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Non-symmetric responses of leaf onset date to natural warming and cooling in northern ecosystems

الاستجابات غير المتماثلة لتاريخ بداية الأوراق للاحترار والتبريد الطبيعي في النظم الإيكولوجية الشمالية
Authors: L. H. He; Jian Wang; Philippe Ciais; Ashley P. Ballantyne; Kailiang Yu; Wenxing Zhang; Jingfeng Xiao; +10 Authors

Non-symmetric responses of leaf onset date to natural warming and cooling in northern ecosystems

Abstract

Abstract The northern hemisphere has experienced regional cooling, especially during the global warming hiatus (1998–2012) due to ocean energy redistribution. However, the lack of studies about the natural cooling effects hampers our understanding of vegetation responses to climate change. Using 15,125 ground phenological time series at 3,620 sites since the 1950s and 31-year satellite greenness observations (1982–2012) covering the warming hiatus period, we show a stronger response of leaf onset date (LOD) to natural cooling than to warming, i.e. the delay of LOD caused by 1°C cooling is larger than the advance of LOD with 1°C warming. This might be because cooling leads to larger chilling accumulation and heating requirements for leaf onset, but this non-symmetric LOD response is partially offset by warming-related drying. Moreover, spring greening magnitude, in terms of satellite-based greenness and productivity, is more sensitive to LOD changes in the warming area than in the cooling. These results highlight the importance of considering non-symmetric responses of spring greening to warming and cooling when predicting vegetation-climate feedbacks.

Country
France
Keywords

[SDE] Environmental Sciences, Atmospheric sciences, 550, Climate Change and Variability Research, Greenhouse gas, Environmental science, Pathology, Climate change, Biology, Northern Hemisphere, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Biological, Health, and Medical Sciences, Ecology, Global Forest Drought Response and Climate Change, Global warming, 500, Geology, Remote Sensing in Vegetation Monitoring and Phenology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Grassland, FOS: Biological sciences, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, Medicine, Vegetation (pathology), Climate Modeling

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    citations
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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
10
Average
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold