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https://doi.org/10.1109/eeeic/...
Conference object . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
License: IEEE Copyright
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Impact of the Growing Penetration of Renewable Energy Production on the Iberian Long-Term Electricity Market

Authors: Santos, Sérgio F.; Gough, Matthew; Pinto, João P. G. V.; Javadi, Mohammad; Osório, Gerardo J.; Santos, Sérgio F.;

Impact of the Growing Penetration of Renewable Energy Production on the Iberian Long-Term Electricity Market

Abstract

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources in areas with wholesale energy markets may have significant impacts on the prices of electricity within these markets. These renewable energy sources typically have low or zero marginal prices and thus can bid into energy markets at prices which might be below plants using other generating technologies. This work seeks to understand the impact of these zero marginal cost plants in the Iberian Energy Market. This work makes use of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to evaluate the impact of growing renewable energy generation on the market-clearing price. Real data from the Iberian Energy Market is chosen and used to train the ANN. The scenarios used for renewable energy generation are taken from the newly published national energy and climate plans for both Spain and Portugal. Results show that increasing penetration of renewable energy leads to significant reductions in the forecasted energy price, showing a price decrease of about 23 € /MWh in 2030 compared to the baseline. Increasing solar PV generation has the largest effect on market prices.

Country
Portugal
Related Organizations
Keywords

Price impacts, Renewable energy, Electricity market, Electricity price, Neural networks

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    1
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green