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Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)
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A protocol for the intercomparison of marine fishery and ecosystem models: Fish-MIP v1.0

بروتوكول للمقارنة البينية لنماذج مصايد الأسماك البحرية والنظم الإيكولوجية: Fish - MIP v1.0
Authors: D. P. Tittensor; D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy; H. K. Lotze; E. D. Galbraith; E. D. Galbraith; +44 Authors

A protocol for the intercomparison of marine fishery and ecosystem models: Fish-MIP v1.0

Abstract

Abstract. Model intercomparison studies in the climate and Earth sciences communities have been crucial to building credibility and coherence for future projections. They have quantified variability among models, spurred model development, contrasted within- and among-model uncertainty, assessed model fits to historical data, and provided ensemble projections of future change under specified scenarios. Given the speed and magnitude of anthropogenic change in the marine environment and the consequent effects on food security, biodiversity, marine industries, and society, the time is ripe for similar comparisons among models of fisheries and marine ecosystems. Here, we describe the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project protocol version 1.0 (Fish-MIP v1.0), part of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP), which is a cross-sectoral network of climate impact modellers. Given the complexity of the marine ecosystem, this class of models has substantial heterogeneity of purpose, scope, theoretical underpinning, processes considered, parameterizations, resolution (grain size), and spatial extent. This heterogeneity reflects the lack of a unified understanding of the marine ecosystem and implies that the assemblage of all models is more likely to include a greater number of relevant processes than any single model. The current Fish-MIP protocol is designed to allow these heterogeneous models to be forced with common Earth System Model (ESM) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) outputs under prescribed scenarios for historic (from the 1950s) and future (to 2100) time periods; it will be adapted to CMIP phase 6 (CMIP6) in future iterations. It also describes a standardized set of outputs for each participating Fish-MIP model to produce. This enables the broad characterization of differences between and uncertainties within models and projections when assessing climate and fisheries impacts on marine ecosystems and the services they provide. The systematic generation, collation, and comparison of results from Fish-MIP will inform an understanding of the range of plausible changes in marine ecosystems and improve our capacity to define and convey the strengths and weaknesses of model-based advice on future states of marine ecosystems and fisheries. Ultimately, Fish-MIP represents a step towards bringing together the marine ecosystem modelling community to produce consistent ensemble medium- and long-term projections of marine ecosystems.

Countries
France, Spain, France, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Keywords

Credibility, FOS: Political science, Fisheries Sustainability, Marine protected area, Ecosystem Management, Coupled model intercomparison project, Oceanography, Marine Biogeochemistry and Ecosystem Dynamics, Impact of Aquaculture on Marine Ecosystems and Food Supply, Climate change, Fish Population Dynamics, Environmental resource management, Political science, QE1-996.5, Global and Planetary Change, Ecology, Statistics, Geology, Biodiversity, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Habitat, Physical Sciences, environment/Ecosystems, FOS: Law, Climate model, 333, Earth system science, Environmental science, Replicate, [SDV.EE.ECO]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Ecosystems, Marine ecosystem, FOS: Mathematics, Biology, [SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography, Ecosystem, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Impacts of Climate Change on Marine Fisheries, FOS: Biological sciences, [SDV.EE.ECO]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, Environmental Science, Ecosystem model, Law, Mathematics

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    119
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
119
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
gold