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Influence of Climate Change and Trophic Coupling across Four Trophic Levels in the Celtic Sea

Authors: Lauria, Valentina; Attrill, Martin J; Pinnegar, John K; Brown, Andrew; Edwards, Martin; Votier, Stephen C;

Influence of Climate Change and Trophic Coupling across Four Trophic Levels in the Celtic Sea

Abstract

Climate change has had profound effects upon marine ecosystems, impacting across all trophic levels from plankton to apex predators. Determining the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems requires understanding the direct effects on all trophic levels as well as indirect effects mediated by trophic coupling. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of climate change on the pelagic food web in the Celtic Sea, a productive shelf region in the Northeast Atlantic. Using long-term data, we examined possible direct and indirect 'bottom-up' climate effects across four trophic levels: phytoplankton, zooplankton, mid-trophic level fish and seabirds. During the period 1986-2007, although there was no temporal trend in the North Atlantic Oscillation index (NAO), the decadal mean Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the Celtic Sea increased by 0.66 +/- 0.02 degrees C. Despite this, there was only a weak signal of climate change in the Celtic Sea food web. Changes in plankton community structure were found, however this was not related to SST or NAO. A negative relationship occurred between herring abundance (0- and 1-group) and spring SST ( 0- group: p = 0.02, slope = -0.30560.125; 1-group: p = 0.04, slope = -0.410 +/- 0.193). Seabird demographics showed complex species-specific responses. There was evidence of direct effects of spring NAO ( on black-legged kittiwake population growth rate: p = 0.03, slope = 0.0314 +/- 0.014) as well as indirect bottom- up effects of lagged spring SST (on razorbill breeding success: p = 0.01, slope = -0.144 +/- 0.05). Negative relationships between breeding success and population growth rate of razorbills and common guillemots may be explained by interactions between mid-trophic level fish. Our findings show that the impacts of climate change on the Celtic Sea ecosystem is not as marked as in nearby regions (e.g. the North Sea), emphasizing the need for more research at regional scales.

Countries
United Kingdom, Ireland, Ireland
Keywords

570, Food Chain, Science, Climate, Climate Change, fluctuations, Population Dynamics, 551, 333, Zooplankton, Birds, baltic sea, Animals, Atlantic Ocean, Ecosystem, Q, R, Fishes, c-helgolandicus, north-atlantic oscillation, long-term changes, herring clupea-harengus, Phytoplankton, plankton recorder data, Medicine, ecosystems, fish community, seabirds, Research Article

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    27
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
27
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold