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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Renewable Energyarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Renewable Energy
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Solar energy potential assessment of western Himalayan Indian state of Himachal Pradesh using J48 algorithm of WEKA in ANN based prediction model

Authors: Shyam Singh Chandel; Amit Kumar Yadav;

Solar energy potential assessment of western Himalayan Indian state of Himachal Pradesh using J48 algorithm of WEKA in ANN based prediction model

Abstract

Abstract Solar potential of western Himalayan Indian state of Himachal Pradesh is assessed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based global solar radiation (GSR) prediction model. J48 algorithm in Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis (WEKA)is used for the selection of input parameters for ANN model for predicting GSR. Most relevant input parameters are found to be temperature, altitude and sunshine hours whereas latitude, longitude, clearness index and extraterrestrial radiation are found to be least influencing variables. The usefulness of J48 algorithm in variable selection is checked by developing five ANN models: ANN-1, ANN-2, ANN-3, ANN-4 and ANN-5. The maximum mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) for ANN-1, ANN-2, ANN-3, ANN-4 and ANN-5 are found to be 16.91%, 16.89%, 16.38%, 6.89% and 9.04% respectively. ANN-5 model is used to develop the solar maps of Himachal Pradesh. The estimated GSR varies from 3.59 to 5.38 kWh/m 2 /day indicating good solar potential for solar energy applications. A correlation is developed between NASA satellite data and ground measured GSR data to find values close to ground measured GSR for different locations. The correlation coefficient is found to be 0.97. Models developed can be used to assess solar potential of any location worldwide.

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