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Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia

Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia
Climate change, through changes in temperature, precipitation, and frequency of extreme events, has influenced agricultural production and food security over the past several decades. In order to assess climate and weather-related risks to fruit and grape production in Serbia, changes in bioclimatic indices and frequency of the occurrence of unfavourable weather events are spatially analysed for the past two decades (1998–2017) and the standard climatological period 1961–1990. Between the two periods, the Winkler and Huglin indices changed into a warmer category in most of the viticultural regions of Serbia. The average change shift was about 200 m towards higher elevations. Regarding the frequency of spring frost, high summer temperatures and water deficit, the most vulnerable regions in terms of fruit and grape production are found alongside large rivers (Danube, Sava, Great and South Morava), as well as in the northern part of the country. Regions below 300 m are under increased risk of high summer temperatures, as the number and duration of occurrences increased significantly over the studied periods. The high-resolution spatial analysis presented here gives an assessment of the climate change influence on the fruit and grapes production. The presented approach may be used in regional impact assessments and national planning of adaptation measures, and it may help increase resilience of agricultural production to climate change.
- University of Belgrade, Faculty of Agriculture Serbia
- University of Kragujevac Serbia
- University of Niš Serbia
- University of Belgrade Serbia
- University of Belgrade, Computer Centre Serbia
risk assessment, climate change; fruits; wine grape; bioclimatic indices; risk assessment, fruits, climate change, bioclimatic indices, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999, wine grape
risk assessment, climate change; fruits; wine grape; bioclimatic indices; risk assessment, fruits, climate change, bioclimatic indices, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999, wine grape
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citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).23 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% visibility views 69 download downloads 72 - 69views72downloads
Data source Views Downloads AgroSpace - Repository of the University of Belgrade, Faculty of Agriculture 69 72


