dense settlements in a tropical African city

يؤدي نقص الغطاء النباتي إلى تفاقم التعرض للحرارة الخطيرة في المستوطنات الكثيفة في مدينة أفريقية استوائية
Authors: Jonas Van de Walle; Oscar Brousse; L. Arnalsteen; Chloe Brimicombe; Denis K. Byarugaba; Matthias Demuzere; Eddie Jjemba; +9 Authors

Lack of vegetation exacerbates exposure to dangerous heat in dense settlements in a tropical African city

Abstract

Abstract Both climate change and rapid urbanization accelerate exposure to heat in the city of Kampala, Uganda. From a network of low-cost temperature and humidity sensors, operational in 2018–2019, we derive the daily mean, minimum and maximum Humidex in order to quantify and explain intra-urban heat stress variation. This temperature-humidity index is shown to be heterogeneously distributed over the city, with a daily mean intra-urban Humidex Index deviation of 1.2 ∘C on average. The largest difference between the coolest and the warmest station occurs between 16:00 and 17:00 local time. Averaged over the whole observation period, this daily maximum difference is 6.4 ∘C between the warmest and coolest stations, and reaches 14.5 ∘C on the most extreme day. This heat stress heterogeneity also translates to the occurrence of extreme heat, shown in other parts of the world to put local populations at risk of great discomfort or health danger. One station in a dense settlement reports a daily maximum Humidex Index of > 40 ∘C in 68% of the observation days, a level which was never reached at the nearby campus of the Makerere University, and only a few times at the city outskirts. Large intra-urban heat stress differences are explained by satellite earth observation products. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index has the highest (75%) power to predict the intra-urban variations in daily mean heat stress, but strong collinearity is found with other variables like impervious surface fraction and population density. Our results have implications for urban planning on the one hand, highlighting the importance of urban greening, and risk management on the other hand, recommending the use of a temperature-humidity index and accounting for large intra-urban heat stress variations and heat-prone districts in urban heat action plans for tropical humid cities.

Countries
United Kingdom, Belgium
Keywords

Atmospheric sciences, Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis, normalized difference vegetation index, 910, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Heat stress, heat stress, Heat index, Pathology, Climate change, GE1-350, Urban Heat Islands and Mitigation Strategies, TD1-1066, Extreme heat, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Global Analysis of Ecosystem Services and Land Use, Geography, Ecology, Physics, Q, Mean radiant temperature, Geology, Humidex index, World Wide Web, Archaeology, Physical Sciences, Medicine, Urban Climate, Vegetation (pathology), Index (typography), Physical geography, Environmental Engineering, Science, QC1-999, Urban heat island, Environmental science, Impact of Urban Green Space on Public Health, Meteorology, Biology, Urbanization, FOS: Environmental engineering, Humidity, local climate zones, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Computer science, Human settlement, Environmental sciences, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, Land Surface Temperature

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    18
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
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    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold