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IEEE Journal of Photovoltaics
Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
License: IEEE Open Access
Data sources: Crossref
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Prediction Model for PV Performance With Correlation Analysis of Environmental Variables

Authors: Gyu Gwang Kim; Jin Ho Choi; So Young Park; Byeong Gwan Bhang; Woo Jun Nam; Hae Lim Cha; NeungSoo Park; +1 Authors

Prediction Model for PV Performance With Correlation Analysis of Environmental Variables

Abstract

With increasing installations of photovoltaic (PV) systems, interest in power forecasting has also increased. Inaccurate forecasts would result in substantial economic losses and system reliability issues. The correlation between weather variables and PV power is critical to ensure the efficient use of energy in PV systems. A key step toward accurate power forecasting is estimating the output from a PV system based on known environmental input data. In this research, all available weather data are used to predict the PV power. Meteorological and power data are then analyzed using a statistical approach to identify the order of significance of the input variables. Then, a predictive model is suggested as a function of irradiance, ambient temperature, wind speed, and relative humidity. The model produces a root mean square error of 4.957% and a mean absolute percentage error of 5.468% during the measurement period and over the entire range of irradiation.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
103
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
bronze