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Spatial and temporal variation in the association between temperature and salmonellosis in NZ

Modelling the relationship between weather, climate and infectious diseases can help identify high-risk periods and provide understanding of the determinants of longer-term trends. We provide a detailed examination of the non-linear and delayed association between temperature and salmonellosis in three New Zealand cities (Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch).Salmonella notifications were geocoded to the city of residence for the reported case. City-specific associations between weekly maximum temperature and the onset date for reported salmonella infections (1997-2007) were modelled using non-linear distributed lag models, while controlling for season and long-term trends.Relatively high temperatures were positively associated with infection risk in Auckland (n=3,073) and Christchurch (n=880), although the former showed evidence of a more immediate relationship with exposure to high temperatures. There was no significant association between temperature and salmonellosis risk in Wellington.Projected increases in temperature with climate change may have localised health impacts, suggesting that preventative measures will need to be region-specific. This evidence contributes to the increasing concern over the public health impacts of climate change.
- University of Otago New Zealand
- Australian National University Australia
- University of Otago New Zealand
- Massey University New Zealand
- Massey University New Zealand
Climate, Climate Change, 910, lagged, non‐linear, Humans, Weather, Temperature, temperature, salomonellosis, Salmonella Infections, Salmonella Food Poisoning, Seasons, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270, Sentinel Surveillance, New Zealand
Climate, Climate Change, 910, lagged, non‐linear, Humans, Weather, Temperature, temperature, salomonellosis, Salmonella Infections, Salmonella Food Poisoning, Seasons, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270, Sentinel Surveillance, New Zealand
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).15 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
