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Reflections on the impact and response to the Peruvian 2017 Coastal El Niño event: Looking to the past to prepare for the future

تأملات في تأثير واستجابة بيرو لحدث النينيو الساحلي لعام 2017: التطلع إلى الماضي للتحضير للمستقبل
Authors: Marisol Yglesias-González; Armando Valdés‐Velásquez; Stella M. Hartinger; K. Takahashi; Guillermo Salvatierra; Rodrigo Velarde; Ángela Contreras; +5 Authors

Reflections on the impact and response to the Peruvian 2017 Coastal El Niño event: Looking to the past to prepare for the future

Abstract

Climate-related phenomena in Peru have been slowly but continuously changing in recent years beyond historical variability. These include sea surface temperature increases, irregular precipitation patterns and reduction of glacier-covered areas. In addition, climate scenarios show amplification in rainfall variability related to the warmer conditions associated with El Niño events. Extreme weather can affect human health, increase shocks and stresses to the health systems, and cause large economic losses. In this article, we study the characteristics of El Niño events in Peru, its health and economic impacts and we discuss government preparedness for this kind of event, identify gaps in response, and provide evidence to inform adequate planning for future events and mitigating impacts on highly vulnerable regions and populations. This is the first case study to review the impact of a Coastal El Niño event on Peru’s economy, public health, and governance. The 2017 event was the third strongest El Niño event according to literature, in terms of precipitation and river flooding and caused important economic losses and health impacts. At a national level, these findings expose a need for careful consideration of the potential limitations of policies linked to disaster prevention and preparedness when dealing with El Niño events. El Niño-related policies should be based on local-level risk analysis and efficient preparedness measures in the face of emergencies.

Countries
Peru, United Kingdom
Keywords

Atmospheric Science, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Preparedness, Economics, Rain, FOS: Political science, Urban infrastructure, Climate Change and Variability Research, Precipitation, 910, FOS: Health sciences, Oceanography, Dengue, Disasters, Perú, Lluvia, Natural resource economics, Peru, Microeconomics, Climate change, Government (linguistics), Psychology, Extreme Weather, Business, Disaster risk reduction, Environmental resource management, Political science, Environmental planning, El Nino-Southern Oscillation, Global and Planetary Change, Public health, Extreme weather, Geography, Q, R, Geology, FOS: Philosophy, ethics and religion, Earth and Planetary Sciences, FOS: Psychology, Physical Sciences, Medicine, Research Article, El Niño Oscilación del Sur, Science, FOS: Law, Nursing, Flooding (psychology), Environmental science, Global Flood Risk Assessment and Management, Meteorology, Humans, El Niño, Economic growth, Economic impact analysis, Linguistics, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Numerical Weather Prediction Models, Dengue fever, Infraestructura, Emergency management, Floods, Philosophy, Economía y Organizaciones para la Atención de la Salud, Risk management, Environmental Science, FOS: Languages and literature, Psychotherapist, https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.09, Gestión de Riesgos, Health economics, Law, Evaluación en Salud, Precipitation Extremes

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    5
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold