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Increasing and widespread vulnerability of intact tropical rainforests to repeated droughts

Authors: Tao, Shengli; Chave, Jérôme; Frison, Pierre-Louis; Le Toan, Thuy; Ciais, Philippe; Fang, Jingyun; J.-P., Wigneron; +5 Authors

Increasing and widespread vulnerability of intact tropical rainforests to repeated droughts

Abstract

Intact tropical rainforests have been exposed to severe droughts in recent decades, which may threaten their integrity, their ability to sequester carbon, and their capacity to provide shelter for biodiversity. However, their response to droughts remains uncertain due to limited high-quality, long-term observations covering extensive areas. Here, we examined how the upper canopy of intact tropical rainforests has responded to drought events globally and during the past 3 decades. By developing a long pantropical time series (1992 to 2018) of monthly radar satellite observations, we show that repeated droughts caused a sustained decline in radar signal in 93%, 84%, and 88% of intact tropical rainforests in the Americas, Africa, and Asia, respectively. Sudden decreases in radar signal were detected around the 1997–1998, 2005, 2010, and 2015 droughts in tropical Americas; 1999–2000, 2004–2005, 2010–2011, and 2015 droughts in tropical Africa; and 1997–1998, 2006, and 2015 droughts in tropical Asia. Rainforests showed similar low resistance (the ability to maintain predrought condition when drought occurs) to severe droughts across continents, but American rainforests consistently showed the lowest resilience (the ability to return to predrought condition after the drought event). Moreover, while the resistance of intact tropical rainforests to drought is decreasing, albeit weakly in tropical Africa and Asia, forest resilience has not increased significantly. Our results therefore suggest the capacity of intact rainforests to withstand future droughts is limited. This has negative implications for climate change mitigation through forest-based climate solutions and the associated pledges made by countries under the Paris Agreement.

Country
France
Keywords

[SDV.SA.SF]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Agricultural sciences/Silviculture, Rainforest, environment/Bioclimatology, [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, Climate Change, drought, 333, Trees, remote sensing, Tropical Climate, forestry, rainforests, Biological Sciences, Droughts, [SDE.BE] Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, [SDV.EE.BIO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Bioclimatology, [SDV.EE.BIO]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, [SDV.SA.SF] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Agricultural sciences/Silviculture, forestry, radar

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    44
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
44
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
hybrid