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Climate change and water in the UK – past changes and future prospects

Climate change is expected to modify rainfall, temperature and catchment hydrological responses across the world, and adapting to these water-related changes is a pressing challenge. This paper reviews the impact of anthropogenic climate change on water in the UK and looks at projections of future change. The natural variability of the UK climate makes change hard to detect; only historical increases in air temperature can be attributed to anthropogenic climate forcing, but over the last 50 years more winter rainfall has been falling in intense events. Future changes in rainfall and evapotranspiration could lead to changed flow regimes and impacts on water quality, aquatic ecosystems and water availability. Summer flows may decrease on average, but floods may become larger and more frequent. River and lake water quality may decline as a result of higher water temperatures, lower river flows and increased algal blooms in summer, and because of higher flows in the winter. In communicating this important work, researchers should pay particular attention to explaining confidence and uncertainty clearly. Much of the relevant research is either global or highly localized: decision-makers would benefit from more studies that address water and climate change at a spatial and temporal scale appropriate for the decisions they make.
- University of Oxford United Kingdom
- Cranfield University United Kingdom
- Government of the United Kingdom United Kingdom
- Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs United Kingdom
- Natural Environment Research Council United Kingdom
550, GroundwaterBGS, adaptation, water quality change, 333, Ecology and Environment, Meteorology and Climatology, Climate change, Groundwater, GE, freshwater ecosystems, climate change impacts, water environment, decision-making, climate change, hydrological change, Earth Sciences, Hydrology
550, GroundwaterBGS, adaptation, water quality change, 333, Ecology and Environment, Meteorology and Climatology, Climate change, Groundwater, GE, freshwater ecosystems, climate change impacts, water environment, decision-making, climate change, hydrological change, Earth Sciences, Hydrology
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).194 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
