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The pantropical response of soil moisture to El Niño

The pantropical response of soil moisture to El Niño
Abstract. The 2015–2016 El Niño event ranks as one of the most severe on record in terms of the magnitude and extent of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies generated in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Corresponding global impacts on the climate were expected to rival, or even surpass, those of the 1997–1998 severe El Niño event, which had SST anomalies that were similar in size. However, the 2015–2016 event failed to meet expectations for hydrologic change in many areas, including those expected to receive well above normal precipitation. To better understand how climate anomalies during an El Niño event impact soil moisture, we investigate changes in soil moisture in the humid tropics (between ±25∘) during the three most recent super El Niño events of 1982–1983, 1997–1998 and 2015–2016, using data from the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS). First, we use in situ soil moisture observations obtained from 16 sites across five continents to validate and bias-correct estimates from GLDAS (r2=0.54). Next, we apply a k-means cluster analysis to the soil moisture estimates during the El Niño mature phase, resulting in four groups of clustered data. The strongest and most consistent decreases in soil moisture occur in the Amazon basin and maritime southeastern Asia, while the most consistent increases occur over eastern Africa. In addition, we compare changes in soil moisture to both precipitation and evapotranspiration, which showed a lack of agreement in the direction of change between these variables and soil moisture most prominently in the southern Amazon basin, the Sahel and mainland southeastern Asia. Our results can be used to improve estimates of spatiotemporal differences in El Niño impacts on soil moisture in tropical hydrology and ecosystem models at multiple scales.
- The University of Texas at Austin United States
- Dept. of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Princeton University United States
- University of Colorado Boulder United States
- Princeton University United States
- University of California System United States
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, Technology, Atmospheric Science, Atmospheric sciences, 550, Hydrological change, Soil Moisture, Sea surface temperature, Climate Change and Variability Research, zone tropicale humide, Precipitation, El niño, Oceanography, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience, Geography. Anthropology. Recreation, Climate change, GE1-350, Physical geography and environmental geoscience, TD1-1066, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Water content, Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Climate Change, Evapotranspiration, Geography, Ecology, T, Climate anomalies, Geomatic engineering, Geology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Situ soil moistures, analyse multiéchelle, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences, Environmental Engineering, Hydrometeorology, Amazon rainforest, Pantropical, Civil Engineering, Environmental science, G, sfb990_journalarticles, Meteorology, phénomène climatique, Tropical hydrologies, humidité du sol, Biology, Moisture, Genus, FOS: Environmental engineering, Botany, 500, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Remote Sensing of Soil Moisture, Climate Action, Environmental sciences, Geotechnical engineering, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, Data assimilation, Earth Sciences, Hydrology
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, Technology, Atmospheric Science, Atmospheric sciences, 550, Hydrological change, Soil Moisture, Sea surface temperature, Climate Change and Variability Research, zone tropicale humide, Precipitation, El niño, Oceanography, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience, Geography. Anthropology. Recreation, Climate change, GE1-350, Physical geography and environmental geoscience, TD1-1066, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Water content, Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Climate Change, Evapotranspiration, Geography, Ecology, T, Climate anomalies, Geomatic engineering, Geology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Situ soil moistures, analyse multiéchelle, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences, Environmental Engineering, Hydrometeorology, Amazon rainforest, Pantropical, Civil Engineering, Environmental science, G, sfb990_journalarticles, Meteorology, phénomène climatique, Tropical hydrologies, humidité du sol, Biology, Moisture, Genus, FOS: Environmental engineering, Botany, 500, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Remote Sensing of Soil Moisture, Climate Action, Environmental sciences, Geotechnical engineering, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, Data assimilation, Earth Sciences, Hydrology
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