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Climate impacts on the ocean are making the Sustainable Development Goals a moving target travelling away from us

Abstract Climate change is impacting marine ecosystems and their goods and services in diverse ways, which can directly hinder our ability to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), set out under the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Through expert elicitation and a literature review, we find that most climate change effects have a wide variety of negative consequences across marine ecosystem services, though most studies have highlighted impacts from warming and consequences of marine species. Climate change is expected to negatively influence marine ecosystem services through global stressors—such as ocean warming and acidification—but also by amplifying local and regional stressors such as freshwater runoff and pollution load. Experts indicated that all SDGs would be overwhelmingly negatively affected by these climate impacts on marine ecosystem services, with eliminating hunger being among the most directly negatively affected SDG. Despite these challenges, the SDGs aiming to transform our consumption and production practices and develop clean energy systems are found to be least affected by marine climate impacts. These findings represent a strategic point of entry for countries to achieve sustainable development, given that these two goals are relatively robust to climate impacts and that they are important pre‐requisite for other SDGs. Our results suggest that climate change impacts on marine ecosystems are set to make the SDGs a moving target travelling away from us. Effective and urgent action towards sustainable development, including mitigating and adapting to climate impacts on marine systems are important to achieve the SDGs, but the longer this action stalls the more distant these goals will become. A free Plain Language Summary can be found within the Supporting Information of this article.
- University of Mary United States
- Lebanese American University Lebanon
- Washington State University United States
- Umeå University Sweden
- James Cook University Australia
Economics, Sustainable Development Goals, marine ecosystem services, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law, Oceanography, 333, Environmental science, [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences, Natural resource economics, Sustainable development, Market economy, Marine ecosystem, Climate change, Ecosystem services, Business, Importance of Marine Spatial Planning in Ecosystem Management, Environmental resource management, Biology, Ecosystem, Environmental planning, Resilience of Coral Reef Ecosystems to Climate Change, Ecology, Global warming, Ecosystem Impacts, ocean sustainability, Impact of Ocean Acidification on Marine Ecosystems, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Ecological forecasting, Goods and services, expert elicitation, Earth and Planetary Sciences, climate change, FOS: Biological sciences, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences
Economics, Sustainable Development Goals, marine ecosystem services, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law, Oceanography, 333, Environmental science, [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences, Natural resource economics, Sustainable development, Market economy, Marine ecosystem, Climate change, Ecosystem services, Business, Importance of Marine Spatial Planning in Ecosystem Management, Environmental resource management, Biology, Ecosystem, Environmental planning, Resilience of Coral Reef Ecosystems to Climate Change, Ecology, Global warming, Ecosystem Impacts, ocean sustainability, Impact of Ocean Acidification on Marine Ecosystems, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Ecological forecasting, Goods and services, expert elicitation, Earth and Planetary Sciences, climate change, FOS: Biological sciences, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).35 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
