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IEEE Journal of Photovoltaics
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
License: IEEE Open Access
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.24406/pu...
Other literature type . 2018
Data sources: Datacite
IEEE Journal of Photovoltaics
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
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Review of Statistical and Analytical Degradation Models for Photovoltaic Modules and Systems as Well as Related Improvements

Authors: Sascha Lindig; Ismail Kaaya; Karl-Anders Weiss; David Moser; Marko Topic;

Review of Statistical and Analytical Degradation Models for Photovoltaic Modules and Systems as Well as Related Improvements

Abstract

In this work, we investigate practical approaches of available degradation models and their usage in photovoltaic (PV) modules and systems. On the one hand, degradation prediction of models is described for the calculation of degradation at system level where the degradation mode is unknown and hence the physics cannot be included by the use of analytical models. Several statistical models are thus described and applied for the calculation of the performance loss using as case study two PV systems, installed in Bolzano/Italy. Namely, simple linear regression (SLR), classical seasonal-decomposition, seasonal- and trend-decomposition using Loess (STL), Holt–Winters exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) are discussed. The performance loss results show that SLR produces results with highest uncertainties. In comparison, STL and ARIMA perform with the highest accuracy, whereby STL is favored because of its easier implementation. On the other hand, if monitoring data at PV module level are available in controlled conditions, analytical models can be applied. Several analytical models depending on different degradations modes are thus discussed. A comparison study is carried out for models proposed for corrosion. Although the results of the models in question agree in explanation of experimental observations, a big difference in degradation prediction was observed. Finally, a model proposed for potential induced degradation was applied to simulate the degradation of PV systems maximum power in three climatic zones: alpine (Zugspitze, Germany), maritime (Gran Canaria, Spain), and arid (Negev, Israel). As expected, a more severe degradation is predicted for arid climates.

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    80
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
80
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
bronze