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Prediction Model for PV Performance With Correlation Analysis of Environmental Variables

With increasing installations of photovoltaic (PV) systems, interest in power forecasting has also increased. Inaccurate forecasts would result in substantial economic losses and system reliability issues. The correlation between weather variables and PV power is critical to ensure the efficient use of energy in PV systems. A key step toward accurate power forecasting is estimating the output from a PV system based on known environmental input data. In this research, all available weather data are used to predict the PV power. Meteorological and power data are then analyzed using a statistical approach to identify the order of significance of the input variables. Then, a predictive model is suggested as a function of irradiance, ambient temperature, wind speed, and relative humidity. The model produces a root mean square error of 4.957% and a mean absolute percentage error of 5.468% during the measurement period and over the entire range of irradiation.
- Konkuk University Korea (Republic of)
- Konkuk University Korea (Republic of)
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).103 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
