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Model collaboration for the improved assessment of biomass supply, demand, and impacts

doi: 10.1111/gcbb.12176
AbstractExisting assessments of biomass supply and demand and their impacts face various types of limitations and uncertainties, partly due to the type of tools and methods applied (e.g., partial representation of sectors, lack of geographical details, and aggregated representation of technologies involved). Improved collaboration between existing modeling approaches may provide new, more comprehensive insights, especially into issues that involve multiple economic sectors, different temporal and spatial scales, or various impact categories. Model collaboration consists of aligning and harmonizing input data and scenarios, model comparison and/or model linkage. Improved collaboration between existing modeling approaches can help assess (i) the causes of differences and similarities in model output, which is important for interpreting the results for policy‐making and (ii) the linkages, feedbacks, and trade‐offs between different systems and impacts (e.g., economic and natural), which is key to a more comprehensive understanding of the impacts of biomass supply and demand. But, full consistency or integration in assumptions, structure, solution algorithms, dynamics and feedbacks can be difficult to achieve. And, if it is done, it frequently implies a trade‐off in terms of resolution (spatial, temporal, and structural) and/or computation. Three key research areas are selected to illustrate how model collaboration can provide additional ways for tackling some of the shortcomings and uncertainties in the assessment of biomass supply and demand and their impacts. These research areas are livestock production, agricultural residues, and greenhouse gas emissions from land‐use change. Describing how model collaboration might look like in these examples, we show how improved model collaboration can strengthen our ability to project biomass supply, demand, and impacts. This in turn can aid in improving the information for policy‐makers and in taking better‐informed decisions.
- Purdue University West Lafayette United States
- Wageningen University & Research Netherlands
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency Netherlands
- Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Germany
- Electric Power Research Institute United States
Model collaboration, 330, Bottom-up modeling, united-states, land-use change, valorisation, Integrated assessment, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Renewable Energy, energy crops, Waste Management and Disposal, SDG 15 - Life on Land, Sustainability and the Environment, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Forestry, bioenergy production, bio-energy, 001, greenhouse-gas emissions, trade-offs, Biomass supply and demand, Impacts, Top-down modeling, ethanol, eu biofuel policies, Agronomy and Crop Science, global agricultural markets
Model collaboration, 330, Bottom-up modeling, united-states, land-use change, valorisation, Integrated assessment, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Renewable Energy, energy crops, Waste Management and Disposal, SDG 15 - Life on Land, Sustainability and the Environment, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Forestry, bioenergy production, bio-energy, 001, greenhouse-gas emissions, trade-offs, Biomass supply and demand, Impacts, Top-down modeling, ethanol, eu biofuel policies, Agronomy and Crop Science, global agricultural markets
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).55 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
