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Quantitative estimates of glacial refugia for chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes) since the Last Interglacial (120,000 BP)

التقديرات الكمية للملاجئ الجليدية للشمبانزي (عموم الكهوف) منذ العصر الجليدي الأخير (120،000 قبل الميلاد)
Authors: Emily Neil; Manasseh Eno-Nku; Crickette M. Sanz; Crickette M. Sanz; Hilde Vanleeuwe; Josephine Head; Anh Galat-Luong; +88 Authors

Quantitative estimates of glacial refugia for chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes) since the Last Interglacial (120,000 BP)

Abstract

AbstractPaleoclimate reconstructions have enhanced our understanding of how past climates have shaped present‐day biodiversity. We hypothesize that the geographic extent of Pleistocene forest refugia and suitable habitat fluctuated significantly in time during the late Quaternary for chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes). Using bioclimatic variables representing monthly temperature and precipitation estimates, past human population density data, and an extensive database of georeferenced presence points, we built a model of changing habitat suitability for chimpanzees at fine spatio‐temporal scales dating back to the Last Interglacial (120,000 BP). Our models cover a spatial resolution of 0.0467° (approximately 5.19 km2 grid cells) and a temporal resolution of between 1000 and 4000 years. Using our model, we mapped habitat stability over time using three approaches, comparing our modeled stability estimates to existing knowledge of Afrotropical refugia, as well as contemporary patterns of major keystone tropical food resources used by chimpanzees, figs (Moraceae), and palms (Arecacae). Results show habitat stability congruent with known glacial refugia across Africa, suggesting their extents may have been underestimated for chimpanzees, with potentially up to approximately 60,000 km2 of previously unrecognized glacial refugia. The refugia we highlight coincide with higher species richness for figs and palms. Our results provide spatio‐temporally explicit insights into the role of refugia across the chimpanzee range, forming the empirical foundation for developing and testing hypotheses about behavioral, ecological, and genetic diversity with additional data. This methodology can be applied to other species and geographic areas when sufficient data are available.

Countries
Belgium, Italy, France, United Kingdom
Keywords

Paleoclimate reconstructions, Pleistocene forest, Wildlife Ecology and Conservation Biology, Climate, Interglacial, Social Sciences, biodiversity and climate, Settore BIO/05 - ZOOLOGIA, Range (aeronautics), Troglodytes, Psychology, Climate change, GE, Species Distribution Modeling and Climate Change Impacts, Ecology, Geography, Ecological Modeling, Biodiversity, FOS: Psychology, Pleistocene, Phylogeography, Habitat, Refugium, Archaeology, Physical Sciences, Composite material, 570, Physical geography, diversification, Pan troglodytes, Social Psychology, Settore BIOS-03/A - Zoologia, species distribution modeling, 333, paleoclimate, Animals, Biology, Ecosystem, Evolution of Social Behavior in Primates, QL, Habitat Suitability, ensemble, Genetic Variation, Paleontology, modeling, Glacial period, Materials science, Habitat Selection, FOS: Biological sciences, Africa, Environmental Science, species distribution

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    14
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
14
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
hybrid