• Energy Research

This study assessed the water supply stability for Boryeong multipurpose dam by applying future dry climate change scenarios and Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). CMCC-CM, INM-CM4, and IPSL-CM5A-MR RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were selected as the future dry conditions using Runs theory and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). For historical (1980–1999), present (2000–2019), and future periods (2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) of the 6 scenarios, SWAT model was used to simulate the future dam water supply stability. The stability was evaluated in terms of reliability (RT), resilience (RS), and vulnerability (V) based on the monthly target storage. The results showed that the future RT can be decreased to 0.803 in 2050s IPSL-CM5A-MR RCP 8.5 scenario from present 0.955. The future RS and V showed the minimum value of 0.003 and the biggest value of 3567.6 × 106 m3 in 2070s IPSL-CM5A-MR RCP 4.5 scenario. The future RT, RS, and V showed that the dam has low resilience and is vulnerable to future drought scenarios.

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the streamflow and water quality (SS, T-N, and T-P) interaction of the Nakdong river basin (23,609.3 km2) by simulating dam and weir operation scenarios using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The operation scenarios tested were dam control (Scenario 1), dam control and weir gate control (Scenario 2), dam control and sequential release of the weirs with a one-month interval between each weir (Scenario 3), dam control and weir gate full open (Scenario 4), dam control and weir gate sequential full open (Scenario 5), weir gate control (Scenario 6), weir gate full open (Scenario 7), and weir gate sequential full open (Scenario 8). Before evaluation, the SWAT was calibrated and validated using 13 years (2005–2017) of daily multi-purpose dam inflow data from five locations ((Andong Dam (ADD), Imha Dam (IHD), Hapcheon Dam (HCD), Namkang Dam (NKD), and Milyang Dam (MYD))multi-function weir inflow data from seven locations (Sangju Weir (SJW), Gumi Weir (GMW), Chilgok Weir (CGW), Gangjeong-Goryeong Weir (GJW), Dalseong Weir (DSW), Hapcheon-Changnyeong Weir (HCW), and Changnyeong-Haman Weir (HAW)), and monthly water quality monitoring data from six locations (Andong-4 (AD-4), Sangju (SJ-2), Waegwan (WG), Hapcheon (HC), Namkang-4 (NK-4), and Mulgeum (MG). For the dam inflows and dam storage, the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) was 0.59~0.78, and the coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.71~0.90. For water quality, the R2 values of SS, T-N, and T-P were 0.58~0.83, 0.53~0.68, and 0.56~0.79, respectively. For the eight dam and weir release scenarios suggested by the Ministry of Environment, Scenarios 4 and 8 exhibited water quality improvement effects compared to the observed data.