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Wind energy represents one of the leading renewable energy sectors and is considered instrumental in the ongoing decarbonization process. Accurate forecasts are essential for a reliable large-scale wind power integration, allowing efficient operation and maintenance, planning of unit commitment, and scheduling by system operators. However, due to non-stationarity, randomness, and intermittency, forecasting wind power is challenging. This work investigates a multi-modal approach for wind power forecasting by considering turbine-level time series collected from SCADA systems and high-resolution Numerical Weather Prediction maps. A neural architecture based on stacked Recurrent Neural Networks is proposed to process and combine different data sources containing spatio-temporal patterns. This architecture allows combining the local information from the turbine’s internal operating conditions with future meteorological data from the surrounding area. Specifically, this work focuses on multi-horizon turbine-level hourly forecasts for an entire wind farm with a lead time of 90 h. This work explores the impact of meteorological variables on different spatial scales, from full grids to cardinal point features, on wind power forecasts. Results show that a subset of features associated with all wind directions, even when spatially distant, can produce more accurate forecasts with respect to full grids and reduce computation times. The proposed model outperforms the linear regression baseline and the XGBoost regressor achieving an average skill score of 25%. Finally, the integration of SCADA data in the training process improved the predictions allowing the multi-modal neural network to model not only the meteorological patterns but also the turbine’s internal behavior.

Wind energy represents one of the leading renewable energy sectors and is considered instrumental in the ongoing decarbonization process. Accurate forecasts are essential for a reliable large-scale wind power integration, allowing efficient operation and maintenance, planning of unit commitment, and scheduling by system operators. However, due to non-stationarity, randomness, and intermittency, forecasting wind power is challenging. This work investigates a multi-modal approach for wind power forecasting by considering turbine-level time series collected from SCADA systems and high-resolution Numerical Weather Prediction maps. A neural architecture based on stacked Recurrent Neural Networks is proposed to process and combine different data sources containing spatio-temporal patterns. This architecture allows combining the local information from the turbine’s internal operating conditions with future meteorological data from the surrounding area. Specifically, this work focuses on multi-horizon turbine-level hourly forecasts for an entire wind farm with a lead time of 90 h. This work explores the impact of meteorological variables on different spatial scales, from full grids to cardinal point features, on wind power forecasts. Results show that a subset of features associated with all wind directions, even when spatially distant, can produce more accurate forecasts with respect to full grids and reduce computation times. The proposed model outperforms the linear regression baseline and the XGBoost regressor achieving an average skill score of 25%. Finally, the integration of SCADA data in the training process improved the predictions allowing the multi-modal neural network to model not only the meteorological patterns but also the turbine’s internal behavior.

Ultra-high-frequency (UHF) partial discharge (PD) monitoring is gaining popularity because of its advantages over electrical methods for onsite/online applications. One such advantage is the possibility of three-dimensional PD source localization. However, it is necessary to understand the signal propagation and attenuation characteristics in transformers to improve localization. Since transformers are available in a wide range of ratings and geometric sizes, it is necessary to ascertain the similarities and differences in UHF signal characteristics across the different designs. Therefore, in this contribution, the signal attenuation and propagation characteristics of two 300 MVA transformers are analyzed and compared based on experiments. The two transformers have the same rating but different internal structures. It should be noted that the oil is drained out of the transformers for these tests. Additionally, a simulation model of one of the transformers is built and validated based on the experimental results. Subsequently, a simulation model is used to analyze the electromagnetic wave propagation inside the tank. Analysis of the experimental data shows that the distance-dependent signal attenuation characteristics are similar in the case of both transformers and can be well represented by hyperbolic equations, thus indicating that transformers with the same rating have similar attenuation characteristics even if they have different internal structures.

Ultra-high-frequency (UHF) partial discharge (PD) monitoring is gaining popularity because of its advantages over electrical methods for onsite/online applications. One such advantage is the possibility of three-dimensional PD source localization. However, it is necessary to understand the signal propagation and attenuation characteristics in transformers to improve localization. Since transformers are available in a wide range of ratings and geometric sizes, it is necessary to ascertain the similarities and differences in UHF signal characteristics across the different designs. Therefore, in this contribution, the signal attenuation and propagation characteristics of two 300 MVA transformers are analyzed and compared based on experiments. The two transformers have the same rating but different internal structures. It should be noted that the oil is drained out of the transformers for these tests. Additionally, a simulation model of one of the transformers is built and validated based on the experimental results. Subsequently, a simulation model is used to analyze the electromagnetic wave propagation inside the tank. Analysis of the experimental data shows that the distance-dependent signal attenuation characteristics are similar in the case of both transformers and can be well represented by hyperbolic equations, thus indicating that transformers with the same rating have similar attenuation characteristics even if they have different internal structures.

We develop an open-source Python software integrating flexibility needs from Variable Renewable Energies (VREs) in the development of regional energy mixes. It provides a flexible and extensible tool to researchers/engineers, and for education/outreach. It aims at evaluating and optimizing energy deployment strategies with higher shares of VRE, assessing the impact of new technologies and of climate variability and conducting sensitivity studies. Specifically, to limit the algorithm’s complexity, we avoid solving a full-mix cost-minimization problem by taking the mean and variance of the renewable production–demand ratio as proxies to balance services. Second, observations of VRE technologies being typically too short or nonexistent, the hourly demand and production are estimated from climate time series and fitted to available observations. We illustrate e4clim’s potential with an optimal recommissioning-study of the 2015 Italian PV-wind mix testing different climate data sources and strategies and assessing the impact of climate variability and the robustness of the results.

We develop an open-source Python software integrating flexibility needs from Variable Renewable Energies (VREs) in the development of regional energy mixes. It provides a flexible and extensible tool to researchers/engineers, and for education/outreach. It aims at evaluating and optimizing energy deployment strategies with higher shares of VRE, assessing the impact of new technologies and of climate variability and conducting sensitivity studies. Specifically, to limit the algorithm’s complexity, we avoid solving a full-mix cost-minimization problem by taking the mean and variance of the renewable production–demand ratio as proxies to balance services. Second, observations of VRE technologies being typically too short or nonexistent, the hourly demand and production are estimated from climate time series and fitted to available observations. We illustrate e4clim’s potential with an optimal recommissioning-study of the 2015 Italian PV-wind mix testing different climate data sources and strategies and assessing the impact of climate variability and the robustness of the results.