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</script>Assessing climate model accuracy and future climate change in Ghana's Savannah regions
handle: 10568/131358
Abstract This study aimed to compare the performance of six regional climate models (RCMs) in simulating observed and projecting future climate in the Savannah zone of Ghana, in order to find suitable methods to improve the accuracy of climate models in the region. The study found that the accuracy of both individual RCMs and their ensemble mean improved with bias correction, but the performance of individual RCMs was dependent on location. The projected change in annual precipitation indicated a general decline in rainfall with variations based on the RCM and location. Projections under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 were larger than those under RCP 4.5. The changes in mean temperature recorded were 1 °C for the 2020s for both RCPs, 1–4 °C for the 2050s under both RCPs, and 1– 4 °C under RCP 4.5, and from 2 to 8 °C for the 2080s. These findings will aid farmers and governments in the West African subregion in making informed decisions and planning cost-effective climate adaptation strategies to reduce the impact of climate change on the ecosystem. The study highlights the importance of accurate climate projections to reduce vulnerability to climate change and the need to improve climate models in projecting climate in the West African subregion.
- CGIAR France
- International Water Management Institute South Africa
- Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology Ghana
- CGIAR Consortium France
- University of Energy and Natural Resources Ghana
savannahs, Atmospheric Science, savannah zone, Representative Concentration Pathways, Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture, Climate Change and Variability Research, Precipitation, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Vulnerability (computing), climate models, Computer security, General Circulation Model, Climate change, rainfall patterns, GE1-350, weather forecasting, Environmental resource management, TD1-1066, ghana, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Ecology, Life Sciences, Geology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, climate change, strategies, Physical Sciences, cordex, climate adaptation, precipitation, Climate model, Environmental science, Meteorology, Biology, climate change adaptation, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Climate change scenario, climate prediction, temperature, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Numerical Weather Prediction Models, Computer science, Environmental sciences, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, performance assessment, rcps, Climate Modeling
savannahs, Atmospheric Science, savannah zone, Representative Concentration Pathways, Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture, Climate Change and Variability Research, Precipitation, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Vulnerability (computing), climate models, Computer security, General Circulation Model, Climate change, rainfall patterns, GE1-350, weather forecasting, Environmental resource management, TD1-1066, ghana, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Ecology, Life Sciences, Geology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, climate change, strategies, Physical Sciences, cordex, climate adaptation, precipitation, Climate model, Environmental science, Meteorology, Biology, climate change adaptation, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Climate change scenario, climate prediction, temperature, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Numerical Weather Prediction Models, Computer science, Environmental sciences, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, performance assessment, rcps, Climate Modeling
