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Islands in the ice: Potential impacts of habitat transformation on Antarctic biodiversity

AbstractAntarctic biodiversity faces an unknown future with a changing climate. Most terrestrial biota is restricted to limited patches of ice‐free land in a sea of ice, where they are adapted to the continent's extreme cold and wind and exploit microhabitats of suitable conditions. As temperatures rise, ice‐free areas are predicted to expand, more rapidly in some areas than others. There is high uncertainty as to how species' distributions, physiology, abundance, and survivorship will be affected as their habitats transform. Here we use current knowledge to propose hypotheses that ice‐free area expansion (i) will increase habitat availability, though the quality of habitat will vary; (ii) will increase structural connectivity, although not necessarily increase opportunities for species establishment; (iii) combined with milder climates will increase likelihood of non‐native species establishment, but may also lengthen activity windows for all species; and (iv) will benefit some species and not others, possibly resulting in increased homogeneity of biodiversity. We anticipate considerable spatial, temporal, and taxonomic variation in species responses, and a heightened need for interdisciplinary research to understand the factors associated with ecosystem resilience under future scenarios. Such research will help identify at‐risk species or vulnerable localities and is crucial for informing environmental management and policymaking into the future.
- Stony Brook University United States
- Stony Brook University United States
- University of Wollongong Australia
- Colorado State University United States
- Queensland University of Technology Australia
570, Climate Change, Antarctic Regions, Biodiversity, Wind, non-native species, Biota, 333, biotic homogenization, ice-free, climate change, connectivity, Perspective, Antarctica, biotic homogenisation, Ecosystem, biodiversity
570, Climate Change, Antarctic Regions, Biodiversity, Wind, non-native species, Biota, 333, biotic homogenization, ice-free, climate change, connectivity, Perspective, Antarctica, biotic homogenisation, Ecosystem, biodiversity
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).40 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
