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Plant traits alone are poor predictors of ecosystem properties and long-term ecosystem functioning

Authors: Markus Fischer; Yvonne Oelmann; Wolfgang Wilcke; Nico Eisenhauer; Alexandra Weigelt; Thomas Schröder-Georgi; Teja Tscharntke; +30 Authors

Plant traits alone are poor predictors of ecosystem properties and long-term ecosystem functioning

Abstract

Earth is home to over 350,000 vascular plant species that differ in their traits in innumerable ways. A key challenge is to predict how natural or anthropogenically driven changes in the identity, abundance and diversity of co-occurring plant species drive important ecosystem-level properties such as biomass production or carbon storage. Here, we analyse the extent to which 42 different ecosystem properties can be predicted by 41 plant traits in 78 experimentally manipulated grassland plots over 10 years. Despite the unprecedented number of traits analysed, the average percentage of variation in ecosystem properties jointly explained was only moderate (32.6%) within individual years, and even much lower (12.7%) across years. Most other studies linking ecosystem properties to plant traits analysed no more than six traits and, when including only six traits in our analysis, the average percentage of variation explained in across-year levels of ecosystem properties dropped to 4.8%. Furthermore, we found on average only 12.2% overlap in significant predictors among ecosystem properties, indicating that a small set of key traits able to explain multiple ecosystem properties does not exist. Our results therefore suggest that there are specific limits to the extent to which traits per se can predict the long-term functional consequences of biodiversity change, so that data on additional drivers, such as interacting abiotic factors, may be required to improve predictions of ecosystem property levels.

Countries
Germany, Germany, France, France, Germany, Germany, Netherlands
Keywords

570, Geography & travel, litter decomposition, 910, 575, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2300/2303; name=Ecology, land-use, Life Science, info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/910, global metaanalysis, Biomass, tree species-diversity, community composition, Ecosystem, subtropical forest, biodiversity, grassland ecology, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/life_on_land; name=SDG 15 - Life on Land, ecosystem ecology, Biodiversity, carbon storage, /dk/atira/pure/core/keywords/biology; name=Ecosystems Research, Plants, ddc:910, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1100/1105; name=Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Carbon, taxonomic diversity, [SDE.BE] Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, phylogenetic diversity, [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, aboveground biomass, Biologie, community ecology

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    143
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 0.1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
143
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 0.1%
Green
bronze