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Coastal Engineering Proceedings
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RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF BEACHES AS DEFENSES AGAINST STORM IMPACTS UNDER A CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Conference object , Other literature type 28 Oct 2014 Spain Publisher:Coastal Engineering Research CouncilJournal:Coastal Engineering Proceedings (issn: 0589-087X, eissn: 2156-1028, Copyright policy )Funded by:EC | RISES-AM-
Authors: Agustín Sánchez-Arcilla; Marta Gómez; Vicente Gracia; Xavi Gironella; Manuel García-Leon;

doi: 10.9753/icce.v34.management.12

RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF BEACHES AS DEFENSES AGAINST STORM IMPACTS UNDER A CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO

Abstract

An analysis of the probability of failure of beaches along the Catalan coast (Northwestern Mediterranean) is presented. The failure condition is defined when waves are able to overtop the beach and reach the backshore. The analysis is performed by means of a verification equation where most of the related variables are assumed to be stochastic. The probability of failure of beaches is calculated by means of MonteCarlo simulations for present conditions and different climate change scenarios. At present 14% of the Catalan beaches fail the proposed protection function against storms. Under a high-end climate change projection (A1FI) 21% of beaches will fail.

Country
Spain
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Keywords

:Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes [Àrees temàtiques de la UPC], Climate change, MonteCarlo simulations, Platges -- Erosió -- Catalunya, Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes, Beaches--Spain--Catalonia, Beach flooding, Overtopping

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