• Energy Research

Cascading failures have become a severe threat to interconnected modern power systems. The ultrahigh complexity of the interconnected networks is the main challenge toward the understanding and management of cascading failures. In addition, high penetration of wind power integration introduces large uncertainties and further complicates the problem into a massive scenario simulation problem. This paper proposes a framework that enables a fast cascading path searching under high penetration of wind power. In addition, we ease the computational burden by formulating the cascading path searching problem into a Markov chain searching problem and further use a dictionary-based technique to accelerate the calculations. In detail, we first generate massive wind generation and load scenarios. Then, we utilize the Markov search strategy to decouple the problem into a large number of DC power flow (DCPF) and DC optimal power flow (DCOPF) problems. The major time-consuming part, the DCOPF and the DCPF problems, is accelerated by the dynamic construction of a line status dictionary (LSD). The information in the LSD can significantly ease the computation burden of the following DCPF and DCOPF problems. The proposed method is proven to be effective by a case study of the IEEE RTS-79 test system and an empirical study of China's Henan Province power system. 10 pages, 5 figures, accepted by IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy

China has built the world’s largest power transmission infrastructure by consuming massive volumes of greenhouse gas- (GHG-) intensive products such as steel. A quantitative analysis of the carbon implications of expanding the transmission infrastructure would shed light on the trade-offs among three connected dimensions of sustainable development, namely, climate change mitigation, energy access and infrastructure development. By collecting a high-resolution inventory, we developed an assessment framework of, and analysed, the GHG emissions caused by China’s power transmission infrastructure construction during 1990–2017. We show that cumulative embodied GHG emissions have dramatically increased by more than 7.3 times those in 1990, reaching 0.89 GtCO2-equivalent in 2017. Over the same period, the gaps between the well-developed eastern and less-developed western regions in China have gradually narrowed. Voltage class, transmission-line length and terrain were important factors that influenced embodied GHG emissions. We discuss measures for the mitigation of GHG emissions from power transmission development that can inform global low-carbon infrastructure transitions. Expanding energy infrastructure has been vital to China’s development plans, but has had negative consequences. This study finds that in 2017 the level of embodied greenhouse gas emissions from the expansion of China’s power transmission infrastructure increased by more than 7.3 times that in 1990.

One of the key steps for optimal bidding in power markets is to estimate the rivals’ bidding behaviors. However, for most participants, it would be difficult to directly forecast the rivals’ individual bids due to the information privacy and volatile characteristics of individual bidding behaviors. From another point of view, the aggregation of individual bids, denoted as aggregated supply curve (ASC), might be helpful to offset the uncertainties of individual bidding behaviors and can be used as reference for optimal bidding. In fact, the real ASC data contains bidding information from thousands of participants, which would be formulated with high dimensionality and unstructured formats, not applicable for general forecasting methods. Thus, a novel data-driven ASC forecasting framework based on long-short term memory (LSTM) model and corresponding data processing techniques is proposed in this paper. In detail, A paradigmatic data integration method is proposed to fix the unstructured data formats. A feature extraction method is developed to simplify the high dimensionality of ASC. Then, a LSTM model is customized to forecast ASCs. At last, real data from Midcontinent Independent System Operator market in the U.S. are utilized to demonstrate the forecasting performance of the proposed framework.

It is very important for electric utility to determine dominant sectors which have more impacts on electricity consumption in national economy system. In this paper, an input-output perspective and methodology is proposed to handle this issue. The input-output table of electricity demand (IOTED) is put forward based on the input-output table of national economy (IOTNE). The relevancy of electricity demand in various sectors is revealed by means of electricity consumption chains (ECCs), which are key components in the IOTED. Besides, a new concept, electricity demand multiplier (EDM), is presented to identify dominant sectors imposing great impacts on electricity demand quantitatively. In order to testify the effectiveness of the proposed methodology, a case based on provincial economy system in China is studied. Dominant sectors are identified and discussed.

Artículos en revistas Energy transportation costs typically make up a quarter of consumers? electricity bills, and most of this amount (90% in the United Kingdom, 75% in Brazil and Spain, and 60% in India, for example) is due to energy transportation through the distribution network. This cost could escalate over the next few decades as distributed energy resources are expected to grow substantially in response to the financial incentives many governments have created for renewable and efficient generation to meet their CO2 reduction targets. info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

The superior performance of deep learning relies heavily on a large collection of sample data, but the data insufficiency problem turns out to be relatively common in global electricity markets. How to prevent overfitting in this case becomes a fundamental challenge when training deep learning models in different market applications. With this in mind, we propose a general framework, namely Knowledge-Augmented Training (KAT), to improve the sample efficiency, and the main idea is to incorporate domain knowledge into the training procedures of deep learning models. Specifically, we propose a novel data augmentation technique to generate some synthetic data, which are later processed by an improved training strategy. This KAT methodology follows and realizes the idea of combining analytical and deep learning models together. Modern learning theories demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in terms of effective prediction error feedbacks, a reliable loss function, and rich gradient noises. At last, we study two popular applications in detail: user modeling and probabilistic price forecasting. The proposed method outperforms other competitors in all numerical tests, and the underlying reasons are explained by further statistical and visualization results. Accepted by IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 12 pages, 11 figures, 6 tables

The nonlinearity of power flow (PF) equations challenges the analysis and optimization of power systems. Both model-based and data-driven approach was recently applied to linearize the PF equations. The data-driven approach relies heavily on the quality of the measurement data, where measurement noise may cause large modeling errors. This paper tackles the challenges of the hidden measurement noise in the data-driven PF linearization problem. We transform the problem into a regression model where the structure of the AC power flow equations is exploited. Jacobian matrix guided constraints are added to shrink the search space greatly. This regression model is formulated as three linearly constrained quadratic programming problems and is solved in an iterative manner. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through case studies on several IEEE standard test systems and a practical provincial system.

Multiple energy systems (MESs) bring together the electric power, heat, natural gas, and other systems to improve the overall efficiency of the energy system. An energy hub (EH) models an MES as a device with multiple ports using a matrix coupling the inputs and outputs. This paper proposes a standardized matrix modeling method based on the concept of EH to build the coupling matrix automatically. The components and the structure of MES are first defined using graph theory. Then, the matrices describing the topology of the MES and the characteristics of the energy converters are developed. On this basis, the energy flow equations are formulated. Gaussian elimination can then be applied to obtain the coupling matrix and analyze the degree of freedom of the EH. A standard data structure for basic information on the MES is proposed to facilitate computerized modeling. Further, extension modeling of energy storage and demand response is also discussed. Finally, a case study of a modified tri-generation system is conducted to illustrate the proposed method.