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Demographic Amplification of Climate Change Experienced by the Contiguous United States Population during the 20th Century

Better understanding of the changing relationship between human populations and climate is a global research priority. The 20(th) century in the contiguous United States offers a particularly well-documented example of human demographic expansion during a period of radical socioeconomic and environmental change. One would expect that as human society has been transformed by technology, we would become increasingly decoupled from climate and more dependent on social infrastructure. Here we use spatially-explicit models to evaluate climatic, socio-economic and biophysical correlates of demographic change in the contiguous United States between 1900 and 2000. Climate-correlated variation in population growth has caused the U.S. population to shift its realized climate niche from cool, seasonal climates to warm, aseasonal climates. As a result, the average annual temperature experienced by U.S. citizens between 1920 and 2000 has increased by more than 1.5°C and the temperature seasonality has decreased by 1.1°C during a century when climate change accounted for only a 0.24°C increase in average annual temperature and a 0.15°C decrease in temperature seasonality. Thus, despite advancing technology, climate-correlated demographics continue to be a major feature of contemporary U.S. society. Unfortunately, these demographic patterns are contributing to a substantial warming of the climate niche during a period of rapid environmental warming, making an already bad situation worse.
- University of Maine United States
- McGill University Canada
- University of Maine United States
- Université du Québec à Rimouski Canada
Climate, Science, Climate Change, Mitchell Center for Sustainability Solutions, 333, Mitchell Center, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Humans, Population Growth, Demography, Q, R, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, History, 20th Century, United States, Senator George J. Mitchell Center, Sustainability, Medicine, Senator George J. Mitchell Center for Sustainability Solutions, Environmental Sciences, Research Article
Climate, Science, Climate Change, Mitchell Center for Sustainability Solutions, 333, Mitchell Center, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Humans, Population Growth, Demography, Q, R, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, History, 20th Century, United States, Senator George J. Mitchell Center, Sustainability, Medicine, Senator George J. Mitchell Center for Sustainability Solutions, Environmental Sciences, Research Article
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).4 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
