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Prehistoric pathways to Anthropocene adaptation: Evidence from the Red River Delta, Vietnam


Ryan Rabett

Thorsten Kahlert

Christopher Stimpson

Shawn O'Donnell

Nguyễn Thị Mai Hương

Ryan Rabett

Thorsten Kahlert

Christopher Stimpson

Shawn O'Donnell

Nguyễn Thị Mai Hương

Rachael Holmes

Fiona Coward
pmid: 36753481
pmc: PMC9907861
Prehistoric pathways to Anthropocene adaptation: Evidence from the Red River Delta, Vietnam
Over the past twenty years, government advisory bodies have placed increasing emphasis on the need for adaptive measures in response to the effects of human-induced climate change. Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), which incorporate macroeconomic and climate variables, feature prominently in advisory content, though they rarely draw on data from outside strictly constrained hypothetical systems. This has led to assertions that they are not well-suited to approximate complex systemic human-environment processes. Modular, interdisciplinary approaches have offered a way to address this shortcoming; however, beyond climate records, prehistoric data continue to be under-utilised in developing such models. In this paper we highlight the contribution that archaeology and palaeoecology can make to the development of the next generation IAMs that are expected to enhance provision for more local and pro-active adaptations to future climate change. We present data from one of Southeast Asia’s most heavily developed river deltas: the Red River (Song Hong) Delta, in Vietnam and localised analysis from the Tràng An Landscape Complex World Heritage Site, on the delta’s southern margin. Comparison is made between Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP) 5–8.5 and SSP2–4.5 emission projection models and the Mid-Holocene inundation of the Red River Basin. We highlight the value to taking a scientific long view of coastal evolution through an illustrative set of eight research foci where palaeo-data can bring new and localised empirical data to bear on future risk management planning. We proceed to demonstrate the applicability of palaeoenvironmental, zooarchaeological and historical evidence to management and the development of sustainable conservation strategies using Tràng An as a case study. In so doing, we further highlight the importance of knowledge exchange between scientific, corporate, non-governmental, local, and state stakeholders to achieve tangible results on the ground.
- University of London United Kingdom
- University of Oxford United Kingdom
- Bournemouth University United Kingdom
- Northumbria University United Kingdom
- Zoological Survey of India India
Archaeology & Palaeoecology, Atmospheric Science, 550, Integrated Assessment Models, Acclimatization, Geography, Planning and Development, Social Sciences, Human Settlement in the Pacific Islands, Environmental change, Engineering, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action, Radiocarbon Dating and Agricultural Origins, Anthropocene, SDG 13 - Climate Action, Climate change, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action; name=SDG 13 - Climate Action, Archaeological Residue Analysis, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/partnerships; name=SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, Environmental resource management, SDG 15 - Life on Land, Species restoration, Adaptation; Archaeology & Palaeoecology; Integrated Assessment Models; Sea level rise; Mangrove; Species restoration; Knowledge exchange, Geography, Ecology, name=SDG 15 - Life on Land, Q, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/partnerships, R, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/life_on_land; name=SDG 15 - Life on Land, Geology, Island Ecosystems, SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, name=SDG 13 - Climate Action, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Climate Change and Paleoclimatology, Aerospace engineering, Vietnam, Archaeology, Physical Sciences, Medicine, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/sustainable_cities_and_communities; name=SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, Research Article, Physical geography, Prehistory, Science, Climate Change, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/life_on_land, Sea level rise, 333, Environmental science, Knowledge exchange, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/sustainable_cities_and_communities, SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, Rivers, Humans, Adaptation, Mangrove, Biology, name=SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, Paleontology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, name=SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, Delta, FOS: Biological sciences
Archaeology & Palaeoecology, Atmospheric Science, 550, Integrated Assessment Models, Acclimatization, Geography, Planning and Development, Social Sciences, Human Settlement in the Pacific Islands, Environmental change, Engineering, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action, Radiocarbon Dating and Agricultural Origins, Anthropocene, SDG 13 - Climate Action, Climate change, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action; name=SDG 13 - Climate Action, Archaeological Residue Analysis, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/partnerships; name=SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, Environmental resource management, SDG 15 - Life on Land, Species restoration, Adaptation; Archaeology & Palaeoecology; Integrated Assessment Models; Sea level rise; Mangrove; Species restoration; Knowledge exchange, Geography, Ecology, name=SDG 15 - Life on Land, Q, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/partnerships, R, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/life_on_land; name=SDG 15 - Life on Land, Geology, Island Ecosystems, SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, name=SDG 13 - Climate Action, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Climate Change and Paleoclimatology, Aerospace engineering, Vietnam, Archaeology, Physical Sciences, Medicine, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/sustainable_cities_and_communities; name=SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, Research Article, Physical geography, Prehistory, Science, Climate Change, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/life_on_land, Sea level rise, 333, Environmental science, Knowledge exchange, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/sustainable_cities_and_communities, SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, Rivers, Humans, Adaptation, Mangrove, Biology, name=SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, Paleontology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, name=SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, Delta, FOS: Biological sciences
227 references, page 1 of 23
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pmid: 30956567
pmc: PMC6418063
handle: 10138/341765
doi: 10.1007/s10113-018-1328-4 , 10.1007/s10113-018-1328-4 , 10.5445/ir/1000083426 , 10.1007/s10113-018-1328-4
pmid: 30956567
pmc: PMC6418063
handle: 10138/341765
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description Publication2025citesadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).2 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
