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How much land‐based greenhouse gas mitigation can be achieved without compromising food security and environmental goals?

doi: 10.1111/gcb.12160
pmid: 23505220
AbstractFeeding 9–10 billion people by 2050 and preventing dangerous climate change are two of the greatest challenges facing humanity. Both challenges must be met while reducing the impact of land management on ecosystem services that deliver vital goods and services, and support human health and well‐being. Few studies to date have considered the interactions between these challenges. In this study we briefly outline the challenges, review the supply‐ and demand‐side climate mitigation potential available in the Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use AFOLU sector and options for delivering food security. We briefly outline some of the synergies and trade‐offs afforded by mitigation practices, before presenting an assessment of the mitigation potential possible in theAFOLUsector under possible future scenarios in which demand‐side measures codeliver to aid food security. We conclude that while supply‐side mitigation measures, such as changes in land management, might either enhance or negatively impact food security, demand‐side mitigation measures, such as reduced waste or demand for livestock products, should benefit both food security and greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation. Demand‐side measures offer a greater potential (1.5–15.6 GtCO2‐eq. yr−1) in meeting both challenges than do supply‐side measures (1.5–4.3 GtCO2‐eq. yr−1at carbon prices between 20 and 100 US$ tCO2‐eq. yr−1), but given the enormity of challenges, all options need to be considered. Supply‐side measures should be implemented immediately, focussing on those that allow the production of more agricultural product per unit of input. For demand‐side measures, given the difficulties in their implementation and lag in their effectiveness, policy should be introduced quickly, and should aim to codeliver to other policy agenda, such as improving environmental quality or improving dietary health. These problems facing humanity in the 21st Century are extremely challenging, and policy that addresses multiple objectives is required now more than ever.
- CGIAR France
- University of Vienna Austria
- Leibniz Association Germany
- University of Brasília Brazil
- CGIAR Consortium France
Greenhouse Effect, Conservation of Natural Resources, Mitigation, 330, Climate, Climate Change, AFOLU, 710, 630, Food Supply, Ecosystem services, Humans, Ecosystem, Agriculture, Forestry, food security, Food security, 004, GHG, Gases, environment
Greenhouse Effect, Conservation of Natural Resources, Mitigation, 330, Climate, Climate Change, AFOLU, 710, 630, Food Supply, Ecosystem services, Humans, Ecosystem, Agriculture, Forestry, food security, Food security, 004, GHG, Gases, environment
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).500 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 0.1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 1% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 0.1%
