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Impact of climate change on hydro-meteorological drought over the Be River Basin, Vietnam

Impact of climate change on hydro-meteorological drought over the Be River Basin, Vietnam
Abstract In this paper, the responses of hydro-meteorological drought to changing climate in the Be River Basin located in Southern Vietnam are investigated. Climate change scenarios for the study area were statistically downscaled using the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator tool, which incorporates climate projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) based on an ensemble of five general circulation models (Can-ESM2, CNRM-CM5, HadGEM2-AO, IPSL-CM5A-LR, and MPI-ESM-MR) under two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). The Soil and Water Assessment Tool model was employed to simulate streamflow for the baseline time period and three consecutive future 20-year periods of 2030s (2021–2040), 2050s (2041–2060), and 2070s (2061–2080). Based on the simulation results, the Standardized Precipitation Index and Standardized Discharge Index were estimated to evaluate the features of hydro-meteorological droughts. The hydrological drought has a 1-month lag time from the meteorological drought and the hydro-meteorological droughts have negative correlations with the El Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Under the climate change impacts, the trends of drought severity will decrease in the future; while the trends of drought frequency will increase in the near future period (2030s), but decrease in the following future periods (2050 and 2070s). The findings of this study can provide useful information for the policy- and decisionmakers for a better future planning and management of water resources in the study region.
- Seoul National University Korea (Republic of)
- Ho Chi Minh City University of Science Viet Nam
- Vietnam National University, Hanoi Viet Nam
- Vietnam National University Viet Nam
- Institute for Nuclear Science and Technology Viet Nam
Cartography, Water resources, Drainage basin, Representative Concentration Pathways, Climate Change and Variability Research, Streamflow, Precipitation, Coupled model intercomparison project, Oceanography, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Climate model, Environmental science, Meteorology, swat model, General Circulation Model, Climate change, GE1-350, Biology, hydro-meteorological drought, TD1-1066, Water Science and Technology, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Ecology, Geology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Watershed Simulation, Environmental sciences, climate change, Hydrological Modeling and Water Resource Management, FOS: Biological sciences, Global Drought Monitoring and Assessment, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, be river basin, Climate Modeling
Cartography, Water resources, Drainage basin, Representative Concentration Pathways, Climate Change and Variability Research, Streamflow, Precipitation, Coupled model intercomparison project, Oceanography, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Climate model, Environmental science, Meteorology, swat model, General Circulation Model, Climate change, GE1-350, Biology, hydro-meteorological drought, TD1-1066, Water Science and Technology, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Ecology, Geology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Watershed Simulation, Environmental sciences, climate change, Hydrological Modeling and Water Resource Management, FOS: Biological sciences, Global Drought Monitoring and Assessment, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, be river basin, Climate Modeling
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