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The implications of climate change for the water environment in England

This paper reviews the implications of climate change for the water environment and its management in England. There is a large literature, but most studies have looked at flow volumes or nutrients and none have considered explicitly the implications of climate change for the delivery of water management objectives. Studies have been undertaken in a small number of locations. Studies have used observations from the past to infer future changes, and have used numerical simulation models with climate change scenarios. The literature indicates that climate change poses risks to the delivery of water management objectives, but that these risks depend on local catchment and water body conditions. Climate change affects the status of water bodies, and it affects the effectiveness of measures to manage the water environment and meet policy objectives. The future impact of climate change on the water environment and its management is uncertain. Impacts are dependent on changes in the duration of dry spells and frequency of ‘flushing’ events, which are highly uncertain and not included in current climate scenarios. There is a good qualitative understanding of ways in which systems may change, but interactions between components of the water environment are poorly understood. Predictive models are only available for some components, and model parametric and structural uncertainty has not been evaluated. The impacts of climate change depend on other pressures on the water environment in a catchment, and also on the management interventions that are undertaken to achieve water management objectives. The paper has also developed a series of consistent conceptual models describing the implications of climate change for pressures on the water environment, based around the source-pathway-receptor concept. They provide a framework for a systematic assessment across catchments and pressures of the implications of climate change for the water environment and its management.
- University of Dundee United Kingdom
- University of Dundee United Kingdom
- University of Reading United Kingdom
- University College London United Kingdom
- University of Reading United Kingdom
330, Earth and Planetary Sciences(all), river flows, name=General Earth and Planetary Sciences, 551, water quality, 333, groundwater, lakes, water framework directive, Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous), /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1900, Planning and Development, Geography, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/3300/3305, name=Geography, estuaries, climate change, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1900/1901, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1900/1900, name=Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
330, Earth and Planetary Sciences(all), river flows, name=General Earth and Planetary Sciences, 551, water quality, 333, groundwater, lakes, water framework directive, Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous), /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1900, Planning and Development, Geography, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/3300/3305, name=Geography, estuaries, climate change, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1900/1901, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1900/1900, name=Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).66 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
