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Dynamics and Forecast in a Simple Model of Sustainable Development for Rural Populations

Society is becoming more conscious on the need to preserve the environment. Sustainable development schemes have grown rapidly as a tool for managing, predicting and improving the growth path in different regions and economy sectors. We introduce a novel and simple mathematical model of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) in order to obtain a dynamical description for each one of the sustainability components (economy, social development and environment conservation), together with their dependence with demographic dynamics. The main part in the modeling task is inspired by the works by Cobb, Douglas, Brander and Taylor. This is completed through some new insights by the authors. A model application is presented for three specific geographical rural regions in Caldas (Colombia).
- National University of Colombia Colombia
- National Research Council Italy
- National University of Colombia Colombia
- Università degli studi di Salerno Italy
- Institute for Complex Systems Italy
Rural Population, Complex systems, Conservation of Natural Resources, Population Dynamics, Mathematical Concepts, Colombia, Models, Biological, Economical development, Demographic dynamics, Sustainability, Nonlinear Dynamics, Dynamical networks, Humans, Social Change
Rural Population, Complex systems, Conservation of Natural Resources, Population Dynamics, Mathematical Concepts, Colombia, Models, Biological, Economical development, Demographic dynamics, Sustainability, Nonlinear Dynamics, Dynamical networks, Humans, Social Change
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