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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2017 Qatar, Norway, United Kingdom, Denmark, Qatar, United Kingdom, United KingdomPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:NSERC, UKRI | The role of Arctic sea ic..., AKA | RESILIENCE IN SOCIAL-ECOL... +6 projectsNSERC ,UKRI| The role of Arctic sea ice in climatic and ecological processes ,AKA| RESILIENCE IN SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS IN IN NORTHWEST EURASIA (RISES) ,RCN| Understanding ecosystem functionality, expansion and retreat of species in the Scandinavian mountain tundra under multiple drivers of change ,UKRI| Permafrost catchments in transition: hydrological controls on carbon cycling and greenhouse gas budgets ,AKA| Consequences of climate-driven changes in background below- and aboveground herbivory for tree growth, forest productivity, and ecosystem functions ,[no funder available] ,EC| INTERACT ,NWO| Feedbacks of vegetation change to permafrost thawing, soil nutrient availability and carbon storage in tundra ecosystemsAuthors: Signe Normand; Maite Gartzia;Philip A. Wookey;
Maja K. Sundqvist; +61 AuthorsPhilip A. Wookey
Philip A. Wookey in OpenAIRESigne Normand; Maite Gartzia;Philip A. Wookey;
Maja K. Sundqvist; Maja K. Sundqvist;Philip A. Wookey
Philip A. Wookey in OpenAIREMartin Wilmking;
Martin Wilmking
Martin Wilmking in OpenAIREJuha M. Alatalo;
Alexander Sokolov; James D. M. Speed; Anna Skoracka;Juha M. Alatalo
Juha M. Alatalo in OpenAIREDagmar Egelkraut;
Lee Ann Fishback; Ashley L. Asmus;Dagmar Egelkraut
Dagmar Egelkraut in OpenAIREC. Guillermo Bueno;
Timo Kumpula; Dorothee Ehrich;C. Guillermo Bueno
C. Guillermo Bueno in OpenAIREAgata Buchwal;
Agata Buchwal;Agata Buchwal
Agata Buchwal in OpenAIREElina Kaarlejärvi;
Elina Kaarlejärvi; Toke T. Høye; Martin Hallinger; Vitali Zverev; Milena Holmgren;Elina Kaarlejärvi
Elina Kaarlejärvi in OpenAIREMariska te Beest;
Mariska te Beest
Mariska te Beest in OpenAIREEeva M. Soininen;
Eeva M. Soininen
Eeva M. Soininen in OpenAIREJean-Pierre Tremblay;
Jean-Pierre Tremblay
Jean-Pierre Tremblay in OpenAIREKari Anne Bråthen;
Sergey A. Uvarov; Natalya A. Sokolova; Elin Lindén; Judith Sitters; Judith Sitters;Kari Anne Bråthen
Kari Anne Bråthen in OpenAIREIsla H. Myers-Smith;
Johan Olofsson; Katherine S. Christie; Eric Post; Cynthia Y.M.J.G. Lange;Isla H. Myers-Smith
Isla H. Myers-Smith in OpenAIREEsther Lévesque;
Esther Lévesque
Esther Lévesque in OpenAIREIngibjörg S. Jónsdóttir;
Ingibjörg S. Jónsdóttir; Juul Limpens; Paul Grogan; Yulia V. Denisova;Ingibjörg S. Jónsdóttir
Ingibjörg S. Jónsdóttir in OpenAIRETommi Andersson;
Marc Macias-Fauria;Tommi Andersson
Tommi Andersson in OpenAIREDavid A. Watts;
David A. Watts
David A. Watts in OpenAIREHeike Zimmermann;
Adrian V. Rocha;Heike Zimmermann
Heike Zimmermann in OpenAIREDiane C. Huebner;
Diane C. Huebner
Diane C. Huebner in OpenAIREJulia Boike;
Julia Boike
Julia Boike in OpenAIREDavid S. Hik;
Otso Suominen; Christine Urbanowicz;David S. Hik
David S. Hik in OpenAIREIsabel C. Barrio;
Isabel C. Barrio
Isabel C. Barrio in OpenAIRENikita Tananaev;
Annika Hofgaard;Nikita Tananaev
Nikita Tananaev in OpenAIREJelena Lange;
Jelena Lange
Jelena Lange in OpenAIREBruce C. Forbes;
John P. Bryant; Lorna E. Street; Monique M. P. D. Heijmans; Mikhail V. Kozlov;Bruce C. Forbes
Bruce C. Forbes in OpenAIREErik J. van Nieukerken;
Erik J. van Nieukerken
Erik J. van Nieukerken in OpenAIRENiels Martin Schmidt;
Niels Martin Schmidt
Niels Martin Schmidt in OpenAIREChronic, low intensity herbivory by invertebrates, termed background herbivory, has been understudied in tundra, yet its impacts are likely to increase in a warmer Arctic. The magnitude of these changes is however hard to predict as we know little about the drivers of current levels of invertebrate herbivory in tundra. We assessed the intensity of invertebrate herbivory on a common tundra plant, the dwarf birch (Betula glandulosa-nana complex), and investigated its relationship to latitude and climate across the tundra biome. Leaf damage by defoliating, mining and gall-forming invertebrates was measured in samples collected from 192 sites at 56 locations. Our results indicate that invertebrate herbivory is nearly ubiquitous across the tundra biome but occurs at low intensity. On average, invertebrates damaged 11.2% of the leaves and removed 1.4% of total leaf area. The damage was mainly caused by external leaf feeders, and most damaged leaves were only slightly affected (12% leaf area lost). Foliar damage was consistently positively correlated with mid-summer (July) temperature and, to a lesser extent, precipitation in the year of data collection, irrespective of latitude. Our models predict that, on average, foliar losses to invertebrates on dwarf birch are likely to increase by 6--7% over the current levels with a 1 textdegreeC increase in summer temperatures. Our results show that invertebrate herbivory on dwarf birch is small in magnitude but given its prevalence and dependence on climatic variables, background invertebrate herbivory should be included in predictions of climate change impacts on tundra ecosystems.
CORE arrow_drop_down University of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Stirling: Stirling Digital Research RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Qatar University: QU Institutional RepositoryArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1007/s00300-017-2139-7&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 49 citations 49 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
download 63download downloads 63 Powered bymore_vert CORE arrow_drop_down University of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Stirling: Stirling Digital Research RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Qatar University: QU Institutional RepositoryArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1007/s00300-017-2139-7&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 2023 New Zealand, Denmark, Spain, United States, New ZealandPublisher:American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) Authors:Wu-Bing Xu;
Wu-Bing Xu
Wu-Bing Xu in OpenAIREWen-Yong Guo;
Wen-Yong Guo
Wen-Yong Guo in OpenAIREJosep M. Serra-Diaz;
Josep M. Serra-Diaz
Josep M. Serra-Diaz in OpenAIREFranziska Schrodt;
+55 AuthorsFranziska Schrodt
Franziska Schrodt in OpenAIREWu-Bing Xu;
Wu-Bing Xu
Wu-Bing Xu in OpenAIREWen-Yong Guo;
Wen-Yong Guo
Wen-Yong Guo in OpenAIREJosep M. Serra-Diaz;
Josep M. Serra-Diaz
Josep M. Serra-Diaz in OpenAIREFranziska Schrodt;
Franziska Schrodt
Franziska Schrodt in OpenAIREWolf L. Eiserhardt;
Wolf L. Eiserhardt
Wolf L. Eiserhardt in OpenAIREBrian J. Enquist;
Brian J. Enquist
Brian J. Enquist in OpenAIREBrian S. Maitner;
Cory Merow; Cyrille Violle;Brian S. Maitner
Brian S. Maitner in OpenAIREMadhur Anand;
Madhur Anand
Madhur Anand in OpenAIREMichaël Belluau;
Michaël Belluau
Michaël Belluau in OpenAIREHans Henrik Bruun;
Hans Henrik Bruun
Hans Henrik Bruun in OpenAIREChaeho Byun;
Chaeho Byun
Chaeho Byun in OpenAIREJane A. Catford;
Jane A. Catford
Jane A. Catford in OpenAIREBruno E. L. Cerabolini;
Bruno E. L. Cerabolini
Bruno E. L. Cerabolini in OpenAIREEduardo Chacón-Madrigal;
Eduardo Chacón-Madrigal
Eduardo Chacón-Madrigal in OpenAIREDaniela Ciccarelli;
Daniela Ciccarelli
Daniela Ciccarelli in OpenAIREJ. Hans C. Cornelissen;
Anh Tuan Dang-Le;J. Hans C. Cornelissen
J. Hans C. Cornelissen in OpenAIREAngel de Frutos;
Angel de Frutos
Angel de Frutos in OpenAIREArildo S. Dias;
Arildo S. Dias
Arildo S. Dias in OpenAIREAelton B. Giroldo;
Aelton B. Giroldo
Aelton B. Giroldo in OpenAIREAlvaro G. Gutiérrez;
Alvaro G. Gutiérrez
Alvaro G. Gutiérrez in OpenAIREWesley Hattingh;
Wesley Hattingh
Wesley Hattingh in OpenAIRETianhua He;
Tianhua He
Tianhua He in OpenAIREPeter Hietz;
Peter Hietz
Peter Hietz in OpenAIRENate Hough-Snee;
Nate Hough-Snee
Nate Hough-Snee in OpenAIRESteven Jansen;
Steven Jansen
Steven Jansen in OpenAIREJens Kattge;
Benjamin Komac;Jens Kattge
Jens Kattge in OpenAIRENathan J. B. Kraft;
Nathan J. B. Kraft
Nathan J. B. Kraft in OpenAIREKoen Kramer;
Koen Kramer
Koen Kramer in OpenAIRESandra Lavorel;
Sandra Lavorel
Sandra Lavorel in OpenAIREChristopher H. Lusk;
Christopher H. Lusk
Christopher H. Lusk in OpenAIREAdam R. Martin;
Adam R. Martin
Adam R. Martin in OpenAIREKe-Ping Ma;
Ke-Ping Ma
Ke-Ping Ma in OpenAIREMaurizio Mencuccini;
Maurizio Mencuccini
Maurizio Mencuccini in OpenAIRESean T. Michaletz;
Vanessa Minden;Sean T. Michaletz
Sean T. Michaletz in OpenAIREAkira S. Mori;
Akira S. Mori
Akira S. Mori in OpenAIREÜlo Niinemets;
Yusuke Onoda;Ülo Niinemets
Ülo Niinemets in OpenAIRERenske E. Onstein;
Renske E. Onstein
Renske E. Onstein in OpenAIREJosep Peñuelas;
Josep Peñuelas
Josep Peñuelas in OpenAIREValério D. Pillar;
Valério D. Pillar
Valério D. Pillar in OpenAIREJan Pisek;
Jan Pisek
Jan Pisek in OpenAIREMatthew J. Pound;
Matthew J. Pound
Matthew J. Pound in OpenAIREBjorn J. M. Robroek;
Brandon Schamp;Bjorn J. M. Robroek
Bjorn J. M. Robroek in OpenAIREMartijn Slot;
Martijn Slot
Martijn Slot in OpenAIREMiao Sun;
Miao Sun
Miao Sun in OpenAIREÊnio E. Sosinski;
Ênio E. Sosinski
Ênio E. Sosinski in OpenAIRENadejda A. Soudzilovskaia;
Nadejda A. Soudzilovskaia
Nadejda A. Soudzilovskaia in OpenAIRENelson Thiffault;
Nelson Thiffault
Nelson Thiffault in OpenAIREPeter M. van Bodegom;
Fons van der Plas;Peter M. van Bodegom
Peter M. van Bodegom in OpenAIREJingming Zheng;
Jingming Zheng
Jingming Zheng in OpenAIREJens-Christian Svenning;
Jens-Christian Svenning
Jens-Christian Svenning in OpenAIREAlejandro Ordonez;
Alejandro Ordonez
Alejandro Ordonez in OpenAIREAs Earth’s climate has varied strongly through geological time, studying the impacts of past climate change on biodiversity helps to understand the risks from future climate change. However, it remains unclear how paleoclimate shapes spatial variation in biodiversity. Here, we assessed the influence of Quaternary climate change on spatial dissimilarity in taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional composition among neighboring 200-kilometer cells (beta-diversity) for angiosperm trees worldwide. We found that larger glacial-interglacial temperature change was strongly associated with lower spatial turnover (species replacements) and higher nestedness (richness changes) components of beta-diversity across all three biodiversity facets. Moreover, phylogenetic and functional turnover was lower and nestedness higher than random expectations based on taxonomic beta-diversity in regions that experienced large temperature change, reflecting phylogenetically and functionally selective processes in species replacement, extinction, and colonization during glacial-interglacial oscillations. Our results suggest that future human-driven climate change could cause local homogenization and reduction in taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional diversity of angiosperm trees worldwide.
The University of Wa... arrow_drop_down The University of Waikato: Research CommonsArticle . 2023License: CC BYFull-Text: https://hdl.handle.net/10289/15686Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2023Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1126/sciadv.add8553&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 21 citations 21 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert The University of Wa... arrow_drop_down The University of Waikato: Research CommonsArticle . 2023License: CC BYFull-Text: https://hdl.handle.net/10289/15686Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2023Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1126/sciadv.add8553&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Part of book or chapter of book , Article , Journal 2021 SpainPublisher:Elsevier BV Authors: Francesco Colloca;Fabio Bulleri;
Fabio Bulleri
Fabio Bulleri in OpenAIREAntonio Di Franco;
Cristiana Guerranti; +28 AuthorsAntonio Di Franco
Antonio Di Franco in OpenAIREFrancesco Colloca;Fabio Bulleri;
Fabio Bulleri
Fabio Bulleri in OpenAIREAntonio Di Franco;
Cristiana Guerranti; Monia Renzi; Enric Ballesteros; Maria Cristina Mangano; Carlo Cerrano; Antonio Pusceddu; Gianluca Sarà; Ferdinando Boero; Ferdinando Boero;Antonio Di Franco
Antonio Di Franco in OpenAIREGil Rilov;
Gil Rilov
Gil Rilov in OpenAIREStanislao Bevilacqua;
Joaquim Garrabou; Joaquim Garrabou; Marco Milazzo;Stanislao Bevilacqua
Stanislao Bevilacqua in OpenAIRELaura Airoldi;
Laura Airoldi;Laura Airoldi
Laura Airoldi in OpenAIREFiorenza Micheli;
Benjamin S. Halpern; Paolo Guidetti; Paolo Guidetti;Fiorenza Micheli
Fiorenza Micheli in OpenAIREJoachim Claudet;
Joachim Claudet
Joachim Claudet in OpenAIRELisandro Benedetti-Cecchi;
Lisandro Benedetti-Cecchi
Lisandro Benedetti-Cecchi in OpenAIREGiuseppe Guarnieri;
Martina Coppari; Antonio Terlizzi; Antonio Terlizzi;Giuseppe Guarnieri
Giuseppe Guarnieri in OpenAIREEmma Cebrian;
Simonetta Fraschetti;Emma Cebrian
Emma Cebrian in OpenAIREStelios Katsanevakis;
Stelios Katsanevakis
Stelios Katsanevakis in OpenAIREGlobal change is striking harder and faster in the Mediterranean Sea than elsewhere, where high levels of human pressure and proneness to climate change interact in modifying the structure and disrupting regulative mechanisms of marine ecosystems. Rocky reefs are particularly exposed to such environmental changes with ongoing trends of degradation being impressive. Due to the variety of habitat types and associated marine biodiversity, rocky reefs are critical for the functioning of marine ecosystems, and their decline could profoundly affect the provision of essential goods and services which human populations in coastal areas rely upon. Here, we provide an up-to-date overview of the status of rocky reefs, trends in human-driven changes undermining their integrity, and current and upcoming management and conservation strategies, attempting a projection on what could be the future of this essential component of Mediterranean marine ecosystems.
https://hal.archives... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAhttps://doi.org/10.1016/bs.amb...Part of book or chapter of book . 2021 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Elsevier TDMData sources: Crossrefadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/bs.amb.2021.08.001&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen 32 citations 32 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert https://hal.archives... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAhttps://doi.org/10.1016/bs.amb...Part of book or chapter of book . 2021 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Elsevier TDMData sources: Crossrefadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/bs.amb.2021.08.001&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2019 Germany, France, Spain, United Kingdom, France, Spain, United States, Australia, AustraliaPublisher:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Funded by:EC | BIGSEA, NSERC, EC | MERCES +1 projectsEC| BIGSEA ,NSERC ,EC| MERCES ,EC| CERESAuthors:David A. Carozza;
Steve Mackinson;David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREVilly Christensen;
+37 AuthorsVilly Christensen
Villy Christensen in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
Steve Mackinson;David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREVilly Christensen;
Philippe Verley;Villy Christensen
Villy Christensen in OpenAIRESusa Niiranen;
Susa Niiranen
Susa Niiranen in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREMatthias Büchner;
Matthias Büchner
Matthias Büchner in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; Jan Volkholz; John P. Dunne; Elizabeth A. Fulton;Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIRERicardo Oliveros-Ramos;
Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos
Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos in OpenAIREJacob Schewe;
Jacob Schewe
Jacob Schewe in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
Simon Jennings; Manuel Barange;Simon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIRECharles A. Stock;
Charles A. Stock
Charles A. Stock in OpenAIREBoris Worm;
Miranda C. Jones;Boris Worm
Boris Worm in OpenAIRENicola D. Walker;
Nicola D. Walker
Nicola D. Walker in OpenAIRELaurent Bopp;
Olivier Maury; Olivier Maury; William W. L. Cheung;Laurent Bopp
Laurent Bopp in OpenAIRETiago H. Silva;
Tiago H. Silva
Tiago H. Silva in OpenAIREDaniele Bianchi;
Daniele Bianchi
Daniele Bianchi in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Tilla Roy;Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIRECatherine M. Bulman;
Tyler D. Eddy; Tyler D. Eddy;Catherine M. Bulman
Catherine M. Bulman in OpenAIRENicolas Barrier;
Nicolas Barrier
Nicolas Barrier in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Eric D. Galbraith; Eric D. Galbraith;Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREJose A. Fernandes;
Jose A. Fernandes
Jose A. Fernandes in OpenAIREYunne-Jai Shin;
Yunne-Jai Shin;Yunne-Jai Shin
Yunne-Jai Shin in OpenAIREWhile the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally rely on individual models with a specific set of assumptions. To address these single-model limitations, we present standardized ensemble projections from six global marine ecosystem models forced with two Earth system models and four emission scenarios with and without fishing. We derive average biomass trends and associated uncertainties across the marine food web. Without fishing, mean global animal biomass decreased by 5% (±4% SD) under low emissions and 17% (±11% SD) under high emissions by 2100, with an average 5% decline for every 1 °C of warming. Projected biomass declines were primarily driven by increasing temperature and decreasing primary production, and were more pronounced at higher trophic levels, a process known as trophic amplification. Fishing did not substantially alter the effects of climate change. Considerable regional variation featured strong biomass increases at high latitudes and decreases at middle to low latitudes, with good model agreement on the direction of change but variable magnitude. Uncertainties due to variations in marine ecosystem and Earth system models were similar. Ensemble projections performed well compared with empirical data, emphasizing the benefits of multimodel inference to project future outcomes. Our results indicate that global ocean animal biomass consistently declines with climate change, and that these impacts are amplified at higher trophic levels. Next steps for model development include dynamic scenarios of fishing, cumulative human impacts, and the effects of management measures on future ocean biomass trends.
CIRAD: HAL (Agricult... arrow_drop_down CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Bretagne Occidentale: HALArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1073/pnas.1900194116&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 397 citations 397 popularity Top 0.1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 30visibility views 30 download downloads 97 Powered bymore_vert CIRAD: HAL (Agricult... arrow_drop_down CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Bretagne Occidentale: HALArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1073/pnas.1900194116&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Conference object , Other literature type , Journal 2018 France, Spain, France, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, United Kingdom, United KingdomPublisher:Copernicus GmbH Funded by:EC | BIGSEA, EC | BIOWEB, ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran... +2 projectsEC| BIGSEA ,EC| BIOWEB ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140101377 ,EC| CERES ,NSERCAuthors:D. P. Tittensor;
D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy; +47 AuthorsD. P. Tittensor
D. P. Tittensor in OpenAIRED. P. Tittensor;
D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy;D. P. Tittensor
D. P. Tittensor in OpenAIREH. K. Lotze;
H. K. Lotze
H. K. Lotze in OpenAIREE. D. Galbraith;
E. D. Galbraith;E. D. Galbraith
E. D. Galbraith in OpenAIREW. Cheung;
M. Barange; M. Barange;W. Cheung
W. Cheung in OpenAIREJ. L. Blanchard;
J. L. Blanchard
J. L. Blanchard in OpenAIREL. Bopp;
A. Bryndum-Buchholz;
A. Bryndum-Buchholz
A. Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREM. Büchner;
M. Büchner
M. Büchner in OpenAIREC. Bulman;
C. Bulman
C. Bulman in OpenAIRED. A. Carozza;
D. A. Carozza
D. A. Carozza in OpenAIREV. Christensen;
V. Christensen
V. Christensen in OpenAIREM. Coll;
M. Coll; M. Coll; J. P. Dunne; J. A. Fernandes; J. A. Fernandes; E. A. Fulton; E. A. Fulton; A. J. Hobday; A. J. Hobday;V. Huber;
V. Huber
V. Huber in OpenAIRES. Jennings;
S. Jennings; S. Jennings; M. Jones;S. Jennings
S. Jennings in OpenAIREP. Lehodey;
P. Lehodey
P. Lehodey in OpenAIREJ. S. Link;
J. S. Link
J. S. Link in OpenAIRES. Mackinson;
S. Mackinson
S. Mackinson in OpenAIREO. Maury;
O. Maury;O. Maury
O. Maury in OpenAIRES. Niiranen;
R. Oliveros-Ramos; T. Roy; T. Roy;S. Niiranen
S. Niiranen in OpenAIREJ. Schewe;
J. Schewe
J. Schewe in OpenAIREY.-J. Shin;
Y.-J. Shin;Y.-J. Shin
Y.-J. Shin in OpenAIRET. Silva;
T. Silva
T. Silva in OpenAIREC. A. Stock;
C. A. Stock
C. A. Stock in OpenAIREJ. Steenbeek;
P. J. Underwood; J. Volkholz; J. R. Watson;J. Steenbeek
J. Steenbeek in OpenAIREN. D. Walker;
N. D. Walker
N. D. Walker in OpenAIREhandle: 10261/165167
Abstract. Model intercomparison studies in the climate and Earth sciences communities have been crucial to building credibility and coherence for future projections. They have quantified variability among models, spurred model development, contrasted within- and among-model uncertainty, assessed model fits to historical data, and provided ensemble projections of future change under specified scenarios. Given the speed and magnitude of anthropogenic change in the marine environment and the consequent effects on food security, biodiversity, marine industries, and society, the time is ripe for similar comparisons among models of fisheries and marine ecosystems. Here, we describe the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project protocol version 1.0 (Fish-MIP v1.0), part of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP), which is a cross-sectoral network of climate impact modellers. Given the complexity of the marine ecosystem, this class of models has substantial heterogeneity of purpose, scope, theoretical underpinning, processes considered, parameterizations, resolution (grain size), and spatial extent. This heterogeneity reflects the lack of a unified understanding of the marine ecosystem and implies that the assemblage of all models is more likely to include a greater number of relevant processes than any single model. The current Fish-MIP protocol is designed to allow these heterogeneous models to be forced with common Earth System Model (ESM) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) outputs under prescribed scenarios for historic (from the 1950s) and future (to 2100) time periods; it will be adapted to CMIP phase 6 (CMIP6) in future iterations. It also describes a standardized set of outputs for each participating Fish-MIP model to produce. This enables the broad characterization of differences between and uncertainties within models and projections when assessing climate and fisheries impacts on marine ecosystems and the services they provide. The systematic generation, collation, and comparison of results from Fish-MIP will inform an understanding of the range of plausible changes in marine ecosystems and improve our capacity to define and convey the strengths and weaknesses of model-based advice on future states of marine ecosystems and fisheries. Ultimately, Fish-MIP represents a step towards bringing together the marine ecosystem modelling community to produce consistent ensemble medium- and long-term projections of marine ecosystems.
Plymouth Marine Scie... arrow_drop_down Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMEA)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: CORE (RIOXX-UK Aggregator)Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSUArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABGeoscientific Model Development (GMD)Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 119 citations 119 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Plymouth Marine Scie... arrow_drop_down Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMEA)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: CORE (RIOXX-UK Aggregator)Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSUArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABGeoscientific Model Development (GMD)Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2019 United KingdomPublisher:Elsevier BV Authors:Rendina, Francesco;
Rendina, Francesco
Rendina, Francesco in OpenAIREBouchet, Phil J.;
Appolloni, Luca; Russo, Giovanni Fulvio; +4 AuthorsBouchet, Phil J.
Bouchet, Phil J. in OpenAIRERendina, Francesco;
Rendina, Francesco
Rendina, Francesco in OpenAIREBouchet, Phil J.;
Appolloni, Luca; Russo, Giovanni Fulvio;Bouchet, Phil J.
Bouchet, Phil J. in OpenAIRESandulli, Roberto;
Sandulli, Roberto
Sandulli, Roberto in OpenAIREKolzenburg, Regina;
Kolzenburg, Regina
Kolzenburg, Regina in OpenAIREPutra, Aditya;
Putra, Aditya
Putra, Aditya in OpenAIRERagazzola, Federica;
Ragazzola, Federica
Ragazzola, Federica in OpenAIREClimate change is leading to an increase of mean sea surface temperatures and extreme heat events. There is an urgent need to better understand the capabilities of marine macroalgae to adapt to these rapid changes. In this study, the responses of photosynthesis, respiration, and calcification to elevated temperature in a global warming scenario were investigated in the coralline alga Corallina officinalis. Algae were cultured for 7 weeks under 4 temperature treatments: (1) control under ambient-summer conditions (C, ~20 °C), (2) simulating a one-week heatwave of 1 °C (HW, Tcontrol+1 °C), (3) elevated temperature (+3, Tcontrol +3 °C), (4) combination of the two previous treatments (HW+3, T+3+1 °C). After exposure at T+3 (up to a Tmax of ~23 °C), respiration and photosynthesis increased significantly. After 5 weeks, calcification rates were higher at elevated temperatures (T+3 and THW+3) compared to Tcontrol, but at the end of the experiment (7 weeks) calcification decreased significantly at those temperatures beyond the thermal optimum (six-fold at T+3, and three-fold at THW+3, respectively). The same trend was noted for all the physiological processes, suggesting that a prolonged exposure to high temperatures (7 weeks up to T+3) negatively affect the physiology of C. officinalis, as a possible consequence of thermal stress. A one-week heatwave of +1 °C with respect to Tcontrol (at THW) did not affect respiration, photosynthesis, or calcification rates. Conversely, a heatwave of 1 °C, when combined with the 3 °C increase predicted by the end of the century (at THW+3), induced a reduction of physiological rates. Continued increases in both the intensity and frequency of heatwaves under anthropogenic climate change may lead to reduced growth and survival of primary producers such as C. officinalis.
Marine Environmental... arrow_drop_down Marine Environmental ResearchArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Elsevier TDMData sources: CrossrefUniversity of St Andrews: Digital Research RepositoryArticle . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.marenvres.2019.104764&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 25 citations 25 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
visibility 2visibility views 2 download downloads 188 Powered bymore_vert Marine Environmental... arrow_drop_down Marine Environmental ResearchArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Elsevier TDMData sources: CrossrefUniversity of St Andrews: Digital Research RepositoryArticle . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.marenvres.2019.104764&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2013 SpainPublisher:Wiley Funded by:EC | MEDSEAEC| MEDSEAAuthors:Sergio Rossi;
Sergio Rossi
Sergio Rossi in OpenAIREPatrizia Ziveri;
Patrizia Ziveri
Patrizia Ziveri in OpenAIRECarles Pelejero;
Carles Pelejero; +10 AuthorsCarles Pelejero
Carles Pelejero in OpenAIRESergio Rossi;
Sergio Rossi
Sergio Rossi in OpenAIREPatrizia Ziveri;
Patrizia Ziveri
Patrizia Ziveri in OpenAIRECarles Pelejero;
Carles Pelejero;Carles Pelejero
Carles Pelejero in OpenAIREAndrea Gori;
Jordi Grinyó;Andrea Gori
Andrea Gori in OpenAIRELorenzo Bramanti;
Lorenzo Bramanti;Lorenzo Bramanti
Lorenzo Bramanti in OpenAIREEva María Calvo;
A. Martínez-Quintana; Àngel López-Sanz;Eva María Calvo
Eva María Calvo in OpenAIREM. Guron;
Juan Ignacio Movilla;M. Guron
M. Guron in OpenAIRECarlos Dominguez-Carrió;
Carlos Dominguez-Carrió
Carlos Dominguez-Carrió in OpenAIREdoi: 10.1111/gcb.12171
pmid: 23505003
AbstractThe mean predicted decrease of 0.3–0.4 pHunits in the global surface ocean by the end of the century has prompted urgent research to assess the potential effects of ocean acidification on the marine environment, with strong emphasis on calcifying organisms. Among them, the Mediterranean red coral (Corallium rubrum) is expected to be particularly susceptible to acidification effects, due to the elevated solubility of its Mg‐calcite skeleton. This, together with the large overexploitation of this species, depicts a bleak future for this organism over the next decades. In this study, we evaluated the effects of lowpHon the species from aquaria experiments. Several colonies ofC. rubrumwere long‐term maintained for 314 days in aquaria at two differentpHlevels (8.10 and 7.81,pHT). Calcification rate, spicule morphology, major biochemical constituents (protein, carbohydrates and lipids) and fatty acids composition were measured periodically. Exposure to lowerpHconditions caused a significant decrease in the skeletal growth rate in comparison with the control treatment. Similarly, the spicule morphology clearly differed between both treatments at the end of the experiment, with aberrant shapes being observed only under the acidified conditions. On the other hand, while total organic matter was significantly higher under lowpHconditions, no significant differences were detected between treatments regarding total carbohydrate, lipid, protein and fatty acid composition. However, the lower variability found among samples maintained in acidified conditions relative to controls, suggests a possible effect ofpHdecrease on the metabolism of the colonies. Our results show, for the first time, evidence of detrimental ocean acidification effects on this valuable and endangered coral species.
Global Change Biolog... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2013 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2013Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2013Data sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABGlobal Change BiologyArticle . 2013 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Wiley Online Library User AgreementData sources: Crossrefadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcb.12171&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 85 citations 85 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 26visibility views 26 download downloads 123 Powered bymore_vert Global Change Biolog... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2013 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2013Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2013Data sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABGlobal Change BiologyArticle . 2013 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Wiley Online Library User AgreementData sources: Crossrefadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcb.12171&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2018 United KingdomPublisher:Public Library of Science (PLoS) Funded by:RCN | A FRAMEWORK FOR SCIENCE-B...RCN| A FRAMEWORK FOR SCIENCE-BASED MANAGEMENT OF MARINE RECREATIONAL FISHERIES IN NORWAYAuthors:Kieran Hyder;
Kieran Hyder; Bryony Townhill;Kieran Hyder
Kieran Hyder in OpenAIREZachary Radford;
+7 AuthorsZachary Radford
Zachary Radford in OpenAIREKieran Hyder;
Kieran Hyder; Bryony Townhill;Kieran Hyder
Kieran Hyder in OpenAIREZachary Radford;
Raúl Prellezo;Zachary Radford
Zachary Radford in OpenAIREEstanis Mugerza;
Estanis Mugerza
Estanis Mugerza in OpenAIREHarry Vincent Strehlow;
Harry Vincent Strehlow
Harry Vincent Strehlow in OpenAIREWolf-Christian Lewin;
Wolf-Christian Lewin
Wolf-Christian Lewin in OpenAIREMarc Simon Weltersbach;
Keno Ferter;Marc Simon Weltersbach
Marc Simon Weltersbach in OpenAIRELucia Zarauz;
Lucia Zarauz
Lucia Zarauz in OpenAIREMarine recreational fishing (MRF) has been shown to substantially contribute to fishing mortality of marine fish. However, European MRF catches are only quantified for a small number of stocks, so it is unclear whether a significant part of fishing mortality is excluded from stock assessments. This study estimated: (i) European MRF removals, which were defined as landings plus dead releases; and (ii) impact at stock level by comparing the percentage contribution to total removal by MRF and commercial fishing. As MRF data were limited for some European countries, catches were reconstructed using a mixture of average release proportions, average fish weights, and extrapolation using the catch per fisher of the nearest country providing catch estimates. Where catch reconstructions exceeded 50%, data were excluded from further analysis. Furthermore, as MRF survey methodology can be variable, semi-quantitative estimates of bias and error were calculated for each stock. Only 10 of the 20 stocks assessed in this study had sufficient MRF data for full reliable estimates. Percentage contribution to total removals (MRF + commercial removals) by MRF ranged between 2% for Atlantic mackerel in the North Sea and Skagerrak and 43% for Atlantic pollack in the Celtic Seas and English Channel. The biomass removed ranged between 297 (± 116) tonnes (Atlantic cod in the western English Channel and southern Celtic seas) and 4820 (± 1889) tonnes (Atlantic mackerel in the North Sea and Skagerrak), but the errors were substantial. Additionally, the bias in the estimated removals was low for most stocks, with some positive biases found. The present study indicates that removals by MRF can represent a high proportion of the total removals for some European marine fish stocks, so inclusion in stock assessments should be routine. To achieve this, regular surveys of MRF are required to collect data essential for stock assessments.
University of East A... arrow_drop_down University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pone.0201666&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 91 citations 91 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 7visibility views 7 download downloads 14 Powered bymore_vert University of East A... arrow_drop_down University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pone.0201666&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2012 United Kingdom, Norway, France, FrancePublisher:Copernicus GmbH Funded by:EC | GEOCARBON, EC | COMBINE, RCN | Support for the Scientifi... +3 projectsEC| GEOCARBON ,EC| COMBINE ,RCN| Support for the Scientific Steering Committee of the Global Carbon Project ,EC| CARBOCHANGE ,SNSF| Climate and Environmental Physics ,SNSF| Klima- und UmweltphysikAuthors: Clare Enright;Chris Huntingford;
Chris Huntingford
Chris Huntingford in OpenAIREPeter Levy;
Peter Levy
Peter Levy in OpenAIREAtul K. Jain;
+33 AuthorsAtul K. Jain
Atul K. Jain in OpenAIREClare Enright;Chris Huntingford;
Chris Huntingford
Chris Huntingford in OpenAIREPeter Levy;
Peter Levy
Peter Levy in OpenAIREAtul K. Jain;
Richard A. Houghton;Atul K. Jain
Atul K. Jain in OpenAIRELaurent Bopp;
Laurent Bopp
Laurent Bopp in OpenAIRESamuel Levis;
Samuel Levis
Samuel Levis in OpenAIREAnders Ahlström;
Gregg Marland;Anders Ahlström
Anders Ahlström in OpenAIREJörg Schwinger;
Jörg Schwinger;Jörg Schwinger
Jörg Schwinger in OpenAIREC. Le Quéré;
Ning Zeng;C. Le Quéré
C. Le Quéré in OpenAIREJoanna Isobel House;
Thomas J. Conway;Joanna Isobel House
Joanna Isobel House in OpenAIRERobert J. Andres;
Robert J. Andres
Robert J. Andres in OpenAIRESönke Zaehle;
Sönke Zaehle
Sönke Zaehle in OpenAIREEtsushi Kato;
Philippe Ciais;Etsushi Kato
Etsushi Kato in OpenAIREG. R. van der Werf;
Tom Boden; Michael R. Raupach;G. R. van der Werf
G. R. van der Werf in OpenAIREBenjamin D. Stocker;
Benjamin D. Stocker
Benjamin D. Stocker in OpenAIREKees Klein Goldewijk;
Kees Klein Goldewijk;Kees Klein Goldewijk
Kees Klein Goldewijk in OpenAIREBenjamin Poulter;
Benjamin Poulter
Benjamin Poulter in OpenAIREStephen Sitch;
Ralph F. Keeling;Stephen Sitch
Stephen Sitch in OpenAIREPierre Friedlingstein;
Pierre Friedlingstein
Pierre Friedlingstein in OpenAIREScott C. Doney;
Mark R. Lomas;Scott C. Doney
Scott C. Doney in OpenAIREGlen P. Peters;
Glen P. Peters
Glen P. Peters in OpenAIREJosep G. Canadell;
Josep G. Canadell
Josep G. Canadell in OpenAIRERobbie M. Andrew;
Robbie M. Andrew
Robbie M. Andrew in OpenAIRENicolas Viovy;
Nicolas Viovy
Nicolas Viovy in OpenAIREC. Jourdain;
C. Jourdain;C. Jourdain
C. Jourdain in OpenAIREAbstract. Accurate assessments of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere is important to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the climate policy process, and project future climate change. Present-day analysis requires the combination of a range of data, algorithms, statistics and model estimates and their interpretation by a broad scientific community. Here we describe datasets and a methodology developed by the global carbon cycle science community to quantify all major components of the global carbon budget, including their uncertainties. We discuss changes compared to previous estimates, consistency within and among components, and methodology and data limitations. CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production (EFF) are based on energy statistics, while emissions from Land-Use Change (ELUC), including deforestation, are based on combined evidence from land cover change data, fire activity in regions undergoing deforestation, and models. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly and its rate of growth (GATM) is computed from the concentration. The mean ocean CO2 sink (SOCEAN) is based on observations from the 1990s, while the annual anomalies and trends are estimated with ocean models. Finally, the global residual terrestrial CO2 sink (SLAND) is estimated by the difference of the other terms. For the last decade available (2002–2011), EFF was 8.3 &pm; 0.4 PgC yr−1, ELUC 1.0 &pm; 0.5 PgC yr−1, GATM 4.3 &pm; 0.1 PgC yr−1, SOCEAN 2.5 &pm; 0.5 PgC yr−1, and SLAND 2.6 &pm; 0.8 PgC yr−1. For year 2011 alone, EFF was 9.5 &pm; 0.5 PgC yr−1, 3.0 percent above 2010, reflecting a continued trend in these emissions; ELUC was 0.9 &pm; 0.5 PgC yr−1, approximately constant throughout the decade; GATM was 3.6 &pm; 0.2 PgC yr−1, SOCEAN was 2.7 &pm; 0.5 PgC yr−1, and SLAND was 4.1 &pm; 0.9 PgC yr−1. GATM was low in 2011 compared to the 2002–2011 average because of a high uptake by the land probably in response to natural climate variability associated to La Niña conditions in the Pacific Ocean. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 391.31 &pm; 0.13 ppm at the end of year 2011. We estimate that EFF will have increased by 2.6% (1.9–3.5%) in 2012 based on projections of gross world product and recent changes in the carbon intensity of the economy. All uncertainties are reported as &pm;1 sigma (68% confidence assuming Gaussian error distributions that the real value lies within the given interval), reflecting the current capacity to characterise the annual estimates of each component of the global carbon budget. This paper is intended to provide a baseline to keep track of annual carbon budgets in the future. All data presented here can be downloaded from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (doi:10.3334/CDIAC/GCP_V2013). Global carbon budget 2013
Hyper Article en Lig... arrow_drop_down Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2013License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQArticle . 2013Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-03208397Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSUArticle . 2013Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-03208397Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Imperial College London: SpiralArticle . 2013License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/41754Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Bergen: Bergen Open Research Archive (BORA-UiB)Article . 2016License: CC BYFull-Text: https://hdl.handle.net/1956/12481Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Earth System Science Data (ESSD)Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Crossrefhttps://doi.org/10.5194/essdd-...Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefBergen Open Research Archive - UiBArticle . 2013 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Bergen Open Research Archive - UiBUniversity of Bristol: Bristol ResearchArticle . 2013Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2013Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Other literature type 2022Publisher:OpenAlex Authors:Heidi Kreibich;
Heidi Kreibich
Heidi Kreibich in OpenAIREAnne F. Van Loon;
Anne F. Van Loon
Anne F. Van Loon in OpenAIREKai Schröter;
Kai Schröter
Kai Schröter in OpenAIREPhilip J. Ward;
+87 AuthorsPhilip J. Ward
Philip J. Ward in OpenAIREHeidi Kreibich;
Heidi Kreibich
Heidi Kreibich in OpenAIREAnne F. Van Loon;
Anne F. Van Loon
Anne F. Van Loon in OpenAIREKai Schröter;
Kai Schröter
Kai Schröter in OpenAIREPhilip J. Ward;
Philip J. Ward
Philip J. Ward in OpenAIREMaurizio Mazzoleni;
Maurizio Mazzoleni
Maurizio Mazzoleni in OpenAIRENivedita Sairam;
Nivedita Sairam
Nivedita Sairam in OpenAIREGuta Wakbulcho Abeshu;
Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu
Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu in OpenAIRESvetlana Agafonova;
Svetlana Agafonova
Svetlana Agafonova in OpenAIREAmir AghaKouchak;
Amir AghaKouchak
Amir AghaKouchak in OpenAIREHafzullah Aksoy;
Hafzullah Aksoy
Hafzullah Aksoy in OpenAIRECamila Álvarez-Garretón;
Camila Álvarez-Garretón
Camila Álvarez-Garretón in OpenAIREBlanca Aznar;
Blanca Aznar
Blanca Aznar in OpenAIRELaila Balkhi;
Laila Balkhi
Laila Balkhi in OpenAIREMarlies Barendrecht;
Marlies Barendrecht
Marlies Barendrecht in OpenAIRESylvain Biancamaria;
Sylvain Biancamaria
Sylvain Biancamaria in OpenAIRELiduin Bos-Burgering;
Liduin Bos-Burgering
Liduin Bos-Burgering in OpenAIREChris Bradley;
Chris Bradley
Chris Bradley in OpenAIREYus Budiyono;
Yus Budiyono
Yus Budiyono in OpenAIREWouter Buytaert;
Wouter Buytaert
Wouter Buytaert in OpenAIRELucinda Capewell;
Hayley Carlson;Lucinda Capewell
Lucinda Capewell in OpenAIREYonca Cavus;
Yonca Cavus
Yonca Cavus in OpenAIREAnaïs Couasnon;
Anaïs Couasnon
Anaïs Couasnon in OpenAIREGemma Coxon;
Gemma Coxon
Gemma Coxon in OpenAIREIoannis Ν. Daliakopoulos;
Ioannis Ν. Daliakopoulos
Ioannis Ν. Daliakopoulos in OpenAIREMarleen de Ruiter;
Marleen de Ruiter
Marleen de Ruiter in OpenAIREClaire Delus;
Claire Delus
Claire Delus in OpenAIREMathilde Erfurt;
Mathilde Erfurt
Mathilde Erfurt in OpenAIREGiuseppe Esposito;
Giuseppe Esposito
Giuseppe Esposito in OpenAIREFrançois Dagognet;
François Dagognet
François Dagognet in OpenAIREFrédéric Frappart;
Frédéric Frappart
Frédéric Frappart in OpenAIREJim Freer;
Jim Freer
Jim Freer in OpenAIRENatalia Frolova;
Natalia Frolova
Natalia Frolova in OpenAIREAnimesh K. Gain;
Animesh K. Gain
Animesh K. Gain in OpenAIREManolis Grillakis;
Jordi Oriol Grima;Manolis Grillakis
Manolis Grillakis in OpenAIREDiego Alejandro Guzmán Arias;
Diego Alejandro Guzmán Arias
Diego Alejandro Guzmán Arias in OpenAIRELaurie S. Huning;
Laurie S. Huning
Laurie S. Huning in OpenAIREMonica Ionita;
Monica Ionita
Monica Ionita in OpenAIREM. A. Kharlamov;
M. A. Kharlamov
M. A. Kharlamov in OpenAIREĐào Nguyên Khôi;
Đào Nguyên Khôi
Đào Nguyên Khôi in OpenAIRENatalie Kieboom;
Natalie Kieboom
Natalie Kieboom in OpenAIREMaria Kireeva;
Maria Kireeva
Maria Kireeva in OpenAIREAristeidis Koutroulis;
Aristeidis Koutroulis
Aristeidis Koutroulis in OpenAIREWaldo Lavado‐Casimiro;
Waldo Lavado‐Casimiro
Waldo Lavado‐Casimiro in OpenAIREHong Yi Li;
Hong Yi Li
Hong Yi Li in OpenAIREM. C. Llasat;
M. C. Llasat
M. C. Llasat in OpenAIREDavid Macdonald;
David Macdonald
David Macdonald in OpenAIREJohanna Mård;
Hannah Mathew-Richards;Johanna Mård
Johanna Mård in OpenAIREAndrew McKenzie;
Andrew McKenzie
Andrew McKenzie in OpenAIREAlfonso Mejía;
Alfonso Mejía
Alfonso Mejía in OpenAIREEduardo Mário Mendiondo;
Eduardo Mário Mendiondo
Eduardo Mário Mendiondo in OpenAIREMarjolein Mens;
Marjolein Mens
Marjolein Mens in OpenAIREShifteh Mobini;
Shifteh Mobini
Shifteh Mobini in OpenAIREGuilherme Samprogna Mohor;
Guilherme Samprogna Mohor
Guilherme Samprogna Mohor in OpenAIREViorica Nagavciuc;
Viorica Nagavciuc
Viorica Nagavciuc in OpenAIREThanh Ngo‐Duc;
Thanh Ngo‐Duc
Thanh Ngo‐Duc in OpenAIREThi Thao Nguyen Huynh;
Thi Thao Nguyen Huynh
Thi Thao Nguyen Huynh in OpenAIREPham Thi Thao Nhi;
Pham Thi Thao Nhi
Pham Thi Thao Nhi in OpenAIREOlga Petrucci;
Olga Petrucci
Olga Petrucci in OpenAIREHồng Quân Nguyễn;
Hồng Quân Nguyễn
Hồng Quân Nguyễn in OpenAIREPere Quintana-Seguí;
Pere Quintana-Seguí
Pere Quintana-Seguí in OpenAIRESaman Razavi;
Saman Razavi
Saman Razavi in OpenAIREElena Ridolfi;
Jannik Riegel;Elena Ridolfi
Elena Ridolfi in OpenAIREMd. Shibly Sadik;
Md. Shibly Sadik
Md. Shibly Sadik in OpenAIREElisa Savelli;
Elisa Savelli
Elisa Savelli in OpenAIRESanjib Sharma;
Sanjib Sharma
Sanjib Sharma in OpenAIREJohanna Sörensen;
Johanna Sörensen
Johanna Sörensen in OpenAIREFelipe Augusto Arguello Souza;
Felipe Augusto Arguello Souza
Felipe Augusto Arguello Souza in OpenAIREKerstin Stahl;
Kerstin Stahl
Kerstin Stahl in OpenAIREMax Steinhausen;
Max Steinhausen
Max Steinhausen in OpenAIREMichael Stoelzle;
Michael Stoelzle
Michael Stoelzle in OpenAIREWiwiana Szalińska;
Qiuhong Tang;Wiwiana Szalińska
Wiwiana Szalińska in OpenAIREFuqiang Tian;
Fuqiang Tian
Fuqiang Tian in OpenAIRETamara Tokarczyk;
Tamara Tokarczyk
Tamara Tokarczyk in OpenAIRECarolina Tovar;
Carolina Tovar
Carolina Tovar in OpenAIREThi Van Thu Tran;
Thi Van Thu Tran
Thi Van Thu Tran in OpenAIREM.H.J. van Huijgevoort;
M.H.J. van Huijgevoort
M.H.J. van Huijgevoort in OpenAIREMichelle T. H. van Vliet;
Michelle T. H. van Vliet
Michelle T. H. van Vliet in OpenAIRESergiy Vorogushyn;
Sergiy Vorogushyn
Sergiy Vorogushyn in OpenAIREThorsten Wagener;
Thorsten Wagener
Thorsten Wagener in OpenAIREYueling Wang;
Yueling Wang
Yueling Wang in OpenAIREDoris Wendt;
Elliot Wickham;Doris Wendt
Doris Wendt in OpenAIRELong Yang;
Long Yang
Long Yang in OpenAIREMauricio Zambrano‐Bigiarini;
Mauricio Zambrano‐Bigiarini
Mauricio Zambrano‐Bigiarini in OpenAIREGünter Blöschl;
Günter Blöschl
Günter Blöschl in OpenAIREGiuliano Di Baldassarre;
Giuliano Di Baldassarre
Giuliano Di Baldassarre in OpenAIRELa gestion des risques a réduit la vulnérabilité aux inondations et aux sécheresses dans le monde1,2, mais leurs impacts continuent d'augmenter3. Une meilleure compréhension des causes de l'évolution des impacts est donc nécessaire, mais a été entravée par un manque de données empiriques4,5. Sur la base d'un ensemble de données mondiales de 45 paires d'événements qui se sont produits dans la même zone, nous montrons que la gestion des risques réduit généralement les impacts des inondations et des sécheresses, mais fait face à des difficultés pour réduire les impacts d'événements sans précédent d'une ampleur jamais connue auparavant. Si le deuxième événement était beaucoup plus dangereux que le premier, son impact était presque toujours plus élevé. En effet, la gestion n'a pas été conçue pour faire face à de tels événements extrêmes : par exemple, ils ont dépassé les niveaux de conception des digues et des réservoirs. Dans deux cas de réussite, l'impact du deuxième événement, plus dangereux, a été plus faible, en raison de l'amélioration de la gouvernance de la gestion des risques et des investissements élevés dans la gestion intégrée. La difficulté observée à gérer des événements sans précédent est alarmante, étant donné que des événements hydrologiques plus extrêmes sont projetés en raison du changement climatique3. La gestión de riesgos ha reducido la vulnerabilidad a las inundaciones y sequías a nivel mundial1,2, pero sus impactos siguen aumentando3. Por lo tanto, se necesita una mejor comprensión de las causas de los impactos cambiantes, pero se ha visto obstaculizada por la falta de datos empíricos4,5. Sobre la base de un conjunto de datos global de 45 pares de eventos que ocurrieron dentro de la misma área, mostramos que la gestión de riesgos generalmente reduce los impactos de inundaciones y sequías, pero enfrenta dificultades para reducir los impactos de eventos sin precedentes de una magnitud no experimentada anteriormente. Si el segundo evento era mucho más peligroso que el primero, su impacto era casi siempre mayor. Esto se debe a que la gestión no fue diseñada para hacer frente a tales eventos extremos: por ejemplo, superaron los niveles de diseño de diques y embalses. En dos casos de éxito, el impacto del segundo evento, más peligroso, fue menor, como resultado de una mejor gobernanza de la gestión de riesgos y una alta inversión en la gestión integrada. La dificultad observada para gestionar eventos sin precedentes es alarmante, dado que se proyectan eventos hidrológicos más extremos debido al cambio climático3. Risk management has reduced vulnerability to floods and droughts globally1,2, yet their impacts are still increasing3. An improved understanding of the causes of changing impacts is therefore needed, but has been hampered by a lack of empirical data4,5. On the basis of a global dataset of 45 pairs of events that occurred within the same area, we show that risk management generally reduces the impacts of floods and droughts but faces difficulties in reducing the impacts of unprecedented events of a magnitude not previously experienced. If the second event was much more hazardous than the first, its impact was almost always higher. This is because management was not designed to deal with such extreme events: for example, they exceeded the design levels of levees and reservoirs. In two success stories, the impact of the second, more hazardous, event was lower, as a result of improved risk management governance and high investment in integrated management. The observed difficulty of managing unprecedented events is alarming, given that more extreme hydrological events are projected owing to climate change3. أدت إدارة المخاطر إلى تقليل التعرض للفيضانات والجفاف على مستوى العالم1,2، ومع ذلك لا تزال آثارها تتزايد3. لذلك هناك حاجة إلى فهم أفضل لأسباب تغير التأثيرات، ولكن أعيق ذلك بسبب نقص البيانات التجريبية4، 5. على أساس مجموعة بيانات عالمية مكونة من 45 زوجًا من الأحداث التي وقعت داخل نفس المنطقة، نظهر أن إدارة المخاطر تقلل عمومًا من آثار الفيضانات والجفاف ولكنها تواجه صعوبات في الحد من آثار الأحداث غير المسبوقة ذات الحجم الذي لم تشهده من قبل. إذا كان الحدث الثاني أكثر خطورة من الأول، فإن تأثيره كان دائمًا أعلى. وذلك لأن الإدارة لم تكن مصممة للتعامل مع مثل هذه الأحداث المتطرفة: على سبيل المثال، تجاوزت مستويات تصميم السدود والخزانات. في قصتي نجاح، كان تأثير الحدث الثاني، الأكثر خطورة، أقل، نتيجة لتحسين حوكمة إدارة المخاطر والاستثمار العالي في الإدارة المتكاملة. إن الصعوبة الملحوظة في إدارة الأحداث غير المسبوقة تنذر بالخطر، بالنظر إلى أنه من المتوقع حدوث المزيد من الأحداث الهيدرولوجية المتطرفة بسبب تغير المناخ3.
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