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  • Energy Research
  • 13. Climate action
  • 15. Life on land
  • 11. Sustainability
  • AU
  • PK
  • Aurora Universities Network

  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: orcid Frédéric Chevallier;
    Frédéric Chevallier
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Frédéric Chevallier in OpenAIRE
    Pierre Regnier; Julia Pongratz; orcid Atul K. Jain;
    Atul K. Jain
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Atul K. Jain in OpenAIRE
    +30 Authors

    Abstract. Regional land carbon budgets provide insights on the spatial distribution of the land uptake of atmospheric carbon dioxide, and can be used to evaluate carbon cycle models and to define baselines for land-based additional mitigation efforts. The scientific community has been involved in providing observation-based estimates of regional carbon budgets either by downscaling atmospheric CO2 observations into surface fluxes with atmospheric inversions, by using inventories of carbon stock changes in terrestrial ecosystems, by upscaling local field observations such as flux towers with gridded climate and remote sensing fields or by integrating data-driven or process-oriented terrestrial carbon cycle models. The first coordinated attempt to collect regional carbon budgets for nine regions covering the entire globe in the RECCAP-1 project has delivered estimates for the decade 2000–2009, but these budgets were not comparable between regions, due to different definitions and component fluxes reported or omitted. The recent recognition of lateral fluxes of carbon by human activities and rivers, that connect CO2 uptake in one area with its release in another also requires better definition and protocols to reach harmonized regional budgets that can be summed up to the globe and compared with the atmospheric CO2 growth rate and inversion results. In this study, for the international initiative RECCAP-2 coordinated by the Global Carbon Project, which aims as an update of regional carbon budgets over the last two decades based on observations, for 10 regions covering the globe, with a better harmonization that the precursor project, we provide recommendations for using atmospheric inversions results to match bottom-up carbon accounting and models, and we define the different component fluxes of the net land atmosphere carbon exchange that should be reported by each research group in charge of each region. Special attention is given to lateral fluxes, inland water fluxes and land use fluxes.

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    https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-20...
    Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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    Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)
    Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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    Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)
    Article
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    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
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    Geoscientific Model Development
    Article . 2022
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    MPG.PuRe
    Article . 2020
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    Wageningen Staff Publications
    Article . 2022
    License: CC BY
    https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/vq...
    Other literature type . 2020
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      https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-20...
      Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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      Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)
      Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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      Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)
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      Geoscientific Model Development
      Article . 2022
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      MPG.PuRe
      Article . 2020
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      Data sources: MPG.PuRe
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      Wageningen Staff Publications
      Article . 2022
      License: CC BY
      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/vq...
      Other literature type . 2020
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      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/am...
      Other literature type . 2020
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      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/bz...
      Other literature type . 2022
      Data sources: Datacite
      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/zf...
      Other literature type . 2022
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: orcid Anna B. Harper;
    Anna B. Harper
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Anna B. Harper in OpenAIRE
    orcid Peter M. Cox;
    Peter M. Cox
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Peter M. Cox in OpenAIRE
    orcid Pierre Friedlingstein;
    Pierre Friedlingstein
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Pierre Friedlingstein in OpenAIRE
    Andy J. Wiltshire; +17 Authors

    Abstract. Dynamic global vegetation models are used to predict the response of vegetation to climate change. They are essential for planning ecosystem management, understanding carbon cycle–climate feedbacks, and evaluating the potential impacts of climate change on global ecosystems. JULES (the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator) represents terrestrial processes in the UK Hadley Centre family of models and in the first generation UK Earth System Model. Previously, JULES represented five plant functional types (PFTs): broadleaf trees, needle-leaf trees, C3 and C4 grasses, and shrubs. This study addresses three developments in JULES. First, trees and shrubs were split into deciduous and evergreen PFTs to better represent the range of leaf life spans and metabolic capacities that exists in nature. Second, we distinguished between temperate and tropical broadleaf evergreen trees. These first two changes result in a new set of nine PFTs: tropical and temperate broadleaf evergreen trees, broadleaf deciduous trees, needle-leaf evergreen and deciduous trees, C3 and C4 grasses, and evergreen and deciduous shrubs. Third, using data from the TRY database, we updated the relationship between leaf nitrogen and the maximum rate of carboxylation of Rubisco (Vcmax), and updated the leaf turnover and growth rates to include a trade-off between leaf life span and leaf mass per unit area.Overall, the simulation of gross and net primary productivity (GPP and NPP, respectively) is improved with the nine PFTs when compared to FLUXNET sites, a global GPP data set based on FLUXNET, and MODIS NPP. Compared to the standard five PFTs, the new nine PFTs simulate a higher GPP and NPP, with the exception of C3 grasses in cold environments and C4 grasses that were previously over-productive. On a biome scale, GPP is improved for all eight biomes evaluated and NPP is improved for most biomes – the exceptions being the tropical forests, savannahs, and extratropical mixed forests where simulated NPP is too high. With the new PFTs, the global present-day GPP and NPP are 128 and 62 Pg C year−1, respectively. We conclude that the inclusion of trait-based data and the evergreen/deciduous distinction has substantially improved productivity fluxes in JULES, in particular the representation of GPP. These developments increase the realism of JULES, enabling higher confidence in simulations of vegetation dynamics and carbon storage.

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    Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)
    Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: Crossref
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    Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)
    Article
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    Geoscientific Model Development
    Other literature type . 2018
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    Geoscientific Model Development
    Article . 2016
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    MPG.PuRe
    Article . 2016
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    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Wageningen Staff Publications
    Article . 2016
    License: CC BY
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      Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)
      Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
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      Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)
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      Geoscientific Model Development
      Other literature type . 2018
      Data sources: Copernicus
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      Geoscientific Model Development
      Article . 2016
      Data sources: DOAJ
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      MPG.PuRe
      Article . 2016
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      Wageningen Staff Publications
      Article . 2016
      License: CC BY
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    Authors: Peter K. Snyder; Brian Walker; Brian Walker; orcid Hans Joachim Schellnhuber;
    Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Hans Joachim Schellnhuber in OpenAIRE
    +37 Authors

    New approach proposed for defining preconditions for human development Crossing certain biophysical thresholds could have disastrous consequences for humanity Three of nine interlinked planetary boundaries have already been overstepped

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    Nature
    Article
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    Nature
    Article . 2009 . Peer-reviewed
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    Nature
    Article . 2009
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      Nature
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      Nature
      Article . 2009 . Peer-reviewed
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      Nature
      Article . 2009
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    Authors: orcid Iwona Galeczka;
    Iwona Galeczka
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Iwona Galeczka in OpenAIRE
    orcid Domenik Wolff-Boenisch;
    Domenik Wolff-Boenisch
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Domenik Wolff-Boenisch in OpenAIRE
    Domenik Wolff-Boenisch;

    Abstract Recent publications on the successful mineralisation of carbon dioxide in basalts in Iceland and Washington State, USA, have shown that mineral storage can be a serious alternative to more mainstream geologic carbon storage efforts to lock away permanently carbon dioxide. In this study we look at the pore solution chemistry and mineralogy of basaltic glass and crystalline basalt under post-injection conditions, i.e. after rise of the pH via matrix dissolution and the first phase of carbonate formation. Experimental findings indicate that further precipitation of carbonates under more alkaline conditions is highly dependent on the availability of divalent cations. If the pore water is deficient in divalent cations, smectites and/or zeolites will dominate the secondary mineralogy of the pore space, depending on the basalt matrix. At low carbonate alkalinity no additional secondary carbonates are expected to form meaning the remaining pore space is lost to secondary silicates, irrespective of the basalt matrix. At high carbonate alkalinity, some of this limited storage volume may additionally be occupied by dawsonite −if the Na concentration in the percolating groundwater (brine) is high. Using synthetic seawater as a proxy for the groundwater composition and thus furnishing considerable amounts of divalent cations to the carbonated solution, results in massive precipitation of calcite, magnesite, and other Ca/Mg-carbonates under already moderate carbonate alkalinity. More efficient use of the basaltic storage volume can thus be attained by promoting formation of secondary carbonates compared to the inevitable formation of secondary silicate phases at higher pH. This can be done by ensuring that the pore water does not become depleted in divalent cations, even after carbonate formation. Using seawater as carbonating fluid or injection of CO2 into the basaltic oceanic crust, where saline fluids percolate, can reach this goal. However, such an approach needs sophisticated reactive transport modelling to adjust CO2 injection rates in order to avoid too rapid carbonate deposition and clogging of the pore space too close to the injection well.

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    International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control
    Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
    License: Elsevier TDM
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      International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control
      Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
      License: Elsevier TDM
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    Authors: Signe Normand; Maite Gartzia; orcid Philip A. Wookey;
    Philip A. Wookey
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Philip A. Wookey in OpenAIRE
    Maja K. Sundqvist; +61 Authors

    Chronic, low intensity herbivory by invertebrates, termed background herbivory, has been understudied in tundra, yet its impacts are likely to increase in a warmer Arctic. The magnitude of these changes is however hard to predict as we know little about the drivers of current levels of invertebrate herbivory in tundra. We assessed the intensity of invertebrate herbivory on a common tundra plant, the dwarf birch (Betula glandulosa-nana complex), and investigated its relationship to latitude and climate across the tundra biome. Leaf damage by defoliating, mining and gall-forming invertebrates was measured in samples collected from 192 sites at 56 locations. Our results indicate that invertebrate herbivory is nearly ubiquitous across the tundra biome but occurs at low intensity. On average, invertebrates damaged 11.2% of the leaves and removed 1.4% of total leaf area. The damage was mainly caused by external leaf feeders, and most damaged leaves were only slightly affected (12% leaf area lost). Foliar damage was consistently positively correlated with mid-summer (July) temperature and, to a lesser extent, precipitation in the year of data collection, irrespective of latitude. Our models predict that, on average, foliar losses to invertebrates on dwarf birch are likely to increase by 6--7% over the current levels with a 1 textdegreeC increase in summer temperatures. Our results show that invertebrate herbivory on dwarf birch is small in magnitude but given its prevalence and dependence on climatic variables, background invertebrate herbivory should be included in predictions of climate change impacts on tundra ecosystems.

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    CORE
    Article . 2017
    License: rioxx Under Embargo All Rights Reserved
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    Polar Biology
    Article
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    NTNU Open
    Article . 2017
    Data sources: NTNU Open
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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    Polar Biology
    Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
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      CORE
      Article . 2017
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      Polar Biology
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      NTNU Open
      Article . 2017
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      Polar Biology
      Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
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    Authors: orcid bw Wu-Bing Xu;
    Wu-Bing Xu
    ORCID
    Derived by OpenAIRE algorithms or harvested from 3rd party repositories

    Wu-Bing Xu in OpenAIRE
    orcid bw Wen-Yong Guo;
    Wen-Yong Guo
    ORCID
    Derived by OpenAIRE algorithms or harvested from 3rd party repositories

    Wen-Yong Guo in OpenAIRE
    orcid Josep M. Serra-Diaz;
    Josep M. Serra-Diaz
    ORCID
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    Josep M. Serra-Diaz in OpenAIRE
    orcid Franziska Schrodt;
    Franziska Schrodt
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Franziska Schrodt in OpenAIRE
    +55 Authors

    As Earth’s climate has varied strongly through geological time, studying the impacts of past climate change on biodiversity helps to understand the risks from future climate change. However, it remains unclear how paleoclimate shapes spatial variation in biodiversity. Here, we assessed the influence of Quaternary climate change on spatial dissimilarity in taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional composition among neighboring 200-kilometer cells (beta-diversity) for angiosperm trees worldwide. We found that larger glacial-interglacial temperature change was strongly associated with lower spatial turnover (species replacements) and higher nestedness (richness changes) components of beta-diversity across all three biodiversity facets. Moreover, phylogenetic and functional turnover was lower and nestedness higher than random expectations based on taxonomic beta-diversity in regions that experienced large temperature change, reflecting phylogenetically and functionally selective processes in species replacement, extinction, and colonization during glacial-interglacial oscillations. Our results suggest that future human-driven climate change could cause local homogenization and reduction in taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional diversity of angiosperm trees worldwide.

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    Science Advances
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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    Science Advances
    Article . 2023
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      Science Advances
      Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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      Science Advances
      Article . 2023
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    Authors: orcid Livia Piermattei;
    Livia Piermattei
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    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Livia Piermattei in OpenAIRE
    orcid Michael Zemp;
    Michael Zemp
    ORCID
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    Michael Zemp in OpenAIRE
    orcid Christian Sommer;
    Christian Sommer
    ORCID
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    Christian Sommer in OpenAIRE
    orcid bw Fanny Brun;
    Fanny Brun
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    Derived by OpenAIRE algorithms or harvested from 3rd party repositories

    Fanny Brun in OpenAIRE
    +31 Authors

    Abstract. Observations of glacier mass changes are key to understanding the response of glaciers to climate change and related impacts, such as regional runoff, ecosystem changes, and global sea level rise. Spaceborne optical and radar sensors make it possible to quantify glacier elevation changes, and thus multi-annual mass changes, on a regional and global scale. However, estimates from a growing number of studies show a wide range of results with differences often beyond uncertainty bounds. Here, we present the outcome of a community-based inter-comparison experiment using spaceborne optical stereo (ASTER) and synthetic aperture radar interferometry (TanDEM-X) data to estimate elevation changes for defined glaciers and target periods that pose different assessment challenges. Using provided or self-processed digital elevation models (DEMs) for five test sites, 12 research groups provided a total of 97 spaceborne elevation-change datasets using various processing approaches. Validation with airborne data showed that using an ensemble estimate is promising to reduce random errors from different instruments and processing methods but still requires a more comprehensive investigation and correction of systematic errors. We found that scene selection, DEM processing, and co-registration have the biggest impact on the results. Other processing steps, such as treating spatial data voids, differences in survey periods, or radar penetration, can still be important for individual cases. Future research should focus on testing different implementations of individual processing steps (e.g. co-registration) and addressing issues related to temporal corrections, radar penetration, glacier area changes, and density conversion. Finally, there is a clear need for our community to develop best practices, use open, reproducible software, and assess overall uncertainty to enhance inter-comparison and empower physical process insights across glacier elevation-change studies.

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    The Cryosphere
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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    https://doi.org/10.5194/egusph...
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
    License: CC BY
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    Research Collection
    Article . 2024
    License: CC BY
    https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/bq...
    Other literature type . 2023
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    Research Collection
    Article . 2024
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    https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/yj...
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      The Cryosphere
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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      https://doi.org/10.5194/egusph...
      Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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      Research Collection
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      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/bq...
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    Authors: orcid bw Kamila Reczyńska;
    Kamila Reczyńska
    ORCID
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    Kamila Reczyńska in OpenAIRE
    orcid Martin Macek;
    Martin Macek
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    Martin Macek in OpenAIRE
    orcid bw Florian Zellweger;
    Florian Zellweger
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    Florian Zellweger in OpenAIRE
    orcid bw Jonathan Lenoir;
    Jonathan Lenoir
    ORCID
    Derived by OpenAIRE algorithms or harvested from 3rd party repositories

    Jonathan Lenoir in OpenAIRE
    +29 Authors

    Abstract Woody species' requirements and environmental sensitivity change from seedlings to adults, a process referred to as ontogenetic shift. Such shifts can be increased by climate change. To assess the changes in the difference of temperature experienced by seedlings and adults in the context of climate change, it is essential to have reliable climatic data over long periods that capture the thermal conditions experienced by the individuals throughout their life cycle. Here we used a unique cross‐European database of 2,195 pairs of resurveyed forest plots with a mean intercensus time interval of 37 years. We inferred macroclimatic temperature (free‐air conditions above tree canopies—representative of the conditions experienced by adult trees) and microclimatic temperature (representative of the juvenile stage at the forest floor, inferred from the relationship between canopy cover, distance to the coast and below‐canopy temperature) at both surveys. We then address the long‐term, large‐scale and multitaxa dynamics of the difference between the temperatures experienced by adults and juveniles of 25 temperate tree species. We found significant, but species‐specific, variations in the perceived temperature (calculated from presence/absence data) between life stages during both surveys. Additionally, the difference of the temperature experienced by the adult versus juveniles significantly increased between surveys for 8 of 25 species. We found evidence of a relationship between the difference of temperature experienced by juveniles and adults over time and one key functional trait (i.e. leaf area). Together, these results suggest that the temperatures experienced by adults versus juveniles became more decoupled over time for a subset of species, probably due to the combination of climate change and a recorded increase of canopy cover between the surveys resulting in higher rates of macroclimate than microclimate warming. Synthesis. We document warming and canopy‐cover induced changes in the difference of the temperature experienced by juveniles and adults. These findings have implications for forest management adaptation to climate change such as the promotion of tree regeneration by creating suitable species‐specific microclimatic conditions. Such adaptive management will help to mitigate the macroclimate change in the understorey layer.

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    Journal of Ecology
    Article
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    Journal of Ecology
    Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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      Journal of Ecology
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      Journal of Ecology
      Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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    Authors: orcid David A. Carozza;
    David A. Carozza
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    David A. Carozza in OpenAIRE
    Steve Mackinson; orcid Jeroen Steenbeek;
    Jeroen Steenbeek
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    Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIRE
    orcid Villy Christensen;
    Villy Christensen
    ORCID
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    Villy Christensen in OpenAIRE
    +37 Authors

    While the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally rely on individual models with a specific set of assumptions. To address these single-model limitations, we present standardized ensemble projections from six global marine ecosystem models forced with two Earth system models and four emission scenarios with and without fishing. We derive average biomass trends and associated uncertainties across the marine food web. Without fishing, mean global animal biomass decreased by 5% (±4% SD) under low emissions and 17% (±11% SD) under high emissions by 2100, with an average 5% decline for every 1 °C of warming. Projected biomass declines were primarily driven by increasing temperature and decreasing primary production, and were more pronounced at higher trophic levels, a process known as trophic amplification. Fishing did not substantially alter the effects of climate change. Considerable regional variation featured strong biomass increases at high latitudes and decreases at middle to low latitudes, with good model agreement on the direction of change but variable magnitude. Uncertainties due to variations in marine ecosystem and Earth system models were similar. Ensemble projections performed well compared with empirical data, emphasizing the benefits of multimodel inference to project future outcomes. Our results indicate that global ocean animal biomass consistently declines with climate change, and that these impacts are amplified at higher trophic levels. Next steps for model development include dynamic scenarios of fishing, cumulative human impacts, and the effects of management measures on future ocean biomass trends.

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    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
    Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
    License: CC BY NC ND
    Data sources: Crossref
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    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
    Article
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    Digital.CSIC
    Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
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    Authors: orcid D. P. Tittensor;
    D. P. Tittensor
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    D. P. Tittensor in OpenAIRE
    D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy; +47 Authors

    Abstract. Model intercomparison studies in the climate and Earth sciences communities have been crucial to building credibility and coherence for future projections. They have quantified variability among models, spurred model development, contrasted within- and among-model uncertainty, assessed model fits to historical data, and provided ensemble projections of future change under specified scenarios. Given the speed and magnitude of anthropogenic change in the marine environment and the consequent effects on food security, biodiversity, marine industries, and society, the time is ripe for similar comparisons among models of fisheries and marine ecosystems. Here, we describe the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project protocol version 1.0 (Fish-MIP v1.0), part of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP), which is a cross-sectoral network of climate impact modellers. Given the complexity of the marine ecosystem, this class of models has substantial heterogeneity of purpose, scope, theoretical underpinning, processes considered, parameterizations, resolution (grain size), and spatial extent. This heterogeneity reflects the lack of a unified understanding of the marine ecosystem and implies that the assemblage of all models is more likely to include a greater number of relevant processes than any single model. The current Fish-MIP protocol is designed to allow these heterogeneous models to be forced with common Earth System Model (ESM) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) outputs under prescribed scenarios for historic (from the 1950s) and future (to 2100) time periods; it will be adapted to CMIP phase 6 (CMIP6) in future iterations. It also describes a standardized set of outputs for each participating Fish-MIP model to produce. This enables the broad characterization of differences between and uncertainties within models and projections when assessing climate and fisheries impacts on marine ecosystems and the services they provide. The systematic generation, collation, and comparison of results from Fish-MIP will inform an understanding of the range of plausible changes in marine ecosystems and improve our capacity to define and convey the strengths and weaknesses of model-based advice on future states of marine ecosystems and fisheries. Ultimately, Fish-MIP represents a step towards bringing together the marine ecosystem modelling community to produce consistent ensemble medium- and long-term projections of marine ecosystems.

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