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Past and future drought in Northwestern Algeria: the Beni Bahdel Dam catchment

Abstract. In last decades, the impact of climate change started to appear in the semi-arid regions of the Mediterranean Basin. The severity and frequency of drought events in Northwestern Algeria have affected water resources availability and agriculture. This study aims to evaluate the temporal evolution of drought events characteristics, such as drought duration, frequency and severity, of the Beni Bahdel Dam catchment, Northwestern Algeria. Drought characteristics have been derived from the Standardized precipitation index (SPI) computed for the period from 1941 to 2100 using precipitation data from observations and simulations of the regional climate model RCA4 (Rossby Centre Atmosphere model, version 4). The RCA4 model was forced by the global circulation model MPI-ESM-LR under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios. The ability of the model simulations was firstly assessed to reproduce the drought characteristics from observed data (1951–2005). Then, future changes in drought characteristics over the twenty-first century were investigated under the two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Results show an amplification of drought frequencies and durations in the future under the RCP8.5 scenario.
- National Institute for Nuclear Physics Italy
- École Nationale Supérieure d'Hydraulique Algeria
- European Commission Belgium
- European Union Belgium
- École Normale Supérieure France
Water resources, Representative Concentration Pathways, Arid, Strategy and Management, Climate Change and Variability Research, Pharmaceutical Science, Precipitation, Oceanography, Drug Discovery, General Circulation Model, Climate change, GE1-350, Water Science and Technology, Marketing, Climatology, QE1-996.5, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Ecology, Hydrology (agriculture), Geology, Hydrological Modeling and Water Resource Management, Archaeology, Physical Sciences, Cartography, Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management, Drainage basin, Climate model, Environmental science, Meteorology, Biology, Pharmacology, Drought, Paleontology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Environmental sciences, Geotechnical engineering, FOS: Biological sciences, Global Drought Monitoring and Assessment, Environmental Science, Mediterranean climate, Climate Modeling
Water resources, Representative Concentration Pathways, Arid, Strategy and Management, Climate Change and Variability Research, Pharmaceutical Science, Precipitation, Oceanography, Drug Discovery, General Circulation Model, Climate change, GE1-350, Water Science and Technology, Marketing, Climatology, QE1-996.5, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Ecology, Hydrology (agriculture), Geology, Hydrological Modeling and Water Resource Management, Archaeology, Physical Sciences, Cartography, Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management, Drainage basin, Climate model, Environmental science, Meteorology, Biology, Pharmacology, Drought, Paleontology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Environmental sciences, Geotechnical engineering, FOS: Biological sciences, Global Drought Monitoring and Assessment, Environmental Science, Mediterranean climate, Climate Modeling
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).9 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% visibility views 2 download downloads 5 - 2views5downloads
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