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Environmental Research Letters
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Environmental Research Letters
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Climate change-related risks and adaptation potential in Central and South America during the 21st century

المخاطر المتعلقة بتغير المناخ وإمكانات التكيف في أمريكا الوسطى والجنوبية خلال القرن الحادي والعشرين
Authors: Isabel Hagen; Christian Huggel; Laura Ramajo; Noemí Chacón; Jean Pierre Ometto; Julio C. Postigo; Edwin Castellanos;

Climate change-related risks and adaptation potential in Central and South America during the 21st century

Abstract

Abstract Climate-related risks in Central and South America have received increased attention and concern in science and policy, but an up-to-date comprehensive review and synthesis of risks and adaptation potential is currently missing. For this paper we evaluated over 200 peer-reviewed articles and grey literature documents published since 2012. We found that climate change in Central and South America during the 21st century may increase the risk to severe levels for the following topical risk clusters: (a) Food insecurity; (b) Floods and landslides; (c) Water scarcity; (d) Epidemics of vector-borne diseases; (e) Amazon Forest biome shift; (f). Coral bleaching; (g) Coastal risks of sea level rise, storm surges and erosion; (h) Systemic failure due to cascading impacts of hazards and epidemics. Our synthesis also identified feasible adaptation measures for each risk. The impacts of the risks will be heterogeneous throughout the region, with rural communities, Indigenous peoples, Afro-Latin Americans, women, disabled people, and migrants identified as being the most severely affected. We refer to a number of adaptation options for each risk. However, unabated climate change together with low adaptive capacity will strictly limit adaptation options. Immediate strengthening of policies for building adaptive capacity and increase of research on the risk-adaptation nexus in Central and South America are paramount. Our findings might contribute to guide the adjustment and emphasis of adaptation policies and climate risk management strategies from local to national level.

Countries
Switzerland, Switzerland
Keywords

Sociology and Political Science, Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture, Economics, FOS: Political science, 2105 Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Social Sciences, Flood Risk, adaptation, climate projection, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, 2300 General Environmental Science, Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Livelihood, Vulnerability (computing), Natural hazard, Natural resource economics, Computer security, Climate change, GE1-350, 910 Geography & travel, Environmental resource management, Political science, TD1-1066, General Environmental Science, Environmental planning, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Adaptation (eye), Ecology, Physics, Q, climate change impacts, Life Sciences, central and South America, Agriculture, Latin Americans, 10122 Institute of Geography, Archaeology, Physical Sciences, Public Health, Adaptive capacity, Science, QC1-999, FOS: Law, Environmental science, Global Flood Risk Assessment and Management, Meteorology, Climate risk, Renewable Energy, Biology, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Sustainability and the Environment, Environmental and Occupational Health, Optics, 2739 Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Computer science, Indigenous, Environmental sciences, Climate Change Adaptation, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, Community Resilience to Natural Disasters, risks, Law

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    41
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
41
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
gold