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On the Attribution of a Single Event to Climate Change

handle: 1912/6994
AbstractThere is growing interest in assessing the role of climate change in observed extreme weather events. Recent work in this area has focused on estimating a measure called attributable risk. A statistical formulation of this problem is described and used to construct a confidence interval for attributable risk. The resulting confidence is shown to be surprisingly wide even in the case where the event of interest is unprecedented in the historical record.
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Germany
- University of California, Berkeley United States
- University of California System United States
- National Bureau of Economic Research United States
- Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Germany
Climate Action, Geomatic Engineering, Statistics, Climate change, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences, Oceanography, Atmospheric Sciences
Climate Action, Geomatic Engineering, Statistics, Climate change, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences, Oceanography, Atmospheric Sciences
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).20 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
