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Climate change may have minor impact on zooplankton functional diversity in the Mediterranean Sea

Authors: Fanny Adloff; Fanny Adloff; Fabio Benedetti; Fabio Benedetti; Sakina-Dorothée Ayata; François Guilhaumon; Jean-Olivier Irisson;

Climate change may have minor impact on zooplankton functional diversity in the Mediterranean Sea

Abstract

AbstractAimTo assess the impact of climate change on the functional diversity of marine zooplankton communities.LocationThe Mediterranean Sea.MethodsWe used the functional traits and geographic distributions of 106 copepod species to estimate the zooplankton functional diversity of Mediterranean surface assemblages for the 1965–1994 and 2069–2098 periods. Multiple environmental niche models were trained at the global scale to project the species habitat suitability in the Mediterranean Sea and assess their sensitivity to climate change predicted by several scenarios. Simultaneously, the species traits were used to compute a functional dendrogram from which we identified seven functional groups and estimated functional diversity through Faith's index. We compared the measured functional diversity to the one originated from null models to test if changes in functional diversity were solely driven by changes in species richness.ResultsAll but three of the 106 species presented range contractions of varying intensity. A relatively low decrease of species richness (−7.42 on average) is predicted for 97% of the basin, with higher losses in the eastern regions. Relative sensitivity to climate change is not clustered in functional space and does not significantly vary across the seven copepod functional groups defined. Changes in functional diversity follow the same pattern and are not different from those that can be expected from changes in richness alone.Main conclusionsClimate change is not expected to alter copepod functional traits distribution in the Mediterranean Sea, as the most and the least sensitive species are functionally redundant. Such redundancy should buffer the loss of ecosystem functions in Mediterranean zooplankton assemblages induced by climate change. Because the most negatively impacted species are affiliated to temperate regimes and share Atlantic biogeographic origins, our results are in line with the hypothesis of increasingly more tropical Mediterranean communities.

Countries
United Kingdom, United Kingdom, France
Keywords

zooplankton, 570, environment/Bioclimatology, 577, [SDU.STU.OC] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography, 333, modelling, Mediterranean Sea, [SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography, null model, functional diversity, [SDE.BE] Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, niche, climate change, [SDV.EE.BIO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Bioclimatology, [SDV.EE.BIO]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, niche modelling, [SDV.EE.BIO]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Bioclimatology, [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    31
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
31
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold