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Cool-edge populations of the kelp Ecklonia radiata under global ocean change scenarios: strong sensitivity to ocean warming but little effect of ocean acidification

Kelp forests are threatened by ocean warming, yet effects of co-occurring drivers such as CO 2 are rarely considered when predicting their performance in the future. In Australia, the kelp Ecklonia radiata forms extensive forests across seawater temperatures of approximately 7–26°C. Cool-edge populations are typically considered more thermally tolerant than their warm-edge counterparts but this ignores the possibility of local adaptation. Moreover, it is unknown whether elevated CO 2 can mitigate negative effects of warming. To identify whether elevated CO 2 could improve thermal performance of a cool-edge population of E. radiata , we constructed thermal performance curves for growth and photosynthesis, under both current and elevated CO 2 (approx. 400 and 1000 µatm). We then modelled annual performance under warming scenarios to highlight thermal susceptibility. Elevated CO 2 had minimal effect on growth but increased photosynthesis around the thermal optimum. Thermal optima were approximately 16°C for growth and approximately 18°C for photosynthesis, and modelled performance indicated cool-edge populations may be vulnerable in the future. Our findings demonstrate that elevated CO 2 is unlikely to offset negative effects of ocean warming on the kelp E. radiata and highlight the potential susceptibility of cool-edge populations to ocean warming.
- Monash University Australia
- University of Tasmania Australia
- University of Technology Russian Federation
- University of Tasmania Australia
- James Hutton Institute United Kingdom
570, Phaeophyceae, Climate Change, Oceans and Seas, ocean acidification, phenotypic plasticity, Global Warming, thermal performance curves, ocean warming, name=General Immunology and Microbiology, name=General Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology, name=General Agricultural and Biological Sciences, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2400/2400, Seawater, name=General Environmental Science, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2300/2300, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1100/1100, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1300/1300, Global Change and Conservation, Ocean Acidification, Temperature, Hydrogen-Ion Concentration, Carbon Dioxide, multiple drivers, Kelp, physiology
570, Phaeophyceae, Climate Change, Oceans and Seas, ocean acidification, phenotypic plasticity, Global Warming, thermal performance curves, ocean warming, name=General Immunology and Microbiology, name=General Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology, name=General Agricultural and Biological Sciences, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2400/2400, Seawater, name=General Environmental Science, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2300/2300, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1100/1100, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1300/1300, Global Change and Conservation, Ocean Acidification, Temperature, Hydrogen-Ion Concentration, Carbon Dioxide, multiple drivers, Kelp, physiology
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