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Latent Trajectory Classes for Alcohol‐Related Blackouts from Age 15 to 19 in ALSPAC

BackgroundAlcohol‐related blackouts (ARBs) are reported by ~50% of drinkers. While much is known about the prevalence of ARBs in young adults and their cross‐sectional correlates, there are few prospective studies regarding their trajectories over time during mid‐adolescence. This paper reports latent trajectory classes of ARBs between age 15 and 19, along with predictors of those patterns.MethodsLatent class growth analysis (LCGA) was used to evaluate the pattern of occurrence of ARBs across 4 time points for 1,402 drinking adolescents from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC). Multinomial regression analyses evaluated age‐15 demography, substance‐related items, externalizing characteristics, and estimated peer substance use as predictors of latent class membership.ResultsARBs were reported at age 15 in 30% and at age 19 in 74% of these subjects. Four latent trajectory classes were identified: Class 1 (5.1%) reported no blackouts; for Class 2 (29.5%), ARBs rapidly increased with age; for Class 3 (44.9%), blackouts slowly increased; and for Class 4 (20.5%), ARBs were consistently reported. Using Class 2 (rapid increasers) as the reference, predictors of class membership included female sex, higher drinking quantities, smoking, externalizing characteristics, and estimated peer substance involvement (pseudo R2 = 0.22).ConclusionsARBs were common and repetitive in these young subjects, and predictors of their trajectories over time involved multiple domains representing diverse characteristics.
- Virginia Commonwealth University United States
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit United Kingdom
- University of California, San Diego United States
- University of Bristol United Kingdom
- University of California System United States
Male, 150, Clinical sciences, Brain and Behaviour, Clinical and health psychology, Substance Misuse, Alcohol Use and Health, Models, Risk Factors, Psychology, Prospective Studies, Pediatric, name=Brain and Behaviour, Tobacco and Alcohol, Substance Abuse, Age Factors, Stroke, Alcoholism, England, Female, Alcohol, Blackouts, Adolescent, Clinical Sciences, 610, Models, Psychological, Young Adult, Sex Factors, Humans, /dk/atira/pure/core/keywords/tobacco_and_alcohol, name=Tobacco and Alcohol, Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Ethanol, Predictors, Latent Trajectories, Neurosciences, Paediatrics, /dk/atira/pure/core/keywords/brain_and_behaviour, Good Health and Well Being, Psychological, Biological psychology, Amnesia
Male, 150, Clinical sciences, Brain and Behaviour, Clinical and health psychology, Substance Misuse, Alcohol Use and Health, Models, Risk Factors, Psychology, Prospective Studies, Pediatric, name=Brain and Behaviour, Tobacco and Alcohol, Substance Abuse, Age Factors, Stroke, Alcoholism, England, Female, Alcohol, Blackouts, Adolescent, Clinical Sciences, 610, Models, Psychological, Young Adult, Sex Factors, Humans, /dk/atira/pure/core/keywords/tobacco_and_alcohol, name=Tobacco and Alcohol, Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Ethanol, Predictors, Latent Trajectories, Neurosciences, Paediatrics, /dk/atira/pure/core/keywords/brain_and_behaviour, Good Health and Well Being, Psychological, Biological psychology, Amnesia
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).38 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
