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Global impacts of climate change on avian functional diversity

AbstractClimate change is predicted to drive geographical range shifts, leading to fluctuations in species richness (SR) worldwide. However, the effect of these changes on functional diversity (FD) remains unclear, in part because comprehensive species‐level trait data are generally lacking at global scales. Here, we use morphometric and ecological traits for 8268 bird species to estimate the impact of climate change on avian FD. We show that future bird assemblages are likely to undergo substantial shifts in trait structure, with a magnitude of change greater than predicted from SR alone, and a direction of change varying according to geographical location and trophic guild. For example, our models predict that FD of insect predators will increase at higher latitudes with concurrent losses at mid‐latitudes, whereas FD of seed dispersing birds will fluctuate across the tropics. Our findings highlight the potential for climate change to drive continental‐scale shifts in avian FD with implications for ecosystem function and resilience.
- Imperial College London United Kingdom
- Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre Germany
- Durham University United Kingdom
- Technical University of Munich Germany
- National Research Council Italy
Birds, Geography, Climate Change, Animals, Biodiversity, climate change; ecological forecasting; ecosystem function; functional diversity; functional traits; range-shift modelling; animals; biodiversity; birds; geography; climate change; ecosystem, 333, Ecosystem
Birds, Geography, Climate Change, Animals, Biodiversity, climate change; ecological forecasting; ecosystem function; functional diversity; functional traits; range-shift modelling; animals; biodiversity; birds; geography; climate change; ecosystem, 333, Ecosystem
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