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Do climate variations explain bilateral migration? A gravity model analysis

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 20 Feb 2015 Germany, Spain, United Kingdom, Spain Publisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLCJournal:IZA Journal of Migration, volume 4 (eissn: 2193-9039,

Authors: Backhaus, Andreas; Martinez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada; Muris, Chris;

doi: 10.1186/s40176-014-0026-3

handle: 1983/06d8bde5-0970-4bbd-a87b-ecd838a67f60

Do climate variations explain bilateral migration? A gravity model analysis

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Abstract

Abstract This paper investigates to what extent international migration can be explained by climatic variations. A gravity model of migration augmented with average temperature and precipitation in the country of origin is estimated using a panel data set of 142 sending countries for the period 1995 to 2006. We find two primary results. First, temperature is positively correlated with migration. Second, stronger changes in precipitation are also associated with aligned, but small changes in migration. Both effects are robust to various model modifications. Furthermore, we present initial explorations into the channels relating climate changes with migration via agriculture and internal conflict. JEL Codes F22, Q54

Countries

Germany, Spain, United Kingdom, Spain

Related Organizations

Jaume I University
Spain
Jaume I University
Spain
Simon Fraser University
Canada
University of Göttingen
Germany
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
Germany

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Keywords

International migration, 330, Gravity model, Q54, International migration, Climate change, Gravity model, Panel data,, International migration; Climate change; Gravity model; Panel data, Climate change, F22, Panel data, ddc: ddc:330

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