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Anthropogenic modifications to fire regimes in the wider Serengeti‐Mara ecosystem

AbstractFire is a key driver in savannah systems and widely used as a land management tool. Intensifying human land uses are leading to rapid changes in the fire regimes, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and composition. We undertake a novel analysis describing spatial patterns in the fire regime of the Serengeti‐Mara ecosystem, document multidecadal temporal changes and investigate the factors underlying these patterns. We used MODIS active fire and burned area products from 2001 to 2014 to identify individual fires; summarizing four characteristics for each detected fire: size, ignition date, time since last fire and radiative power. Using satellite imagery, we estimated the rate of change in the density of livestock bomas as a proxy for livestock density. We used these metrics to model drivers of variation in the four fire characteristics, as well as total number of fires and total area burned. Fires in the Serengeti‐Mara show high spatial variability—with number of fires and ignition date mirroring mean annual precipitation. The short‐term effect of rainfall decreases fire size and intensity but cumulative rainfall over several years leads to increased standing grass biomass and fuel loads, and, therefore, in larger and hotter fires. Our study reveals dramatic changes over time, with a reduction in total number of fires and total area burned, to the point where some areas now experience virtually no fire. We suggest that increasing livestock numbers are driving this decline, presumably by inhibiting fire spread. These temporal patterns are part of a global decline in total area burned, especially in savannahs, and we caution that ecosystem functioning may have been compromised. Land managers and policy formulators need to factor in rapid fire regime modifications to achieve management objectives and maintain the ecological function of savannah ecosystems.
- Princeton University
- Uppsala University Sweden
- University of Liverpool United Kingdom
- University of Georgia Georgia
- Princeton University United States
Rainfall, Satellite Imagery, Overgrazing, Climate Research, Skogsvetenskap, Conservation, Serengeti, Poaceae, 333, Fires, Klimatforskning, savannah, Humans, Biomass, Savannah, Ecosystem, Vegetation, 2300, 2303, Forest Science, conservation, 2304, Primary Research Articles, Management, Protected areas, Climate Science, Fire regime, Burnt area, overgrazing, 2306, Bush encroachment, fire regime, protected areas, Southern Africa, management, Klimatvetenskap
Rainfall, Satellite Imagery, Overgrazing, Climate Research, Skogsvetenskap, Conservation, Serengeti, Poaceae, 333, Fires, Klimatforskning, savannah, Humans, Biomass, Savannah, Ecosystem, Vegetation, 2300, 2303, Forest Science, conservation, 2304, Primary Research Articles, Management, Protected areas, Climate Science, Fire regime, Burnt area, overgrazing, 2306, Bush encroachment, fire regime, protected areas, Southern Africa, management, Klimatvetenskap
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).49 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
