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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2019 Austria, JapanPublisher:IOP Publishing Authors: Jun’ya Takakura;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; +8 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREJun’ya Takakura;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREWenchao Wu;
Wenchao Wu
Wenchao Wu in OpenAIREKiyoshi Takahashi;
Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREJing-Yu Liu;
Jing-Yu Liu;Jing-Yu Liu
Jing-Yu Liu in OpenAIRETomoko Hasegawa;
Tomoko Hasegawa; Tomoko Hasegawa; Toshihiko Masui;Tomoko Hasegawa
Tomoko Hasegawa in OpenAIREhandle: 2433/255847
Abstract The Paris Agreement set long-term global climate goals to pursue stabilization of the global mean temperature increase at below 2 °C (the so-called 2 °C goal). Individual countries submitted their own short-term targets, mostly for the year 2030. Meanwhile, the UN’s sustainable development goals (SDGs) were designed to help set multiple societal goals with respect to socioeconomic development, the environment, and other issues. Climate policies can lead to intended or unintended consequences in various sectors, but these types of side effects rarely have been studied in China, where climate policies will play an important role in global greenhouse gas emissions and sustainable development is a major goal. This study identified the extent to which climate policies in line with the 2 °C goal could have multi-sectoral consequences in China. Carbon constraints in China in the 2Deg scenario are set to align with the global 2 °C target based on the emissions per capita convergence principle. Carbon policies for NDC pledges as well as policies in China regarding renewables, air pollution control, and land management were also simulated. The results show that energy security and air quality have co-benefits related to climate policies, whereas food security and land resources experienced negative side effects (trade-offs). Near-term climate actions were shown to help reduce these trade-offs in the mid-term. A policy package that included food and land subsidies also helped achieve climate targets while avoiding the adverse side effects caused by the mitigation policies. The findings should help policymakers in China develop win–win policies that do not negatively affect some sectors, which could potentially enhance their ability to take climate actions to realize the global 2 °C goal within the context of sustainable development.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 24 citations 24 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/ab59c4&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2019 Austria, JapanPublisher:IOP Publishing Authors: Jun’ya Takakura;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; +8 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREJun’ya Takakura;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREWenchao Wu;
Wenchao Wu
Wenchao Wu in OpenAIREKiyoshi Takahashi;
Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREJing-Yu Liu;
Jing-Yu Liu;Jing-Yu Liu
Jing-Yu Liu in OpenAIRETomoko Hasegawa;
Tomoko Hasegawa; Tomoko Hasegawa; Toshihiko Masui;Tomoko Hasegawa
Tomoko Hasegawa in OpenAIREhandle: 2433/255847
Abstract The Paris Agreement set long-term global climate goals to pursue stabilization of the global mean temperature increase at below 2 °C (the so-called 2 °C goal). Individual countries submitted their own short-term targets, mostly for the year 2030. Meanwhile, the UN’s sustainable development goals (SDGs) were designed to help set multiple societal goals with respect to socioeconomic development, the environment, and other issues. Climate policies can lead to intended or unintended consequences in various sectors, but these types of side effects rarely have been studied in China, where climate policies will play an important role in global greenhouse gas emissions and sustainable development is a major goal. This study identified the extent to which climate policies in line with the 2 °C goal could have multi-sectoral consequences in China. Carbon constraints in China in the 2Deg scenario are set to align with the global 2 °C target based on the emissions per capita convergence principle. Carbon policies for NDC pledges as well as policies in China regarding renewables, air pollution control, and land management were also simulated. The results show that energy security and air quality have co-benefits related to climate policies, whereas food security and land resources experienced negative side effects (trade-offs). Near-term climate actions were shown to help reduce these trade-offs in the mid-term. A policy package that included food and land subsidies also helped achieve climate targets while avoiding the adverse side effects caused by the mitigation policies. The findings should help policymakers in China develop win–win policies that do not negatively affect some sectors, which could potentially enhance their ability to take climate actions to realize the global 2 °C goal within the context of sustainable development.
IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/ab59c4&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 24 citations 24 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/ab59c4&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2021 Japan, AustriaPublisher:Elsevier BV Authors:Tomoki Ehara;
Tomoki Ehara
Tomoki Ehara in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; +2 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIRETomoki Ehara;
Tomoki Ehara
Tomoki Ehara in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; Yuki Ochi;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREKen Oshiro;
Ken Oshiro
Ken Oshiro in OpenAIREhandle: 2433/276537
Abstract Japan’s mid-century strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 80% in 2050 would require large-scale energy system transformation and associated increases in mitigation costs. Nevertheless, the role of energy demand reduction, especially reductions related to energy services such as behavioral changes and material use efficiency improvements, have not been sufficiently evaluated. This study aims to identify key challenges and opportunities of the decarbonization goal when considering the role of energy service demand reduction. To this end, we used a detailed bottom-up energy system model in conjunction with an energy service demand model to explore energy system changes and their cost implications. The results indicate that final energy demand in 2050 can be cut by 37% relative to the no-policy case through energy service demand reduction measures. Although the lack of carbon capture and storage would cause mitigation costs to double or more, these economic impacts can be offset by energy service demand reduction. Among energy demand sectors, the impact of industrial service demand reduction is largest, as it contributes to reducing residual emissions from the industry sector. These findings highlight the importance of energy service demand reduction measures for meeting national climate goals in addition to technological options.
IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2021.120464&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 44 citations 44 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2021.120464&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2021 Japan, AustriaPublisher:Elsevier BV Authors:Tomoki Ehara;
Tomoki Ehara
Tomoki Ehara in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; +2 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIRETomoki Ehara;
Tomoki Ehara
Tomoki Ehara in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; Yuki Ochi;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREKen Oshiro;
Ken Oshiro
Ken Oshiro in OpenAIREhandle: 2433/276537
Abstract Japan’s mid-century strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 80% in 2050 would require large-scale energy system transformation and associated increases in mitigation costs. Nevertheless, the role of energy demand reduction, especially reductions related to energy services such as behavioral changes and material use efficiency improvements, have not been sufficiently evaluated. This study aims to identify key challenges and opportunities of the decarbonization goal when considering the role of energy service demand reduction. To this end, we used a detailed bottom-up energy system model in conjunction with an energy service demand model to explore energy system changes and their cost implications. The results indicate that final energy demand in 2050 can be cut by 37% relative to the no-policy case through energy service demand reduction measures. Although the lack of carbon capture and storage would cause mitigation costs to double or more, these economic impacts can be offset by energy service demand reduction. Among energy demand sectors, the impact of industrial service demand reduction is largest, as it contributes to reducing residual emissions from the industry sector. These findings highlight the importance of energy service demand reduction measures for meeting national climate goals in addition to technological options.
IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 44 citations 44 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2021.120464&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2012Publisher:Elsevier BV Authors: Yuzuru Matsuoka;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Hancheng Dai; Toshihiko Masui;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREAbstract This paper explores how China’s household consumption patterns over the period 2005–2050 influence the total energy demand and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in two baseline scenarios, and how it influences carbon prices as well as the economic cost in the corresponding carbon mitigation scenarios. To this end we first put forward two possible household consumption expenditure patterns up to 2050 using the Working–Leser model, taking into account total expenditure increase and urbanization. For comparison, both expenditure patterns are then incorporated in a hybrid recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model. The results reveal that as income level increases in the coming decades, the direct and indirect household energy requirements and CO2 emissions would rise drastically. When household expenditure shifts from material products and transport to service-oriented goods, around 21,000 mtce 1 of primary energy and 45 billion tons of CO2 emissions would be saved over the 45-year period from 2005 to 2050. Moreover, carbon prices in the dematerialized mitigation scenario would fall by 13% in 2050, thus reducing the economic cost.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.enpol.2012.08.023&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu152 citations 152 popularity Top 1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.enpol.2012.08.023&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2012Publisher:Elsevier BV Authors: Yuzuru Matsuoka;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Hancheng Dai; Toshihiko Masui;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREAbstract This paper explores how China’s household consumption patterns over the period 2005–2050 influence the total energy demand and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in two baseline scenarios, and how it influences carbon prices as well as the economic cost in the corresponding carbon mitigation scenarios. To this end we first put forward two possible household consumption expenditure patterns up to 2050 using the Working–Leser model, taking into account total expenditure increase and urbanization. For comparison, both expenditure patterns are then incorporated in a hybrid recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model. The results reveal that as income level increases in the coming decades, the direct and indirect household energy requirements and CO2 emissions would rise drastically. When household expenditure shifts from material products and transport to service-oriented goods, around 21,000 mtce 1 of primary energy and 45 billion tons of CO2 emissions would be saved over the 45-year period from 2005 to 2050. Moreover, carbon prices in the dematerialized mitigation scenario would fall by 13% in 2050, thus reducing the economic cost.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.enpol.2012.08.023&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu152 citations 152 popularity Top 1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.enpol.2012.08.023&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2019Publisher:Elsevier BV Authors: Fuminori Sano;Etsushi Kato;
Etsushi Kato
Etsushi Kato in OpenAIREMasahiro Sugiyama;
Masahiro Sugiyama
Masahiro Sugiyama in OpenAIREYuhji Matsuo;
+9 AuthorsYuhji Matsuo
Yuhji Matsuo in OpenAIREFuminori Sano;Etsushi Kato;
Etsushi Kato
Etsushi Kato in OpenAIREMasahiro Sugiyama;
Masahiro Sugiyama
Masahiro Sugiyama in OpenAIREYuhji Matsuo;
Yuhji Matsuo
Yuhji Matsuo in OpenAIREKen Oshiro;
Seiya Endo; Ryoichi Komiyama;Ken Oshiro
Ken Oshiro in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Yasumasa Fujii; Atsushi Kurosawa; Kenichi Wada;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREHiroto Shiraki;
Hiroto Shiraki
Hiroto Shiraki in OpenAIREAbstract Japan is the sixth largest greenhouse gas emitter in 2016 and plays an important role to attain the long-term climate goals of the Paris Agreement. One of the key policy issues in Japan's energy and environmental policy arena is the energy system transition to achieve 80% emissions reduction in 2050, a current policy goal set in 2016. To contribute to the ongoing policy debate, this paper focuses on energy-related CO2 emissions and analyzes such decarbonization scenarios that are consistent with the government goals. We employ six energy-economic and integrated assessment models to reveal decarbonization challenges in the energy system. The modeling results show that Japan's mitigation scenarios are characterized by high marginal costs of abatement. They also suggest that the industrial sector is likely to have a large final energy share and significant residual emissions under the 80% reduction scenario, though it is generally thought that the transport sector would have large decarbonization challenges. The present findings imply that not only energy policy but also industrial policy may be relevant to the long-term environmental target. Given the high marginal costs exceeding those of negative emissions technologies that could place a cost ceiling, further model development would be crucial.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.091&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess Routeshybrid 69 citations 69 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.091&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2019Publisher:Elsevier BV Authors: Fuminori Sano;Etsushi Kato;
Etsushi Kato
Etsushi Kato in OpenAIREMasahiro Sugiyama;
Masahiro Sugiyama
Masahiro Sugiyama in OpenAIREYuhji Matsuo;
+9 AuthorsYuhji Matsuo
Yuhji Matsuo in OpenAIREFuminori Sano;Etsushi Kato;
Etsushi Kato
Etsushi Kato in OpenAIREMasahiro Sugiyama;
Masahiro Sugiyama
Masahiro Sugiyama in OpenAIREYuhji Matsuo;
Yuhji Matsuo
Yuhji Matsuo in OpenAIREKen Oshiro;
Seiya Endo; Ryoichi Komiyama;Ken Oshiro
Ken Oshiro in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Yasumasa Fujii; Atsushi Kurosawa; Kenichi Wada;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREHiroto Shiraki;
Hiroto Shiraki
Hiroto Shiraki in OpenAIREAbstract Japan is the sixth largest greenhouse gas emitter in 2016 and plays an important role to attain the long-term climate goals of the Paris Agreement. One of the key policy issues in Japan's energy and environmental policy arena is the energy system transition to achieve 80% emissions reduction in 2050, a current policy goal set in 2016. To contribute to the ongoing policy debate, this paper focuses on energy-related CO2 emissions and analyzes such decarbonization scenarios that are consistent with the government goals. We employ six energy-economic and integrated assessment models to reveal decarbonization challenges in the energy system. The modeling results show that Japan's mitigation scenarios are characterized by high marginal costs of abatement. They also suggest that the industrial sector is likely to have a large final energy share and significant residual emissions under the 80% reduction scenario, though it is generally thought that the transport sector would have large decarbonization challenges. The present findings imply that not only energy policy but also industrial policy may be relevant to the long-term environmental target. Given the high marginal costs exceeding those of negative emissions technologies that could place a cost ceiling, further model development would be crucial.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess Routeshybrid 69 citations 69 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.091&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2017 Italy, NetherlandsPublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | ADVANCEEC| ADVANCEAuthors: Page Kyle;Oreane Y. Edelenbosch;
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch;Oreane Y. Edelenbosch
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
+8 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREPage Kyle;Oreane Y. Edelenbosch;
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch;Oreane Y. Edelenbosch
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREWina Crijns-Graus;
Fuminori Sano;Wina Crijns-Graus
Wina Crijns-Graus in OpenAIREKaterina Kermeli;
B. Fais;Katerina Kermeli
Katerina Kermeli in OpenAIRED.P. van Vuuren;
D.P. van Vuuren; Ernst Worrell; Ruben Bibas;D.P. van Vuuren
D.P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREhandle: 11311/1061131
The industry sector is a major energy consumer and GHG emitter. Effective climate change mitigation strategies will require a significant reduction of industrial emissions. To better understand the variations in the projected industrial pathways for both baseline and mitigation scenarios, we compare key input and structure assumptions used in energy-models in relation to the modeled sectors' mitigation potential. It is shown that although all models show in the short term similar trends in a baseline scenario, where industrial energy demand increases steadily, after 2050 energy demand spans a wide range across the models (between 203 and 451 EJ/yr). In Non-OECD countries, the sectors energy intensity is projected to decline relatively rapidly but in the 2010–2050 period this is offset by economic growth. The ability to switch to alternative fuels to mitigate GHG emissions differs across models with technologically detailed models being less flexible in switching from fossil fuels to electricity. This highlights the importance of understanding economy-wide mitigation responses and costs and is therefore an area for improvements. By looking at the cement sector in more detail, we show that analyzing each industrial sub-sector separately can improve the interpretation and accuracy of outcomes, and provide insights in the feasibility of GHG abatement.
Energy arrow_drop_down http://dx.doi.org/dx.doi.org/1...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2017.01.017&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 83 citations 83 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Energy arrow_drop_down http://dx.doi.org/dx.doi.org/1...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2017.01.017&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2017 Italy, NetherlandsPublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | ADVANCEEC| ADVANCEAuthors: Page Kyle;Oreane Y. Edelenbosch;
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch;Oreane Y. Edelenbosch
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
+8 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREPage Kyle;Oreane Y. Edelenbosch;
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch;Oreane Y. Edelenbosch
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREWina Crijns-Graus;
Fuminori Sano;Wina Crijns-Graus
Wina Crijns-Graus in OpenAIREKaterina Kermeli;
B. Fais;Katerina Kermeli
Katerina Kermeli in OpenAIRED.P. van Vuuren;
D.P. van Vuuren; Ernst Worrell; Ruben Bibas;D.P. van Vuuren
D.P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREhandle: 11311/1061131
The industry sector is a major energy consumer and GHG emitter. Effective climate change mitigation strategies will require a significant reduction of industrial emissions. To better understand the variations in the projected industrial pathways for both baseline and mitigation scenarios, we compare key input and structure assumptions used in energy-models in relation to the modeled sectors' mitigation potential. It is shown that although all models show in the short term similar trends in a baseline scenario, where industrial energy demand increases steadily, after 2050 energy demand spans a wide range across the models (between 203 and 451 EJ/yr). In Non-OECD countries, the sectors energy intensity is projected to decline relatively rapidly but in the 2010–2050 period this is offset by economic growth. The ability to switch to alternative fuels to mitigate GHG emissions differs across models with technologically detailed models being less flexible in switching from fossil fuels to electricity. This highlights the importance of understanding economy-wide mitigation responses and costs and is therefore an area for improvements. By looking at the cement sector in more detail, we show that analyzing each industrial sub-sector separately can improve the interpretation and accuracy of outcomes, and provide insights in the feasibility of GHG abatement.
Energy arrow_drop_down http://dx.doi.org/dx.doi.org/1...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2017.01.017&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 83 citations 83 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Energy arrow_drop_down http://dx.doi.org/dx.doi.org/1...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2017.01.017&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Research , Other literature type 2013 France, Germany, France, NetherlandsPublisher:Wiley Authors:Lotze-Campen, H.;
von Lampe, M.; Kyle, P.;Lotze-Campen, H.
Lotze-Campen, H. in OpenAIREFujimori, S.;
+9 AuthorsFujimori, S.
Fujimori, S. in OpenAIRELotze-Campen, H.;
von Lampe, M.; Kyle, P.;Lotze-Campen, H.
Lotze-Campen, H. in OpenAIREFujimori, S.;
Fujimori, S.
Fujimori, S. in OpenAIREHavlik, P.;
Havlik, P.
Havlik, P. in OpenAIREvan Meijl, J.C.M.;
Hasegawa, T.;van Meijl, J.C.M.
van Meijl, J.C.M. in OpenAIREPopp, A.;
Schmitz, C.;Popp, A.
Popp, A. in OpenAIRETabeau, A.A.;
Tabeau, A.A.
Tabeau, A.A. in OpenAIREValin, H.;
Valin, H.
Valin, H. in OpenAIREWillenbockel, D.;
Wise, M.;Willenbockel, D.
Willenbockel, D. in OpenAIREdoi: 10.1111/agec.12092
handle: 10568/51649
Integrated Assessment studies have shown that meeting ambitious greenhouse gas mitigation targets will require substantial amounts of bioenergy as part of the future energy mix. In the course of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP), five global agro-economic models were used to analyze a future scenario with global demand for ligno-cellulosic bioenergy rising to about 100 ExaJoule in 2050. From this exercise a tentative conclusion can be drawn that ambitious climate change mitigation need not drive up global food prices much, if the extra land required for bioenergy production is accessible or if the feedstock, for example, from forests, does not directly compete for agricultural land. Agricultural price effects across models by the year 2050 from high bioenergy demand in an ambitious mitigation scenario appear to be much smaller (+5% average across models) than from direct climate impacts on crop yields in a high-emission scenario (+25% average across models). However, potential future scarcities of water and nutrients, policy-induced restrictions on agricultural land expansion, as well as potential welfare losses have not been specifically looked at in this exercise.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/agec.12092&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen 85 citations 85 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/agec.12092&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Research , Other literature type 2013 France, Germany, France, NetherlandsPublisher:Wiley Authors:Lotze-Campen, H.;
von Lampe, M.; Kyle, P.;Lotze-Campen, H.
Lotze-Campen, H. in OpenAIREFujimori, S.;
+9 AuthorsFujimori, S.
Fujimori, S. in OpenAIRELotze-Campen, H.;
von Lampe, M.; Kyle, P.;Lotze-Campen, H.
Lotze-Campen, H. in OpenAIREFujimori, S.;
Fujimori, S.
Fujimori, S. in OpenAIREHavlik, P.;
Havlik, P.
Havlik, P. in OpenAIREvan Meijl, J.C.M.;
Hasegawa, T.;van Meijl, J.C.M.
van Meijl, J.C.M. in OpenAIREPopp, A.;
Schmitz, C.;Popp, A.
Popp, A. in OpenAIRETabeau, A.A.;
Tabeau, A.A.
Tabeau, A.A. in OpenAIREValin, H.;
Valin, H.
Valin, H. in OpenAIREWillenbockel, D.;
Wise, M.;Willenbockel, D.
Willenbockel, D. in OpenAIREdoi: 10.1111/agec.12092
handle: 10568/51649
Integrated Assessment studies have shown that meeting ambitious greenhouse gas mitigation targets will require substantial amounts of bioenergy as part of the future energy mix. In the course of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP), five global agro-economic models were used to analyze a future scenario with global demand for ligno-cellulosic bioenergy rising to about 100 ExaJoule in 2050. From this exercise a tentative conclusion can be drawn that ambitious climate change mitigation need not drive up global food prices much, if the extra land required for bioenergy production is accessible or if the feedstock, for example, from forests, does not directly compete for agricultural land. Agricultural price effects across models by the year 2050 from high bioenergy demand in an ambitious mitigation scenario appear to be much smaller (+5% average across models) than from direct climate impacts on crop yields in a high-emission scenario (+25% average across models). However, potential future scarcities of water and nutrients, policy-induced restrictions on agricultural land expansion, as well as potential welfare losses have not been specifically looked at in this exercise.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/agec.12092&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen 85 citations 85 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/agec.12092&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2016Publisher:Elsevier BV Authors:Shivika Mittal;
Shivika Mittal
Shivika Mittal in OpenAIREHancheng Dai;
Hancheng Dai
Hancheng Dai in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Toshihiko Masui;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREAbstract Renewable energy has a critical role in limiting the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This paper assesses the implication of aligning renewable energy deployment target with national emission reduction target for mitigation cost. The assessment methodology uses Asia-Pacific Integrated Assessment/computable general equilibrium (AIM/CGE) model to determine the mitigation cost in terms of GDP and welfare loss under alternative renewable targets in different climate-constrained scenarios. A range of country-specific emission constraints is taken to address the uncertainties related to global emission pathway and emission entitlement scheme. Comparative results show that China needs to increase its share of non-fossil fuel significantly in the primary energy mix to achieve the stringent emission reduction target compared to India. The mitigation cost in terms of economic and welfare loss can be reduced by increasing the penetration of the renewable energy to achieve the same emission reduction target. The modeling results show that coordinated national climate and renewable energy policies help to achieve the GHG emission reduction target in an efficient and cost-effective manner.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.12.124&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu90 citations 90 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.12.124&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2016Publisher:Elsevier BV Authors:Shivika Mittal;
Shivika Mittal
Shivika Mittal in OpenAIREHancheng Dai;
Hancheng Dai
Hancheng Dai in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Toshihiko Masui;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREAbstract Renewable energy has a critical role in limiting the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This paper assesses the implication of aligning renewable energy deployment target with national emission reduction target for mitigation cost. The assessment methodology uses Asia-Pacific Integrated Assessment/computable general equilibrium (AIM/CGE) model to determine the mitigation cost in terms of GDP and welfare loss under alternative renewable targets in different climate-constrained scenarios. A range of country-specific emission constraints is taken to address the uncertainties related to global emission pathway and emission entitlement scheme. Comparative results show that China needs to increase its share of non-fossil fuel significantly in the primary energy mix to achieve the stringent emission reduction target compared to India. The mitigation cost in terms of economic and welfare loss can be reduced by increasing the penetration of the renewable energy to achieve the same emission reduction target. The modeling results show that coordinated national climate and renewable energy policies help to achieve the GHG emission reduction target in an efficient and cost-effective manner.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.12.124&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu90 citations 90 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.12.124&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2017 Netherlands, Italy, Germany, Austria, Italy, Netherlands, Netherlands, United Kingdom, NetherlandsPublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | PATHWAYS, EC | ADVANCE, EC | LUC4CEC| PATHWAYS ,EC| ADVANCE ,EC| LUC4CAuthors:Brian C. O'Neill;
Tomoko Hasegawa;Brian C. O'Neill
Brian C. O'Neill in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREAlexander Popp;
+47 AuthorsAlexander Popp
Alexander Popp in OpenAIREBrian C. O'Neill;
Tomoko Hasegawa;Brian C. O'Neill
Brian C. O'Neill in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREAlexander Popp;
Alexander Popp
Alexander Popp in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREPetr Havlik;
Petr Havlik
Petr Havlik in OpenAIREGiacomo Marangoni;
Tom Kram;Giacomo Marangoni
Giacomo Marangoni in OpenAIREHermann Lotze-Campen;
Hermann Lotze-Campen;Hermann Lotze-Campen
Hermann Lotze-Campen in OpenAIREFlorian Humpenöder;
Florian Humpenöder
Florian Humpenöder in OpenAIREGunnar Luderer;
Gunnar Luderer
Gunnar Luderer in OpenAIREMassimo Tavoni;
Massimo Tavoni; David E.H.J. Gernaat;Massimo Tavoni
Massimo Tavoni in OpenAIREJohannes Emmerling;
Johannes Emmerling
Johannes Emmerling in OpenAIREKiyoshi Takahashi;
Steve Smith; Mathijs Harmsen;Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREValentina Bosetti;
Valentina Bosetti; Jessica Strefler;Valentina Bosetti
Valentina Bosetti in OpenAIREAndrzej Tabeau;
Andrzej Tabeau
Andrzej Tabeau in OpenAIREJoeri Rogelj;
Joeri Rogelj
Joeri Rogelj in OpenAIREJiyong Eom;
Jiyong Eom; Samir Kc; Samir Kc; Leiwen Jiang; Katherine Calvin; Kristie L. Ebi; Mikiko Kainuma; Jesus Crespo Cuaresma; Rob Dellink; Lavinia Baumstark; Wolfgang Lutz; Toshihiko Masui; Marian Leimbach; Lara Aleluia Da Silva;Jiyong Eom
Jiyong Eom in OpenAIRELaurent Drouet;
Laurent Drouet
Laurent Drouet in OpenAIREOliver Fricko;
Oliver Fricko
Oliver Fricko in OpenAIRENico Bauer;
Jae Edmonds; Michael Obersteiner;Nico Bauer
Nico Bauer in OpenAIREVolker Krey;
Volker Krey
Volker Krey in OpenAIREZbigniew Klimont;
Shilpa Rao; Elke Stehfest;Zbigniew Klimont
Zbigniew Klimont in OpenAIREKeywan Riahi;
Keywan Riahi
Keywan Riahi in OpenAIREElmar Kriegler;
Elmar Kriegler
Elmar Kriegler in OpenAIREJonathan C. Doelman;
Jonathan C. Doelman
Jonathan C. Doelman in OpenAIREhandle: 11565/3990588 , 10044/1/78069
This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the climate change research community in order to facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The pathways were developed over the last years as a joint community effort and describe plausible major global developments that together would lead in the future to different challenges for mitigation and adaptation to climate change. The SSPs are based on five narratives describing alternative socio-economic developments, including sustainable development, regional rivalry, inequality, fossil-fueled development, and middle-of-the-road development. The long-term demographic and economic projections of the SSPs depict a wide uncertainty range consistent with the scenario literature. A multi-model approach was used for the elaboration of the energy, land-use and the emissions trajectories of SSP-based scenarios. The baseline scenarios lead to global energy consumption of 400–1200 EJ in 2100, and feature vastly different land-use dynamics, ranging from a possible reduction in cropland area up to a massive expansion by more than 700 million hectares by 2100. The associated annual CO2 emissions of the baseline scenarios range from about 25 GtCO2 to more than 120 GtCO2 per year by 2100. With respect to mitigation, we find that associated costs strongly depend on three factors: (1) the policy assumptions, (2) the socio-economic narrative, and (3) the stringency of the target. The carbon price for reaching the target of 2.6 W/m2 that is consistent with a temperature change limit of 2 °C, differs in our analysis thus by about a factor of three across the SSP marker scenarios. Moreover, many models could not reach this target from the SSPs with high mitigation challenges. While the SSPs were designed to represent different mitigation and adaptation challenges, the resulting narratives and quantifications span a wide range of different futures broadly representative of the current literature. This allows their subsequent use and development in new assessments and research projects. Critical next steps for the community scenario process will, among others, involve regional and sectoral extensions, further elaboration of the adaptation and impacts dimension, as well as employing the SSP scenarios with the new generation of earth system models as part of the 6th climate model intercomparison project (CMIP6).
IIASA PURE arrow_drop_down Imperial College London: SpiralArticle . 2016License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/78069Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Global Environmental ChangeArticle . 2016Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Global Environmental ChangeArticle . 2017License: CC BYData sources: BASE (Open Access Aggregator)Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryArticle . 2016Data sources: Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2016License: CC BYData sources: Wageningen Staff Publicationshttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gl...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 4K citations 3,991 popularity Top 0.01% influence Top 0.1% impulse Top 0.01% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA PURE arrow_drop_down Imperial College London: SpiralArticle . 2016License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/78069Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Global Environmental ChangeArticle . 2016Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Global Environmental ChangeArticle . 2017License: CC BYData sources: BASE (Open Access Aggregator)Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryArticle . 2016Data sources: Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2016License: CC BYData sources: Wageningen Staff Publicationshttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gl...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2017 Netherlands, Italy, Germany, Austria, Italy, Netherlands, Netherlands, United Kingdom, NetherlandsPublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | PATHWAYS, EC | ADVANCE, EC | LUC4CEC| PATHWAYS ,EC| ADVANCE ,EC| LUC4CAuthors:Brian C. O'Neill;
Tomoko Hasegawa;Brian C. O'Neill
Brian C. O'Neill in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREAlexander Popp;
+47 AuthorsAlexander Popp
Alexander Popp in OpenAIREBrian C. O'Neill;
Tomoko Hasegawa;Brian C. O'Neill
Brian C. O'Neill in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREAlexander Popp;
Alexander Popp
Alexander Popp in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREPetr Havlik;
Petr Havlik
Petr Havlik in OpenAIREGiacomo Marangoni;
Tom Kram;Giacomo Marangoni
Giacomo Marangoni in OpenAIREHermann Lotze-Campen;
Hermann Lotze-Campen;Hermann Lotze-Campen
Hermann Lotze-Campen in OpenAIREFlorian Humpenöder;
Florian Humpenöder
Florian Humpenöder in OpenAIREGunnar Luderer;
Gunnar Luderer
Gunnar Luderer in OpenAIREMassimo Tavoni;
Massimo Tavoni; David E.H.J. Gernaat;Massimo Tavoni
Massimo Tavoni in OpenAIREJohannes Emmerling;
Johannes Emmerling
Johannes Emmerling in OpenAIREKiyoshi Takahashi;
Steve Smith; Mathijs Harmsen;Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREValentina Bosetti;
Valentina Bosetti; Jessica Strefler;Valentina Bosetti
Valentina Bosetti in OpenAIREAndrzej Tabeau;
Andrzej Tabeau
Andrzej Tabeau in OpenAIREJoeri Rogelj;
Joeri Rogelj
Joeri Rogelj in OpenAIREJiyong Eom;
Jiyong Eom; Samir Kc; Samir Kc; Leiwen Jiang; Katherine Calvin; Kristie L. Ebi; Mikiko Kainuma; Jesus Crespo Cuaresma; Rob Dellink; Lavinia Baumstark; Wolfgang Lutz; Toshihiko Masui; Marian Leimbach; Lara Aleluia Da Silva;Jiyong Eom
Jiyong Eom in OpenAIRELaurent Drouet;
Laurent Drouet
Laurent Drouet in OpenAIREOliver Fricko;
Oliver Fricko
Oliver Fricko in OpenAIRENico Bauer;
Jae Edmonds; Michael Obersteiner;Nico Bauer
Nico Bauer in OpenAIREVolker Krey;
Volker Krey
Volker Krey in OpenAIREZbigniew Klimont;
Shilpa Rao; Elke Stehfest;Zbigniew Klimont
Zbigniew Klimont in OpenAIREKeywan Riahi;
Keywan Riahi
Keywan Riahi in OpenAIREElmar Kriegler;
Elmar Kriegler
Elmar Kriegler in OpenAIREJonathan C. Doelman;
Jonathan C. Doelman
Jonathan C. Doelman in OpenAIREhandle: 11565/3990588 , 10044/1/78069
This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the climate change research community in order to facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The pathways were developed over the last years as a joint community effort and describe plausible major global developments that together would lead in the future to different challenges for mitigation and adaptation to climate change. The SSPs are based on five narratives describing alternative socio-economic developments, including sustainable development, regional rivalry, inequality, fossil-fueled development, and middle-of-the-road development. The long-term demographic and economic projections of the SSPs depict a wide uncertainty range consistent with the scenario literature. A multi-model approach was used for the elaboration of the energy, land-use and the emissions trajectories of SSP-based scenarios. The baseline scenarios lead to global energy consumption of 400–1200 EJ in 2100, and feature vastly different land-use dynamics, ranging from a possible reduction in cropland area up to a massive expansion by more than 700 million hectares by 2100. The associated annual CO2 emissions of the baseline scenarios range from about 25 GtCO2 to more than 120 GtCO2 per year by 2100. With respect to mitigation, we find that associated costs strongly depend on three factors: (1) the policy assumptions, (2) the socio-economic narrative, and (3) the stringency of the target. The carbon price for reaching the target of 2.6 W/m2 that is consistent with a temperature change limit of 2 °C, differs in our analysis thus by about a factor of three across the SSP marker scenarios. Moreover, many models could not reach this target from the SSPs with high mitigation challenges. While the SSPs were designed to represent different mitigation and adaptation challenges, the resulting narratives and quantifications span a wide range of different futures broadly representative of the current literature. This allows their subsequent use and development in new assessments and research projects. Critical next steps for the community scenario process will, among others, involve regional and sectoral extensions, further elaboration of the adaptation and impacts dimension, as well as employing the SSP scenarios with the new generation of earth system models as part of the 6th climate model intercomparison project (CMIP6).
IIASA PURE arrow_drop_down Imperial College London: SpiralArticle . 2016License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/78069Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Global Environmental ChangeArticle . 2016Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Global Environmental ChangeArticle . 2017License: CC BYData sources: BASE (Open Access Aggregator)Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryArticle . 2016Data sources: Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2016License: CC BYData sources: Wageningen Staff Publicationshttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gl...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 4K citations 3,991 popularity Top 0.01% influence Top 0.1% impulse Top 0.01% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA PURE arrow_drop_down Imperial College London: SpiralArticle . 2016License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/78069Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Global Environmental ChangeArticle . 2016Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Global Environmental ChangeArticle . 2017License: CC BYData sources: BASE (Open Access Aggregator)Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryArticle . 2016Data sources: Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2016License: CC BYData sources: Wageningen Staff Publicationshttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gl...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2018 NetherlandsPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Authors: Harmen Sytze de Boer; Matthew Gidden;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; +32 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREHarmen Sytze de Boer; Matthew Gidden;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Marianne Fay; Wenji Zhou; Mathijs Harmsen; Mathijs Harmsen; Claire Nicolas; Julie Rozenberg;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREGokul Iyer;
Gokul Iyer
Gokul Iyer in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren; Miguel Poblete-Cazenave;Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREDavid L. McCollum;
David L. McCollum;David L. McCollum
David L. McCollum in OpenAIRESebastian Busch;
Jacques Després; Christoph Bertram; Valentina Bosetti; Valentina Bosetti;Sebastian Busch
Sebastian Busch in OpenAIREPeter Rafaj;
Peter Rafaj
Peter Rafaj in OpenAIRENarasimha D. Rao;
Narasimha D. Rao
Narasimha D. Rao in OpenAIREKeywan Riahi;
Keywan Riahi;Keywan Riahi
Keywan Riahi in OpenAIREElmar Kriegler;
Elmar Kriegler
Elmar Kriegler in OpenAIREShonali Pachauri;
Shonali Pachauri
Shonali Pachauri in OpenAIREAndreas Schmitz;
Andreas Schmitz
Andreas Schmitz in OpenAIREDaniel Huppmann;
Daniel Huppmann
Daniel Huppmann in OpenAIRELaurent Drouet;
Laurent Drouet
Laurent Drouet in OpenAIREOliver Fricko;
Oliver Fricko
Oliver Fricko in OpenAIRESimon Parkinson;
Simon Parkinson; Wolfgang Schoepp;Simon Parkinson
Simon Parkinson in OpenAIREJohannes Emmerling;
Johannes Emmerling
Johannes Emmerling in OpenAIREVolker Krey;
Volker Krey
Volker Krey in OpenAIREIn the version of ‘Supplementary Data 1’ originally published with this Article, the units for the ‘Capacity|Electricity|*’ variables in the ‘Non_Investment_Annual’ tab were incorrectly given as EJ/yr; they should have read GW. This has now been corrected. Also, some of the variables listed in the ‘Non_Investment_Variable_Defs’ were not required and have therefore been removed.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41560-018-0215-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 10 citations 10 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41560-018-0215-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2018 NetherlandsPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Authors: Harmen Sytze de Boer; Matthew Gidden;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; +32 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREHarmen Sytze de Boer; Matthew Gidden;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Marianne Fay; Wenji Zhou; Mathijs Harmsen; Mathijs Harmsen; Claire Nicolas; Julie Rozenberg;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREGokul Iyer;
Gokul Iyer
Gokul Iyer in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren; Miguel Poblete-Cazenave;Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREDavid L. McCollum;
David L. McCollum;David L. McCollum
David L. McCollum in OpenAIRESebastian Busch;
Jacques Després; Christoph Bertram; Valentina Bosetti; Valentina Bosetti;Sebastian Busch
Sebastian Busch in OpenAIREPeter Rafaj;
Peter Rafaj
Peter Rafaj in OpenAIRENarasimha D. Rao;
Narasimha D. Rao
Narasimha D. Rao in OpenAIREKeywan Riahi;
Keywan Riahi;Keywan Riahi
Keywan Riahi in OpenAIREElmar Kriegler;
Elmar Kriegler
Elmar Kriegler in OpenAIREShonali Pachauri;
Shonali Pachauri
Shonali Pachauri in OpenAIREAndreas Schmitz;
Andreas Schmitz
Andreas Schmitz in OpenAIREDaniel Huppmann;
Daniel Huppmann
Daniel Huppmann in OpenAIRELaurent Drouet;
Laurent Drouet
Laurent Drouet in OpenAIREOliver Fricko;
Oliver Fricko
Oliver Fricko in OpenAIRESimon Parkinson;
Simon Parkinson; Wolfgang Schoepp;Simon Parkinson
Simon Parkinson in OpenAIREJohannes Emmerling;
Johannes Emmerling
Johannes Emmerling in OpenAIREVolker Krey;
Volker Krey
Volker Krey in OpenAIREIn the version of ‘Supplementary Data 1’ originally published with this Article, the units for the ‘Capacity|Electricity|*’ variables in the ‘Non_Investment_Annual’ tab were incorrectly given as EJ/yr; they should have read GW. This has now been corrected. Also, some of the variables listed in the ‘Non_Investment_Variable_Defs’ were not required and have therefore been removed.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41560-018-0215-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 10 citations 10 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41560-018-0215-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2018 Netherlands, Germany, Netherlands, Austria, Italy, ItalyPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:EC | CD-LINKSEC| CD-LINKSAuthors:Daniel Huppmann;
Daniel Huppmann
Daniel Huppmann in OpenAIRELaurent Drouet;
Laurent Drouet
Laurent Drouet in OpenAIREOliver Fricko;
Oliver Fricko
Oliver Fricko in OpenAIRESimon Parkinson;
+32 AuthorsSimon Parkinson
Simon Parkinson in OpenAIREDaniel Huppmann;
Daniel Huppmann
Daniel Huppmann in OpenAIRELaurent Drouet;
Laurent Drouet
Laurent Drouet in OpenAIREOliver Fricko;
Oliver Fricko
Oliver Fricko in OpenAIRESimon Parkinson;
Simon Parkinson; Matthew Gidden;Simon Parkinson
Simon Parkinson in OpenAIREChristoph Bertram;
Christoph Bertram
Christoph Bertram in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Wenji Zhou; Harmen Sytze de Boer;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIRESebastian Busch;
Claire Nicolas;Sebastian Busch
Sebastian Busch in OpenAIREKeywan Riahi;
Keywan Riahi; Jacques Després; Marianne Fay;Keywan Riahi
Keywan Riahi in OpenAIREElmar Kriegler;
Miguel Poblete-Cazenave;Elmar Kriegler
Elmar Kriegler in OpenAIREValentina Bosetti;
Valentina Bosetti;Valentina Bosetti
Valentina Bosetti in OpenAIREDavid L. McCollum;
David L. McCollum;David L. McCollum
David L. McCollum in OpenAIRENarasimha D. Rao;
Wolfgang Schoepp;Narasimha D. Rao
Narasimha D. Rao in OpenAIREGokul Iyer;
Gokul Iyer
Gokul Iyer in OpenAIREShonali Pachauri;
Shonali Pachauri
Shonali Pachauri in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren;Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREPeter Rafaj;
Mathijs Harmsen; Mathijs Harmsen;Peter Rafaj
Peter Rafaj in OpenAIREJohannes Emmerling;
Julie Rozenberg;Johannes Emmerling
Johannes Emmerling in OpenAIREAndreas Schmitz;
Andreas Schmitz
Andreas Schmitz in OpenAIREVolker Krey;
Volker Krey
Volker Krey in OpenAIREhandle: 11565/4012988
Low-carbon investments are necessary for driving the energy system transformation that is called for by both the Paris Agreement and Sustainable Development Goals. Improving understanding of the scale and nature of these investments under diverging technology and policy futures is therefore of great importance to decision makers. Here, using six global modelling frameworks, we show that the pronounced reallocation of the investment portfolio required to transform the energy system will not be initiated by the current suite of countries’ Nationally Determined Contributions. Charting a course toward ‘well below 2 °C’ instead sees low-carbon investments overtaking fossil investments globally by around 2025 or before and growing thereafter. Pursuing the 1.5 °C target demands a marked upscaling in low-carbon capital beyond that of a 2 °C-consistent future. Actions consistent with an energy transformation would increase the costs of achieving the goals of energy access and food security, but reduce the costs of achieving air-quality goals.
Archivio istituziona... arrow_drop_down Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - BocconiArticle . 2018License: CC BY NCData sources: Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - Bocconiadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41560-018-0179-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 442 citations 442 popularity Top 0.1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Archivio istituziona... arrow_drop_down Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - BocconiArticle . 2018License: CC BY NCData sources: Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - Bocconiadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41560-018-0179-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2018 Netherlands, Germany, Netherlands, Austria, Italy, ItalyPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:EC | CD-LINKSEC| CD-LINKSAuthors:Daniel Huppmann;
Daniel Huppmann
Daniel Huppmann in OpenAIRELaurent Drouet;
Laurent Drouet
Laurent Drouet in OpenAIREOliver Fricko;
Oliver Fricko
Oliver Fricko in OpenAIRESimon Parkinson;
+32 AuthorsSimon Parkinson
Simon Parkinson in OpenAIREDaniel Huppmann;
Daniel Huppmann
Daniel Huppmann in OpenAIRELaurent Drouet;
Laurent Drouet
Laurent Drouet in OpenAIREOliver Fricko;
Oliver Fricko
Oliver Fricko in OpenAIRESimon Parkinson;
Simon Parkinson; Matthew Gidden;Simon Parkinson
Simon Parkinson in OpenAIREChristoph Bertram;
Christoph Bertram
Christoph Bertram in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Wenji Zhou; Harmen Sytze de Boer;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIRESebastian Busch;
Claire Nicolas;Sebastian Busch
Sebastian Busch in OpenAIREKeywan Riahi;
Keywan Riahi; Jacques Després; Marianne Fay;Keywan Riahi
Keywan Riahi in OpenAIREElmar Kriegler;
Miguel Poblete-Cazenave;Elmar Kriegler
Elmar Kriegler in OpenAIREValentina Bosetti;
Valentina Bosetti;Valentina Bosetti
Valentina Bosetti in OpenAIREDavid L. McCollum;
David L. McCollum;David L. McCollum
David L. McCollum in OpenAIRENarasimha D. Rao;
Wolfgang Schoepp;Narasimha D. Rao
Narasimha D. Rao in OpenAIREGokul Iyer;
Gokul Iyer
Gokul Iyer in OpenAIREShonali Pachauri;
Shonali Pachauri
Shonali Pachauri in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren;Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREPeter Rafaj;
Mathijs Harmsen; Mathijs Harmsen;Peter Rafaj
Peter Rafaj in OpenAIREJohannes Emmerling;
Julie Rozenberg;Johannes Emmerling
Johannes Emmerling in OpenAIREAndreas Schmitz;
Andreas Schmitz
Andreas Schmitz in OpenAIREVolker Krey;
Volker Krey
Volker Krey in OpenAIREhandle: 11565/4012988
Low-carbon investments are necessary for driving the energy system transformation that is called for by both the Paris Agreement and Sustainable Development Goals. Improving understanding of the scale and nature of these investments under diverging technology and policy futures is therefore of great importance to decision makers. Here, using six global modelling frameworks, we show that the pronounced reallocation of the investment portfolio required to transform the energy system will not be initiated by the current suite of countries’ Nationally Determined Contributions. Charting a course toward ‘well below 2 °C’ instead sees low-carbon investments overtaking fossil investments globally by around 2025 or before and growing thereafter. Pursuing the 1.5 °C target demands a marked upscaling in low-carbon capital beyond that of a 2 °C-consistent future. Actions consistent with an energy transformation would increase the costs of achieving the goals of energy access and food security, but reduce the costs of achieving air-quality goals.
Archivio istituziona... arrow_drop_down Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - BocconiArticle . 2018License: CC BY NCData sources: Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - Bocconiadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41560-018-0179-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 442 citations 442 popularity Top 0.1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Archivio istituziona... arrow_drop_down Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - BocconiArticle . 2018License: CC BY NCData sources: Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - Bocconiadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41560-018-0179-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu