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Comparing temperature data sources for use in species distribution models: From in‐situ logging to remote sensing

doi: 10.1111/geb.12974
handle: 11336/112940
AbstractAimAlthough species distribution models (SDMs) traditionally link species occurrences to free‐air temperature data at coarse spatio‐temporal resolution, the distribution of organisms might instead be driven by temperatures more proximal to their habitats. Several solutions are currently available, such as downscaled or interpolated coarse‐grained free‐air temperatures, satellite‐measured land surface temperatures (LST) or in‐situ‐measured soil temperatures. A comprehensive comparison of temperature data sources and their performance in SDMs is, however, currently lacking.LocationNorthern Scandinavia.Time period1970–2017.Major taxa studiedHigher plants.MethodsWe evaluated different sources of temperature data (WorldClim, CHELSA, MODIS, E‐OBS, topoclimate and soil temperature from miniature data loggers), differing in spatial resolution (from 1″ to 0.1°), measurement focus (free‐air, ground‐surface or soil temperature) and temporal extent (year‐long versus long‐term averages), and used them to fit SDMs for 50 plant species with different growth forms in a high‐latitudinal mountain region.ResultsDifferences between these temperature data sources originating from measurement focus and temporal extent overshadow the effects of temporal climatic differences and spatio‐temporal resolution, with elevational lapse rates ranging from −0.6°C per 100 m for long‐term free‐air temperature data to −0.2°C per 100 m for in‐situ soil temperatures. Most importantly, we found that the performance of the temperature data in SDMs depended on the growth forms of species. The use of in‐situ soil temperatures improved the explanatory power of our SDMs (R2 on average +16%), especially for forbs and graminoids (R2 +24 and +21% on average, respectively) compared with the other data sources.Main conclusionsWe suggest that future studies using SDMs should use the temperature dataset that best reflects the ecology of the species, rather than automatically using coarse‐grained data from WorldClim or CHELSA.
- Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems Switzerland
- Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg Germany
- Finnish Meteorological Institute Finland
- National Scientific and Technical Research Council Argentina
- National Scientific and Technical Research Council Argentina
soil temperature, [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, CLIMATE CHANGE, land surface temperature, [SDV.BID]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity, SOIL TEMPERATURE, bioclimatic variables, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6, growth forms, MICROCLIMATE, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1, BIOCLIMATIC ENVELOPE MODELLING, [SDV.EE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment, bioclimatic envelope modelling, SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELLING, mountains, species distribution modelling, climate change, MOUNTAINS, [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE, GROWTH FORMS, microclimate, BIOCLIMATIC VARIABLES
soil temperature, [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, CLIMATE CHANGE, land surface temperature, [SDV.BID]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity, SOIL TEMPERATURE, bioclimatic variables, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6, growth forms, MICROCLIMATE, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1, BIOCLIMATIC ENVELOPE MODELLING, [SDV.EE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment, bioclimatic envelope modelling, SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELLING, mountains, species distribution modelling, climate change, MOUNTAINS, [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE, GROWTH FORMS, microclimate, BIOCLIMATIC VARIABLES
