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Structural differences in adolescent brains can predict alcohol misuse
Alcohol misuse during adolescence (AAM) has been associated with disruptive development of adolescent brains. In this longitudinal machine learning (ML) study, we could predict AAM significantly from brain structure (T1-weighted imaging and DTI) with accuracies of 73 -78% in the IMAGEN dataset (n∼1182). Our results not only show that structural differences in brain can predict AAM, but also suggests that such differences might precede AAM behavior in the data. We predicted 10 phenotypes of AAM at age 22 using brain MRI features at ages 14, 19, and 22. Binge drinking was found to be the most predictable phenotype. The most informative brain features were located in the ventricular CSF, and in white matter tracts of the corpus callosum, internal capsule, and brain stem. In the cortex, they were spread across the occipital, frontal, and temporal lobes and in the cingulate cortex. We also experimented with four different ML models and several confound control techniques. Support Vector Machine (SVM) with rbf kernel and Gradient Boosting consistently performed better than the linear models, linear SVM and Logistic Regression. Our study also demonstrates how the choice of the predicted phenotype, ML model, and confound correction technique are all crucial decisions in an explorative ML study analyzing psychiatric disorders with small effect sizes such as AAM.
- Central Institute of Mental Health Germany
- Charité - University Medicine Berlin Germany
- University of Vermont United States
- TU Dresden Germany
- Technical University of Berlin Germany
Adolescent, QH301-705.5, Science, [SDV.MHEP.PSM] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Psychiatrics and mental health, 150, Fakultät für Gesundheitswissenschaften, 610, alcohol use disorder, psychiatric research, Corpus Callosum, neuroscience, confound control, computational biology, [SDV.MHEP.PED] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Pediatrics, 616, magnetic resonance imaging, Humans, [SDV.NEU] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Neurons and Cognition [q-bio.NC], Biology (General), ddc:610, Ethanol, Q, R, Brain, systems biology, data science for psychiatry, adolescence alcohol misuse, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, White Matter, [STAT.ML] Statistics [stat]/Machine Learning [stat.ML], Alcoholism, multivariate analysis, [SDV.IB.IMA] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Bioengineering/Imaging, machine learning, Medicine, Computational and Systems Biology
Adolescent, QH301-705.5, Science, [SDV.MHEP.PSM] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Psychiatrics and mental health, 150, Fakultät für Gesundheitswissenschaften, 610, alcohol use disorder, psychiatric research, Corpus Callosum, neuroscience, confound control, computational biology, [SDV.MHEP.PED] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Pediatrics, 616, magnetic resonance imaging, Humans, [SDV.NEU] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Neurons and Cognition [q-bio.NC], Biology (General), ddc:610, Ethanol, Q, R, Brain, systems biology, data science for psychiatry, adolescence alcohol misuse, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, White Matter, [STAT.ML] Statistics [stat]/Machine Learning [stat.ML], Alcoholism, multivariate analysis, [SDV.IB.IMA] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Bioengineering/Imaging, machine learning, Medicine, Computational and Systems Biology
