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Towards transformative adaptation in cities: the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment

This paper considers the very large differences in adaptive capacity among the world’s urban centres. It then discusses how risk levels may change for a range of climatic drivers of impacts in the near term (2030–2040) and the long term (2080–2100) with a 2°C and a 4°C warming for Dar es Salaam, Durban, London and New York City. The paper is drawn directly from Chapter 8 of Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, the IPCC Working Group II contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report. It includes the complete text of this chapter’s Executive Summary. The paper highlights the limits to what adaptation can do to protect urban areas and their economies and populations without the needed global agreement and action on mitigation; this is the case even for cities with high adaptive capacities. It ends with a discussion of transformative adaptation and where learning on how to achieve this needs to come from.
- Organisation For Economic Co-Operation and Development France
- EThekwini Municipality South Africa
- Yahoo! United States
- International Institute for Environment and Development United Kingdom
- International Institute for Environment and Development United Kingdom
330, transformation, adaptation, 910, mitigation, climate change, ORANGI, ResearchInstitutes_Networks_Beacons/global_development_institute; name=Global Development Institute, cities, resilience
330, transformation, adaptation, 910, mitigation, climate change, ORANGI, ResearchInstitutes_Networks_Beacons/global_development_institute; name=Global Development Institute, cities, resilience
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).216 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
