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A multi‐satellite framework to rapidly evaluate extreme biosphere cascades: The Western US 2021 drought and heatwave

doi: 10.1111/gcb.16725
pmid: 37070967
AbstractThe increasing frequency and intensity of climate extremes and complex ecosystem responses motivate the need for integrated observational studies at low latency to determine biosphere responses and carbon‐climate feedbacks. Here, we develop a satellite‐based rapid attribution workflow and demonstrate its use at a 1–2‐month latency to attribute drivers of the carbon cycle feedbacks during the 2020–2021 Western US drought and heatwave. In the first half of 2021, concurrent negative photosynthesis anomalies and large positive column CO2 anomalies were detected with satellites. Using a simple atmospheric mass balance approach, we estimate a surface carbon efflux anomaly of 132 TgC in June 2021, a magnitude corroborated independently with a dynamic global vegetation model. Integrated satellite observations of hydrologic processes, representing the soil–plant–atmosphere continuum (SPAC), show that these surface carbon flux anomalies are largely due to substantial reductions in photosynthesis because of a spatially widespread moisture‐deficit propagation through the SPAC between 2020 and 2021. A causal model indicates deep soil moisture stores partially drove photosynthesis, maintaining its values in 2020 and driving its declines throughout 2021. The causal model also suggests legacy effects may have amplified photosynthesis deficits in 2021 beyond the direct effects of environmental forcing. The integrated, observation framework presented here provides a valuable first assessment of a biosphere extreme response and an independent testbed for improving drought propagation and mechanisms in models. The rapid identification of extreme carbon anomalies and hotspots can also aid mitigation and adaptation decisions.
- Goddard Space Flight Center United States
- University of Maryland, College Park United States
- King’s University United States
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology United States
- Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center United States
Soil, Atmosphere, Climate Change, Plants, Ecosystem, Carbon, Droughts, Carbon Cycle
Soil, Atmosphere, Climate Change, Plants, Ecosystem, Carbon, Droughts, Carbon Cycle
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).4 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
