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Total economic costs of climate change at different discount rates for market and non-market values

Abstract What will be the aggregated cost of climate change in achieving the Paris Agreement, including mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts? Several studies estimated the aggregated cost but did not always consider the critical issues. Some do not address non-market values such as biodiversity and human health, and most do not address differentiating discount rates. In this study, we estimate the aggregated cost of climate change using an integrated assessment model linked with detailed-process-based climate impact models and different discount rates for market and non-market values. The analysis reveals that a climate policy with minimal aggregated cost is sensitive to socioeconomic scenarios and the way discount rates are applied. The results elucidate that a lower discount rate to non-market value—that is, a higher estimate of future value—makes the aggregated cost of achieving the Paris Agreement economically reasonable.
- Shibaura Institute of Technology Japan
- Japan Meteorological Agency Japan
- Meteorological Research Institute Japan
- Kyoto University Japan
- North China Electric Power University China (People's Republic of)
330, Science, Physics, QC1-999, Q, discount rate, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, 333, Environmental sciences, climate change, GE1-350, mitigation cost, climate impacts, TD1-1066
330, Science, Physics, QC1-999, Q, discount rate, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, 333, Environmental sciences, climate change, GE1-350, mitigation cost, climate impacts, TD1-1066
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).5 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
